powderfreak

For as good as Friday will feel with dry air… tomorrow afternoon/evening will be rough if the ASOS spots are pumping mid-70s dews. Backyard stations going to be hitting 80F.

Man that’s crazy, clicking around on that almost all of them are Heat Indices of like 98-103F.

The station in Woodstock at 666 feet was showing 90/74 for a HI of 100. That's some tropical stuff.

Even just looking at temps, widespread 90 - 95F and the dews are all like 68-74F, so easily mid/upper 90s HI. The I-90 corridor from BOS to ORH is littered with 95's as ambient temps. The minute you step away from the water in BOS it goes 92-95F without factoring in the dews.

Really? Ha, I thought it was just a 30-year straight average. That's egg on me then.

Looks like MVL hit a 90/70 observation for a HI of 95F up this way. Now back down to 90/64 and only 91F HI... but we don't have an advisory.

Ahh ok, I see. You are basing it off wherever these numbers above are from? I wouldn't consider those official, the other data you shared with the actual climate data are the real numbers. Is this some local project or something (the above charts)? They don't even have a time frame. Maybe that's just a 10-year average instead of 30-year average.

I guess I'm not following. Where is this normal that was raised? So if you go into the NWS climate page for Cleveland and Toledo... the climate data says they are using the 1991 - 2020 climate normals like everyone else. You're telling me they just added degrees to this? Everything I'm finding right now on the F6 and climate pages show it is based on 1991 to 2020.

Yeah, it's a very set 10-year adjustment. Maybe on some other page or stats they have some rolling average on their own?

The lows matter greatly for folks without A/C or the ability to cool off at night. Sure, tucked into bed with the A/C humming you don't notice it... but then again sitting inside with A/C you won't notice 96F either, ha. I still know some people up here who do not have A/C and it has been brutal. Each year more and more schedule mini-split installations because of it.

I know but do you know what the actual normal value should be? Maybe it is 1.0 and 1.9F? I'm just trying to figure out how you know they are playing "loose and fast" with the normals. Those sound like very possible amounts for mean temp increases in a decade.

How do you know that? Do you have what the actual new "normals" should be or did someone tell you that?

Looks like BML ASOS average minimum in July should be 52F. They haven't been below 60 degrees in 9 days now.

The increased moisture and dews just remove the radiating from the radiators and man the temperature departures get out of hand in a hurry. These are the current 30-year normals... I can't wait to see what it looks like after we bake this decade in: Saint Johnsbury... 80/58 Morrisville-Stowe... 79/55 Montpelier... 78/56 Mid-July normals are highs near 80 and lows in the 50s. That implies there should be a bunch of days cooler than that level too. It's just hard to even imagine running a current July with those averages. All three sites are +5.7 to +6.1 on the July through the first half of the month.

Oh it is. Up here feels like what I remember CT being as a kid in Woodstock. Like I've been saying, our average minimums should be solidly in the 50s. Which usually means dews in the 50s. Our average low this month is 62F and running +6.1 for July in the means at MVL. That is INSANE for a summer month.

Ha, zero illusions of that. But we'll get some relief. Folks are getting worried about mold up here. It's been pretty unrelentless for a spot who's average low is in the mid-50s lol.

That 12 NAM is quite the dew FROPA on Friday. Wake up to dews of 70F and by the evening it's this:

I mean it's mid summer. The overall theme is it is mid summer. There will be some relief though mixed in, which has not been happening. 2-3 days would be 2-3 days more than folks have seen lately. Though I feel more confident up here than I do south of RT 2 and especially south of the Pike where you guys do 70 dews as soon as the flow comes out of the south in any manner.

Not going to lie, it does look a lot more refreshing this weekend and next week. There are definitely some gradient days in there for dews, like Sunday, where up north might miss out. But Monday through Thursday of next week looks to offer relief. At least up here, it looks like we see more dews in the 40s and 50s than we do in the 60s for a week starting on Friday.

Just walking the dog on the Rec path and the dog randomly loses her shit, which means she smells a bear. Off to the bushes on the side he huffs and snorted at us before I could even see him. Snorted twice at me and even stood up to scratch the tree… or he was considering going up it if the barking dog came over. We backed away and he ran off. Right in the middle of town behind the movie theater lol. Going to look for another car or building to break into.

New landslides this week on Mt Colden in the Adirondacks from the heavy rain the other day. Two freshies from the DEC photos. One on the left and one on the right, lighter colors than the old ones.

It’s funny the steps humans will take to avoid some sicknesses or health issues and not others. (Not meant to be COVID related, just in general).

People would think the world is ending. +2 no one notices… -2 would be like why is it so cold?

Persistence has been a very good forecasting method for like 3-4 summers in a row now. It will be something if we can ever pull off a full summer month of like -2 again.

What did that feel like or how did you know? I got a full tick panel done but was negative anoplasmosis… positive Lyme.