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Tatamy

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Everything posted by Tatamy

  1. Tatamy
    All done here - 9.1”
  2. Tatamy
    Maybe he is slumming around on X looking for content to cut and paste into here to further his narrative.
  3. Tatamy
    Heavy snow 1/4 mile visibility. 31/30. Storm total now up to 6.5”
  4. Tatamy
    Heavy Snow 1/8 mile visibility. Storm total 4” so far however it’s been pounding here for the past half hour or so.
  5. Tatamy
    Moderate snow. 31/30. 2” new OTG.
  6. Tatamy
    Moderate snow 33/31. Ground is already coated. Silver dollars pouring down. This is going to be some wild morning out here.
  7. Tatamy
    A lot more than the Euro.
  8. Tatamy
    Unless you have temps into the mid 20s (which are not expected with this event) streets and sidewalks in Manhattan are likely to be mainly just wet. Neighborhoods in the outer boroughs can get accumulations in this setup however that will be highly dependent on what the specific surface is, if it’s normally shaded during the day, and if it accumulates water on it.
  9. Tatamy
    FWIW the 12z HRRR is running and looks quite similar (there is less snow in the Poconos) to the 6z run. Like you said the 18z run will provide a better look at the evolution of this convection.
  10. Tatamy
    FWIW the 12z Icon has 5-8” across the area from an event in the Friday night to Saturday period. The GFS has a much weaker event at that time and the other models don’t have this. Something to track during the upcoming week.
  11. Tatamy
    The gradient on this run between the GWB and the Kew Gardens Interchange is something on the order of 6”.
  12. Tatamy
    Did you see the GEPS/CMCE?
  13. Tatamy
    Why do you follow the Weather Channel?
  14. Tatamy
    There was also banding with it which is common with those types of events.
  15. Tatamy
    I believe the Synoptics with that event were quite different than those expected with this one. The ‘69 storm was a Miller B. The total snow amount where I was on the north shore of LI was in the neighborhood of 20-24”. I have a picture of 5-6 foot drifts in our backyard.
  16. Tatamy
    Look on Pivotal.
  17. Tatamy
    06z GEFS/EPS solutions are very close this morning.
  18. Tatamy
    It really is a weenie run. Four snow storms in a 10 day period starting on or about Monday. This is 2010 redux for the mid-Atlantic.
  19. Tatamy
    18z GFS has the storm for next week further south again. It’s just one additional solution to the many that are out there for this event. FWIW there were quite a few members on the GEFS 12z run with this further south solution as well.
  20. Tatamy
    Good luck with that. I have been sucked into this for over 50 years. It’s not like you can just walk away from it… lol
  21. Tatamy
    Bullish run on the 18z GEFS for the period starting after next weekend.
  22. Tatamy
    The chart shown here initiated by Tomer Burg would in fact lead to a higher risk of suppression or OTS solutions. FYI Tomer Burg is a well regarded met who knows of what he speaks.
  23. Tatamy
    It’s quite sad that all you can get is 0.5” at 2000’ above MSL.
  24. Tatamy
    Very light snow here. Have been getting very light snow and flurries since the overnight hours. Most of it has not been sticking. 34/31
  25. Tatamy
    That was a success however the 1/19/78 event that brought 12-18” across the area was a huge bust to the upside. Forecasts up to the night before were mainly calling for a change to rain after 2-4/3-6”. The first hints that I received that this would be bigger was at 10:00 PM the previous night when WCBS 880 was speaking of trucker reports of a wall of snow on the Jersey Tpke at Hightstown with dangerous conditions south of there. I woke up to 14” inches the next morning before it began to mix with sleet.
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