Tatamy
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Everything posted by Tatamy
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Do you know how to read and interpret a computer model?
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Here are the 06z and 12z runs of the EPS-AI.
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I am posting the 12z ensemble guidance below from the EPS, CMCE, and EPS AIFS. The EPS AIFS has actually been quite consistent with its precip field in recent runs.
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Places north and west could do okay however it’s borderline near the coast. Interesting run.
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06z Euro - the coast rains
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That visibility there is 1/4 to 3/8 mile so this is moderate to heavy snow that has been falling there for most of the afternoon.
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I am surprised that there is not ice on LI Sound. Last time that I saw that was February 1979 during the week prior to PD1.
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I experienced the storm in East Northport. The things that I remember about it are the consistently low visibility that lasted through out that day. It averaged between 1/8 to 1/4 mile sometimes less all day. The flakes were quite small probably because of the strong winds whipping in off LI Sound. I measured 30” in that storm. I didn’t see a storm like that again until 2016 when I also measured 30” where I am in Bethlehem, PA.
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My money is on Blutarsky.
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79 was 8-12” in the Metro with more to the south and west. No changeover. That was the last time that I know of when LI Sound partially froze over.
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Strongly agree. The AI models have done exceptionally well over the past few days consistently showing the OTS solution.
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This is definitely one for the coastal people. Plenty of snow on the ground here too. I hope it does come together for those to the S and E.
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I am in Bethlehem, PA. I have enough snow lol. You guys on the coast can have this one.
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I think just 50 miles will do a lot of good for people on the coast.
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18z EPS mean
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18z GEFS mean
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Icon EPS mean 18z
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The 06z Euro OP is OTS.
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06z EPS is east of previous runs
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Thanks for sharing!
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There was 17” inches where I was. I was a junior in HS at the time and had never seen something of that nature that I was old enough to remember. The 70s and 80s were lean times for snow lovers in the NY area. Snow changed to mixed precipitation during the day before it ended. My only source of weather info at the time was WINS and WCBS plus TV news at night. People have it so much better today.
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I got 30” on LI
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I do the same thing in my yard. Even with pre-existing snow cover you can usually find an ice crust on its top under the new snow cover in order to obtain a measurement.
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We are getting a burst of light snow now. I would agree with it producing a coating to a half inch in places.
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Back and forth between heavy sleet and snow. 9.5” total. 8/6
