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Everything posted by Tatamy

  1. Maybe he is slumming around on X looking for content to cut and paste into here to further his narrative.
  2. Heavy snow 1/4 mile visibility. 31/30. Storm total now up to 6.5”
  3. Heavy Snow 1/8 mile visibility. Storm total 4” so far however it’s been pounding here for the past half hour or so.
  4. Moderate snow 33/31. Ground is already coated. Silver dollars pouring down. This is going to be some wild morning out here.
  5. Unless you have temps into the mid 20s (which are not expected with this event) streets and sidewalks in Manhattan are likely to be mainly just wet. Neighborhoods in the outer boroughs can get accumulations in this setup however that will be highly dependent on what the specific surface is, if it’s normally shaded during the day, and if it accumulates water on it.
  6. FWIW the 12z HRRR is running and looks quite similar (there is less snow in the Poconos) to the 6z run. Like you said the 18z run will provide a better look at the evolution of this convection.
  7. FWIW the 12z Icon has 5-8” across the area from an event in the Friday night to Saturday period. The GFS has a much weaker event at that time and the other models don’t have this. Something to track during the upcoming week.
  8. The gradient on this run between the GWB and the Kew Gardens Interchange is something on the order of 6”.
  9. There was also banding with it which is common with those types of events.
  10. I believe the Synoptics with that event were quite different than those expected with this one. The ‘69 storm was a Miller B. The total snow amount where I was on the north shore of LI was in the neighborhood of 20-24”. I have a picture of 5-6 foot drifts in our backyard.
  11. It really is a weenie run. Four snow storms in a 10 day period starting on or about Monday. This is 2010 redux for the mid-Atlantic.
  12. 18z GFS has the storm for next week further south again. It’s just one additional solution to the many that are out there for this event. FWIW there were quite a few members on the GEFS 12z run with this further south solution as well.
  13. Good luck with that. I have been sucked into this for over 50 years. It’s not like you can just walk away from it… lol
  14. Bullish run on the 18z GEFS for the period starting after next weekend.
  15. The chart shown here initiated by Tomer Burg would in fact lead to a higher risk of suppression or OTS solutions. FYI Tomer Burg is a well regarded met who knows of what he speaks.
  16. It’s quite sad that all you can get is 0.5” at 2000’ above MSL.
  17. Very light snow here. Have been getting very light snow and flurries since the overnight hours. Most of it has not been sticking. 34/31
  18. That was a success however the 1/19/78 event that brought 12-18” across the area was a huge bust to the upside. Forecasts up to the night before were mainly calling for a change to rain after 2-4/3-6”. The first hints that I received that this would be bigger was at 10:00 PM the previous night when WCBS 880 was speaking of trucker reports of a wall of snow on the Jersey Tpke at Hightstown with dangerous conditions south of there. I woke up to 14” inches the next morning before it began to mix with sleet.
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