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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. 6z ICON FWIW got drastically better on the coastal plain.
  2. Long duration E-NE flow into that topography… it really is the first big wall encountered by the moist Atlantic maritime air. If mountains are rocks in a stream, when the water flows from the east into New England, the largest build-up of water is on the east side of the Apps. West of there is turbulent (windy/angry) flow.
  3. I’m going eastern facing side of the Whites for the jackpot right now.
  4. To be honest it doesn’t matter lol. Just think it’s a marginal air mass, the 10:1 maps are over-selling it. In some cases pretty solidly over-selling it.
  5. To me it depends on rates. 12-15” of 10:1 snow maps over 36-48 hours of “periods of snow” probably verifies as 4-6 inches on the ground when it ends. If it’s 12-15” in 12-18 hours, it’s probably closer to that 10-12” on ground.
  6. Agreed. 1,000ft is good but the lower elevations have had numerous storms where depth change nailed it pretty good. Especially up here with valley vs mountain ratios.
  7. It’s been very good this season to be honest. Numerous events the depth change has been much closer to reality with so many marginal temp events. The 10:1 maps stacking up white rain that the depth maps got right at 4:1.
  8. Brattleboro is essentially Greenfield, MA like Hippy said. Literally the same exact climate in the CT Valley there at the MA/VT/NH borders. Maybe even worse than Greenfield because it has slightly higher terrain east and west. Monadnocks on one side and the S. Greens on the other.
  9. Pretty tight to the coast but would rip for a bit.
  10. Basically comparing the CT Valley with the coastal plain… the northern MA coastal plain historically does better on deep layer east flow than the CT Valley in MA/CT. Climo wise it favors Essex and Middlesex counties over CEF/BDL/HFD.
  11. 31 mph here for gust in past half hour, definitely breezy. Wind you can hear.
  12. Agreed. Basically the climo normal zone for coastal storms with marginal thermals.
  13. Yeah, I want that energy and players to be onshore, on the field in data rich environments. Not saying it’ll happen but Day 5, thing could still bomb out and crush like central PA or go out to sea.
  14. See I agree with you. I’d still stay climo that you want to be from you to ORH hills, Berks, and north in the usual interior elevations. Of course a CCB like that is going to crush heavy wet snow to the surface but just go climo right now.
  15. Nothing like these snow maps at Day 5 to give that final kick in the nuts this winter, ha.
  16. I don’t like when there’s like 20” of difference between 10:1 and the positive depth maps… but if it gets going like that it would rip deep wet snow to 50-100ft elevation.
  17. Have you guys not learned people post relative to their locations, ha?
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