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Everything posted by Tatamy
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18z NAM is way north with the snow now. HRRR is starting to move north also. I wish you guys near the city a lot of luck with the snow. I agree with the potential for major sleet impacts in much of the area. This is very similar to what happened the other day.
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Most people blew off the NAM with the last event and what happened? Conversely the HRRR was very aggressive with snow amounts and ended up scaling these back just as the precipitation arrived. I would go with the NAM.
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Thanks for posting an ensemble mean. It amazes me how often colorful clown maps of extended range OP runs are posted. There are people here who really believe that it is part of our climatic mean that we will see one or more KU storms every winter.
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Not necessarily. There was a lot of confluence over NE as part of the synoptic setup. It was known at the time that the greatest snow amounts with PD 1 would be south and west of the city.
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We had 7.3” on the north shore at East Northport where I lived at the time during PD 1. Large parts of LI Sound were frozen over at the time so that source of moisture was not readily available.
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Partly cloudy here with 0.80” new.
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The last time that I am aware of significant icing on LI Sound other than that noted above was in February 1979 in the week prior to PD 1. I was able to walk several hundred yards out onto the ice at Sunken Meadow at that time.
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83 was a wild storm where I was out on the island on the north shore. We had several hours overnight of winds gusting to 40 - 65 mph on my weather station along with occasional mixing with graupel. I believe that there were gravity waves associated with that storm as well. As you noted it took forever for the snow shield to move in. When it did so it came in like a wall of white at 3:00 PM and we transitioned to heavy snow quickly.
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Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
Tatamy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
1.25” total. Looks like we are done.