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Everything posted by powderfreak
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It’s true, if you see a bear video on social media from a black bear doing something funny, it’s like either from VT or CT. Theres a ton of bear content coming out of CT, mostly higher population and all with cameras now. But yeah, I do notice it’s either VT or CT it seems like, and especially western CT into adjacent NY (like Columbia and Dutchess Counties). I wish I could post videos on here. My buddy has one of a bear a couple weeks ago chewing on his Amazon package on his ring camera… another one has a bear rolling his grill off his deck. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It’s tough at times, but we find a way. Us and the bears. A couple days ago a family returned to their multimillion dollar Robinson Springs home in Stowe and a bear was sitting in their kitchen eating food from their freezer. Opened an unlocked door and walked right in. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Yeah looks like HRRR has the afternoon stuff south on Long Island. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
This is 3pm tomorrow to 3am Friday. There’s some training across CT on NAM tomorrow afternoon/evening. I’d imaging FF threat if a second round moves over the same area that got hit tonight early tomorrow. -
Yeah he’s awesome. I share with him all of our Stowe data each spring. He’s the OG compiler of ski area snowfall info across North America.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It blows my mind that our normal at MVL is 79/55 right now. Like today was the "cool" day at 77/63. How the hell did we ever average 79/55 in July over like the last 30 years? That implies it could be cooler than that like half the time. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Nice day, cooler and drier. Only some low clouds trying to make it across the Spine/barrier and failing to do so. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
The joy of hit and miss thunderstorms. We are right around 1" of rain, stratus inner tube full but nothing in the outer ring. Looks like MVL ASOS went offline two hours ago after 1.49" and I know they had another round after that. Saw a bunch of 1.75-2.25" stations over on the west side of Mansfield in Jericho and Underhill. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Ha, I don't think I've ever seen anything like this. Just seeing jagged lightning go to the ground, over and over and over right out the window. Sounds like WWIII. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
This is some of the craziest lightning in a while. Map has multiple strikes within a mile. Dog is going nuts. These are bright flashes followed by immediate chest thumping concussions. Closing in on 1" of rain too. 2.50"/hr rate. Zeus is just cranking bolts down into the center of Stowe. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Been 91F up here for 3 hours. Max is 92F so far. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
This is not a "become" issue. It has always been this way with weather headlines. We are reading too much into this as an Advisory . A wind advisory is breezy. A heat advisory is warm. A wind chill advisory is cold. None of it is necessarily out of the normal range/distribution of the seasonable weather, but those headlines (for decades) have been used to notify people it's going to be a bit outside the comfortable range. You notice it when you go outside, but it's easily managed. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
For sure, wandering instrument is most likely and that’s why I said it was worth checking out. Sorry if that wasn’t clear. PBG, the dews did drop into the mid/upper 50s while the temp spiked on west wind. Instead of 88/70 it was 96/57? Thermodynamically it works but that station isn’t known for doing that, despite being in the shadow of the Adirondacks. Maybe something changed around the site allowing better mixing? Or the sensor is just off, haha. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Worth checking on PBG. The 100F degree day fit on the westerly winds off the Adirondacks and associated obs. However, I’ve paid attention to weather up here for over two decades now and haven’t seen that happen before. In the moment it synoptically made sense, but why hadn’t it happened in any air mass before? Now a 96F while BTV is 92F? The BTV ob is in line with the MVL and MPV obs (MPV higher, so usually the coolest max of the 3). But the PGB obs buck a multi-decade trend. PBG is historically a degree or so cooler than BTV. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Beautiful July evening walking the dog through the fields. Still plenty of light to go at 7:45pm. Just realized how late it is, dinner is going to be like 9pm at this rate. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It’s like weather is a team sport in here these days. Ride or die with your crew? Nice when folks can see both sides. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
What’s with the attacking of the headlines all the sudden lol. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
We’ve had about 2-3 hours with HI of 93F up here. 88/70 Its plenty hot outside, ha. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Most Advisories are meh. WWA for 3” of snow in January or February? I don’t care enough anymore, haha, except it does look like it hit the definition for numerous sites. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Wind chill of -15F is 5-10F ambient with like a 20-25mph wind. This isn’t average lows or maxes. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Wind chill advisories are pretty normal cold for January too. Or at least what used to be normal cold. I think you are reading too much into it. Don’t leave your kids or pets in the car, maybe don’t go run 10 miles at 2pm, maybe find some air conditioning… that’s what the Advisory is. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Heat indices are squarely in the advisory range. A humid 90F is essentially what it takes. WHAT...Heat index values between 95 and 100 expected. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I'm the biggest cold fan out there, trust me. Just call it like I see it, ha.