powderfreak

The station dews are pretty interesting... sharp gradient of low-60s in SE Mass with 40s from the Pike northward and even 30s as you get you get into S/C VT and NH. It's almost like a coastal front in SE Mass in a snowstorm... low 30s and pasted, while it's in the teens with dry powder not very far north.

That's a fantastic evening. Mild enough to be summer, eat outside, but with low dews.

Hiking this afternoon, the dog stopped to roll in an old rotting pile of snow. Trained like a good snow weenie. Edit: Holy shit that link comes in large on a laptop. Anyone know a way to shrink the reference link?

I've been 80F or higher 9 times since just May 22nd. Like you, 87F has been my high this month but May's high was 93F, ten degrees hotter than yours. Given the climo differences between MVL and TAN, it's certainly been hot up here when its hot. When it's cool though it's been cool. I know that sounds weird but SNE seems steadier. We've been wildly swinging from in different directions. For example, we are +0.1 for the month.. pretty much exactly normal.

I want to see the one for the mountains... bears, rock slides, tree might fall on you in the wind, ticks with Lyme, mosquitoes with West Nile, etc.

Anyway, not sure why you'd want heat and humidity to go to the beach... so many hazards at the ocean. Good grief, weather.gov/safety really hitting all the hazards of the beach. Seems downright dangerous to hit the beach based on this NOAA graphic, lol.

I mean, it wasn't even excessively warm above normal... definitely averaged above but not sure I'm calling this a huge win on a heat wave torch call... it was much warmer in departures earlier in the month. Each station had 3 of 4 days above normal for the much anticipated heat. BOS was +2/+4/-4/+3. BDL was -3/+6/+7/+5 (earlier in June had a +10/+10/+9 stretch).

Why do you believe that if you call for a heat wave (3 days of 90F+) that anyone who disagrees means it will be cool or a trough? Not trying to be a dick, ha, it just seems like there's a disconnect there.

We ride the rollercoaster, hands in the air. Up and down.

lol... what a grid point forecast for June covering Mansfield. That’s like a nice mid-winter day in BTV. Saturday...Partly sunny, with a high near 34. Northwest wind 9 to 17 mph.

Oh man, what a spot there! Mountains or beach, best choice to have to make.

The 6-week seesaw continues from anomalous cold to hot to cold to hot. Now another cold shot pushing climo a bit. If it ends up 3rd or 4th coldest June 13th since 1880s in BTV, that’s note-worthy. Short Term...Saturday is going to be a chilly day. Just how chilly you ask? Well, not record setting but it could be the 3rd of 4th coolest June 13th on record. A strong upper level trough will situate over the North Country on Saturday with 850 mb temperatures dropping below zero over much of the region during the morning and early afternoon hours. In addition to this colder air, clouds will be entrenched across the region with little sunshine expected throughout the day. Highs will struggle to climb into the mid 50s to near 60 degrees with summits seeing highs in the low to upper 30s. If you do plan to hike, make sure to have a warm layer as many people don`t expect temperatures in the 30s at summit level in June.

Saturday night looking crisp... fairly widespread upper 30s and lower 40s.

FB reminded me that 4 years ago today we were heading up the Toll Road to check on something at the top and were seeing some June snow showers. I do think this was the latest I've seen or documented flakes flying on the mountain.

Man tomorrow stands out like a sore thumb. It’s going to be like one random day of Halloween climo mixed into mid-June.

Actually looks like maybe an outside shot at graupel or flurries for the picnic tables on Saturday. NW flow with very cold sub-freezing 850mb temps pushing in... 00z NAM

I gotta imagine that gets warmer. Seems excessively cold for mid-June. A wild ride the last month... record heat, plenty of hot days, and then also days with 30s in the morning and highs in 50s. Saturday afternoon’s temps will be 10-15 degrees less than this afternoon’s dew point, lol. Saturday Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.

Looking at the models for this weekend, holy crap is Saturday looking cold. 18z temps on Saturday afternoon on the NAM and GFS are low 50s... that’s uninstall and turn on the heat type of day. It doesn’t even look like rain, just cold.

I just don’t get the obsession every single summer. Summer climo is long dry stretches and when it does rain it’s convective short duration downpours. It’s not going to change.

2.26” at TAN ASOS... that’s a solid drenching.

That’s like half a month’s normal rainfall in an afternoon at TAN.

Damn, TAN is just ripping off 3/4 mile visibility obs in +RN. It takes some heavy rain to stay down under a mile visibility on an ASOS.

Bob's racking up that water. Nice. Much drier air moving in up north here.... dews back into the 50s and very noticeable from the near 70F dews early afternoon.

It's crazy how the western mountains and adjacent valleys do weather. A guy who worked for me two winters ago now lives at the base of Aspen Highlands, he was like 80F the day prior and then it was snowing that next evening. He only had a sloppy 1-2" from his pics at that elevation but they got like a foot like 1,000ft up the hill. Then the sun comes out and it goes to 70F. The dry air has to help, the wet bulb never seems to go above like 50-60F, even if it's in the 80s for surface temperature. If it rains it gets real cold in a hurry, and then up at like 10,000ft it seems like the wet bulbs are always only in the 30s/40s at the hottest climo period in mid-summer. I do think those dry dew points and low wet bulbs are whey the western mountains have that climate where it can be "beautiful or snowing"... sunny and 40s for skiing but the moment it tries to precipitate it's immediate like 28F and snowing. Unlike here in the East where we are sunny and 40s ahead of a system we can be screwed very fast. They have none of the "antecedent air mass" concerns.... it could even be 50s in March on the slopes when the sun comes out but even so if it precipitates it'll never rain, always snow.

Sort of sounds like any model... if you can recognize the times they are wrong, they can be pretty damn good outside of those times.