Regardless of how this turns out, a good sized area seems to be wasting QPF on sleet or wet snow struggling to accumulate.
This is another time when the 10:1 maps feel off.
Impressive but that look doesn’t make me think “huge NE snowstorm” . The fact that there’s even a chance of significant snow for some is a win with that.
That’s when they’ve done well. When showing 1” QPF at 33-34F and you get 3-4” on the ground after 18 hours of wet snow that the clowns had 10”+.
The 10:1 maps to me have been worse this year, maybe because of how marginal each event has been.
They nailed a couple events though but that was more boundary layer warmth than mid-level warmth… where 10:1 maps had 12-15” of snow at 33-35F that verified 4” of slush like the PDC had.
I know Ray had an event too that those maps nailed over the 10:1.
Guess it’s boundary temp related.