powderfreak

Looks like Ithaca and Binghamton out in NY are just seeing some run of the mill light snow in the afternoon in mid-May. KITH 081956Z 34010KT 5SM -SN BR OVC020 02/01 KBGM 082038Z 36012KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR BKN017 BKN024 OVC029 02/M01

NAEFS percentile analysis shows both 500mb height fields and 850 to 500mb thermal profiles near MIN values indicating that the ensemble is forecasting these values to fall outside the 1979-2009 climatology for this time of year and highlighting how cold the progged thermal profiles are expected.

lol yeah just warm enough to snow. Different scene tomorrow morning, hopefully some white trees.

Feeling pretty decently about waking up to white tomorrow, even if just 1-2”. 2-M temps are pretty cold, I think we can get it done with light rates. Just your run of the mill light snow event in mid-May.

Smoked ya! Its like if we ran the NAM every hour, we get the HRRR.

Yeah I’ve seen patches make July here and they are higher latitude. Season long drifting can pack snow into places that take forever to melt.

It’s got the classic residual upslope cloud even in that photo... the low topped thing hugging the hilltops, I bet that’s producing flakes. That has the classic mesoscale cloud look formed low level in response to the terrain.

Ha, yeah as we were discussing yesterday, still good snowpack in the mountains.

12z GFS looked better on the NW side.

lol more snow showers out there. Even with partial sunshine it’s snowing out in May. Cold air mass for sure.

Can’t be all bad there, Happy Birthday dude.

Had some snow showers around this morning, another day with flakes flying in May with more to come. METAR KMVL 081225Z AUTO 26003KT 5SM -SN FEW022 BKN028 OVC060 03/M01

There we go...00z NAM products look more interesting.

SLK ASOS has been reporting light snow for the past two hours as the cold front moves through. Snowing on the Bolton Valley base cam at 2kft. It's going to be a late March or early April style air mass?

Deep rolling thunder here this evening. Dog forgot what it was, freaked out a bit.

Haha, yeah fair enough. I think squalls or convective elements will over produce in some areas even down your way and in SNE. Graupel and flakes in short duration low-visibility bursts. It's really cold upstairs for this time of year, its pretty much the PV of May overhead during max insolation on Saturday. Certainly not as much fun as shacking up with a fine NNE specimen in a cabin at 1,800ft in a rapidly deepening synoptic storm, but I think there's some action on the forum as folks report frozen and squally weather.

I think there will still be flakes flying. Going to be several different things going on from WINDEXy to the low to the follow up energy sparking more squalls.

5-8” in the Catskills towns and 8” in Woodford, VT near Mitch’s hood were the jacks. Pretty anomalous system for sure, ha.

Tonight I gotta get out the external hard drive and find my May 18, 2002 photos from Albany... we got 2.5” at home. I still remember waking up and looking outside and being like no fukkin way.

EPS ensembles for me, ha.

It seems it but it’s really not that out of the ordinary, above normal snowpack but we got a nice bump from the cold April. Craziest part is the end of April was higher than the beginning of the month.

Really hard to get a uniform snow Depth this time of year. It varies so much depending on aspect and even over very small distances, like a ridge in the woods was wind blown through winter and has no snow but there’s 2-4 feet packed into the sides of the ridge. Then you look across the valley and it’s bare to 3,500ft since it faces southeast. It has been very cold as we all know, I truly think it was cold enough to pretty much stop melting in April above like 2000ft. You don’t notice it down low but take another 10F off the monthly temps for 2000-2500ft and higher and you actually get Snow preservation temps. I’d say the second half of April and early May at this elevation in this cold pattern is like SNE in early March. You get some daytime melting on sunny days but it’s also still snowing.

I’m at 2,600ft right now. Probably 20-30” on the ground here but NE facing. Haven’t hit the Spruce line yet. The upper east slopes last forever as they don’t get quite the angle of sun during max heating that the west slopes do. This same elevation is likely bare on the other side. Still 50”+ at the picnic tables at 3500ft+.

I would much prefer days like today. Full sunshine and 55F.

Ha looks like we have to go about it the orographic way on the GGEM now. Luckily we’ve got a few ways to make some winter. I’d be surprised if that cold pool this time of year doesn’t get the terrain to fire off some snow. Phineas is about to find out how that works lol.