powderfreak

6” at the summit stake for depth. It looks a lot nicer than it really is (2-6” of dense snow). But in early November the look works.

November.

Yeah the only places above freezing here are those 1,000-1,300ft elevations before it goes back below as you go higher. All three spots at 35F are on the lower slopes of the Worcester Range. Might be just the right wind flow mixing them out. I love all the small nuances.

27F here at 750ft. 35F at 1,100ft. We mount up.

What’s the real return rate on an intense derecho across SNE over the past 50 years though? Same with hurricane hits.

We had a high of 44F yesterday and start +2 lol.

Love this, the guy with the bike. That's the most Bolton Valley thing ever.

Getting some flurries at home. First flakes. Had some graupel this afternoon but these are actual snowflakes.

That photo is 1,300ft or so. I noticed the snow line on Mansfield’s east side seemed lower than it was through the Winooski Valley and west slopes. Robbins Mountain is 2,000ft and saw no traces of snow visible. Stowe had snow down below the 1500ft base area. Also went to Costco too… .

The densest 3-7” ever. Has to be like 5:1 ratios. Feels like sand. So tightly packed together.

Ended with 5” at 3,200ft cam. Looked more like 7” up at 3,700ft or ground based.

I always find snow lines interesting… like it was just cold enough 50 feet up the field to stick.

Lake Placid Village at the Olympic Complex is snowy.

A different world from CT. A completely different world being at that elevation, but in a valley surrounded by big terrain too. Elevational snows and radiational cold mins combined.

Its true. Until its happened, we do not know.

Looks to be nothing, unless it isn't. We just don't know. Good luck.

After hours of white rain and mangled flakes at 3,000ft... it's finally starting to accumulate. Looks like we have until 4-5am before it tapers off. My mtn forecast was for 2-5" at that location so we'll see. I think we can get 2+... 4-5" will be tough on that elevated snowboard. It's gusting 40-50mph up there and moving more sideways than landing on the platform, too.

SLK over to -SN. METAR KSLK 010020Z AUTO 24012G17KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR BKN010 OVC014 01/M01 A2922 RMK AO2 P0000 T00061006

Just got very windy here on the eastern side of the Spine down in the valley. Inversion aloft looks to be lowering a bit and compressing the air over the ridges, accelerating it down the eastern slopes. Coinciding with the upslope band migrating ever so subtly westward too.

If only it was colder… it has been pounding precip all afternoon and just keeps going. Prolific snow maker even into the low lands if like 5C colder today.

Classic Spine precipitation bomb. At 1500ft we are seeing 40mph gusts and just pounding rain.

Already mixing up top. Wet snow (white rain) and 33.5F top of the Quad. Thinking 3-6” of dense snow possible above 2,500ft. Models have a lot of upslope precip and all parameters for heavy upslope precipitation are met… near saturated from SFC to ridgeline, H85 winds 25kts< and cross barrier, vertically stacked low traveling near FVE, precip duration of 12+ hours. Temps and snow growth are pretty poor though. Big precip is a lock, snow will likely be 6-7:1 ratios overnight with heavily rimed or small needles.

Once you have heat pumps, you really don't care one way or another. If you are warm you make it cold and if you are cold you make it warm, lol. I still haven't turned my boiler on though this season. Just using the mini-splits to manage it. Once it actually gets cold though, it'll be time for some real heat.

I always look at 850mb wind for upslope... 925mb for temps and try to judge snow levels off that. I'm not well versed in the ADK climo for upslope and blocked flow vs unblocked over there. I think you'll need a winter or two of monitoring wind flow and moisture to see where it ends up. Sometimes it'll be on the immediate N/W slope of the larger Adirondack park... other times it'll be unblocked and showery all the way into the eastern Adirondacks. The mesoscale models these days are pretty darn good at projecting where the QPF will end up though... not perfect of course but can give a decent enough guess at it. The global models are tougher because they will often spread out QPF too spatially... and what often happens is it is a more concentrated max zone. Any time you get a system like this though, with deeper cyclonic moisture flow around a departing low, it should spread precipitation out over decent aerial coverage in the ADKs.

Agreed. Looks like backside snow levels and upslope showery precip could coat the high valleys of the ADKs.