powderfreak

Oh yeah but that movement didn’t happen recently. It’s going to go over NH/ME where it’s been tracking for days I thought. It’s funny the perspective changing greatly based on expected outcome. To BTV it’s going to be a breezy, wet synoptic nor’easter. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... As of 339 PM EDT Friday...A dynamic and impactful nor`easter is set to develop off the Mid- Atlantic coast this evening bringing widespread significant, but not historical rainfall to majority of the region this weekend. The system is currently closed off over eastern Ohio and will continue to track eastward and hug the East Coast tonight. As it strengthens, it will deepen to near record breaking pressure for this time of year, with models bottoming out near 984.

Has it though when you toggle the actual storm features on model sites? Looks pretty steady past couple days.

Instead of watering your grass, it floats away some covered bridges?

Wiz is never going to sleep again.

I can’t stop looking at it, but this glacial landslide is nuts. The fact everyone willingly evacuated swiftly days prior is some strong trust in science.

I'm just here to share and look at the current models... it's like a story line or plot. You just try to keep up with it. It can be entertaining. There's also a lot of hyperbole, which can be fun and hard to detect sometimes. A wrapped up nor'easter or a sunny summer day become the goalposts, when we all know its usually a compromise between solutions. We need an AMWX ensemble of user thoughts to model the weather. Probably would be pretty good, ha.

Touche... the quoted post lined up with the quoted AFD... mic drop lol.

There's zero chance that type of full evacuation takes place in the U.S. No way a geologist is convincing a town to get out entirely.

All meant in good fun, though hard to believe that's the post you take offense to, ha. You know you start the warm season, summer, A/C install, full court press earlier and earlier each year, even at Morch. It drives conversation, keeps things lively. It now feels like we have more posts these days arguing summer weather than we get in the winter.

That’s exactly what this forum feels like sometimes lol. Great analogy. By the time climo catches up, we are already moving onto the next season.

On this forum, we know DIT/Kev does not like shoulder seasons. So a concerted marketing effort takes place to either get past them as fast as possible, or at least create the illusion that we are moving past it. Once winter wraps up with the “Morch” comments, it’s time to start hyping summer immediately. So by the time we hit June, we’ve literally been hearing/talking about warmth, installing A/Cs, etc for like 6+ weeks now. Its the same in the winter… talk about upcoming cold and troughs and whatever starting in October, by the time December rolls around everyone is expecting mid-winter. Theres no doubt the collective discussion in here alters our idea of what normal is… because we love to rush seasons and the narrative is guided by a salesman.

Remember when the forum had the excitement and gung-ho feeling about winter weather? Haha. Now we all high-fiving high pressure in the warm season.

In 2020 we'd already hit 95F up here, ha. Looks like 2022 had 10 days already of 80+ up this way too. We've had some warm Mays in the past 5 years that I think people have come to expect. This May has BTV at an exact 0.0 departure so far. Exactly normal.

39F morning, 82F afternoon, currently 54F as it drops. Some high diurnal ranges the past few days.

39F for the low again and ready to launch another 40+ degrees.

Just awesome late light… that post-sunset glow this time of year that just seems to linger on and on… can’t get enough of it. Warm enough for all windows and doors open, watering the freshly planted garden, mosquitoes trying to carry my arm back to the river… it’s a vibe.

Best of both worlds. You get your humid and showers on Saturday... then others get their nice dry low dew day on Sunday. Sat 12pm dews: Sun 12pm dews:

Ahhh only 6 more months of debating temperatures and trying to convince each other it's either the most glorious summer of all time or nothing special.

79/34 might be one of the best T/Td spreads for humans to exist outside, ha. It’s amazing out there. 41 diurnal range today so far.

Saturday system looks to be trending a bit towards a cutter/inland track. Probably a bunch of p-type issues pretty far inland with those tracks. 6z Sat to 6z Sun.

76/38 What a day.

39F for the low and up to 70F already.

The forum would be losing its collective shit if the Euro pumped this out Dec-Mar… Even if it was a 5-day 18z run run. Regardless of unlikeliness, it’s a hilarious model outcome of another Saturday.

That’s awesome.

We’ve heard that phrase several times lately… “not terrible, could be worse.” That’s a telling indication of where our baseline standard is right now, ha. Not terrible. Today was better than not terrible though.