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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. Dude… that’s awesome. What a snow/QPF dump. 19” of accumulation, with a period of heavy sleet mixed in? That’s a wagon of an event.
  2. I could watch like an hour of that…. How do you guys post videos too?
  3. I will say this seems like perfect synoptic snow. Small flake but cold. Probably 10:1 baking soda about 10” and dumping in this final band. Maybe make a run at 11-12”? Probably 1.0-1.2” QPF as models were showing past day or so here.
  4. Measuring 9-10” here in town on the cars. Still snowing but lighter.
  5. Okemo was passing 18” on their snow cam. This was from near Magic I think. Going to check Mansfield plots now.
  6. I-89 looks fun near J.Spin's in Waterbury. Bet that would be a fun ride from here to Concord, NH.
  7. 00z GFS continues the swath of heavy snow. Such a large geographic area as modeled.
  8. My forecast has been for 8-14”… I think it gets a bit warm tomorrow afternoon below 1500ft that may lead to some lower ratios. The first part should be cold though.
  9. This is going to be an event. We don’t get models painting widespread 10-20” amounts straight through the heart of New England very often. The amount of land that accumulates 6” or more could be significant. Freezing rain with the cold air drain, sleet, significant QPF. Should be a an interesting late-season storm.
  10. HRRR meanwhile continues to be a huge snowstorm for Mitch and Backedge through 18 hours.
  11. Torched aloft. Sleet gets close to here. As soon as the coastal really tries to get going it dynamically cools and collapses SE fast.
  12. Still like that GFL-RUT axis to North Conway or Jackson over towards Tamarack for a jackpot.
  13. I wonder with almost due south 60kt 850mb jet if we see mixing further north than progged.
  14. Someone in central NNE gets smoked. Like a GFL-RUT-IZG axis?
  15. Need to get just high enough and into cold air to make do with the high precip anomalies. Feels like a Pacific coast winter. Eventually you hit an elevation where the rain turns to snow.
  16. The 12km NAM positive snow depth map is pretty crazy. I think we have a good chance of a healthy 6”+ snowfall when the progs look like this. It will change and move around but it will be hard to see less than 6” with the current look.
  17. Agreed. 00z HRRR positive snow depth gains map. 00z 3km NAM positive snow depth gains.
  18. I looked at the past 10 years the other day, it is a wild ride. From worst ever in 2015-16, to monster year in 2016-17… the variability is wild for measuring in the same place. 2014-15… 290” 2015-16… 156” 2016-17… 375” 2017-18… 264” 2018-19… 308” (*Under-reported due to snow reporting changes and misses.) 2019-20… COVID early closure, data incomplete. 2020-21… 218” 2021-22… 225” 2022-23… 221” 2023-24… 246” as of 3/21.
  19. We went 12 days without a full inch at the plot in mid-winter. That is incredibly hard to do. Now every measurement is multiple inches.
  20. Ha my bad. I use this, change location to Mount Mansfield and explore the options. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=btv
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