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Everything posted by Tatamy
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Yes we did get ours this year.
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I grew up in the 70s on LI. The concept of a 6”+ storm basically did not exist at that time. The greatest amounts that were ever forecasted were 4-8” by AW because that was as big a storm as there could be or so it seemed. We had two storms of about 7” during that period and that was it.
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It’s snowing lightly across much of the Poconos. It looks like you need to be at least 1200’ up to see this and even there only a light coating is observed on non paved surfaces. Given the type of storm that this is and the moisture it has it’s quite a sad sight. Even 2000’ only gets you a coating with steady light snow. If you live near the coast and think you’re getting a raw deal with the lack of snow you’re not the only one.
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As expected by virtually all of the models snow has been very hard to come by with this event. Props to the CMC suite for seeing this from the beginning. The Euro did a good job of picking up the banding signature that set up from SW to NE across my area and over to northern NJ. Rain here most of the night with a temp of 37.8. Temps have been steady here. 0.82” so far. I have not seen any snow on the traffic cams that I have looked at along I380/I84 in NE PA.
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A review of the soundings on the 12z HRRR shows very nicely the features you are speaking of. You will need elevation (as always) to get the best results from this. I would agree places along I80 and north would be best positioned to see this. I also like the fact that there is no strong southerly flow at 925mb to impede this.
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Ant - We all have access to the Pivotal site for the basic models with the subscription option for the advanced features. I even posted when they offered $20 off for the year earlier this month. I am sure that those who are interested are following it there.
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18z GFS…lol