jaxjagman

wow,big shift to the east edit:maybe not

GFS seems slow,the rapid isnt even updating on my site

Looking at some OBS,Memphis was suppose to get down to 19,they are at 16 right now

Wonder how cold it will actually get.Euro showed us getting down to 24 tonight,well that's not going to work out very well,we are sitting at 23 right now

National Weather Service Nashville TN 244 PM CST Sat Feb 13 2021 .DISCUSSION... Ok, here we go getting ready to venture into an upcoming winter wonderland. Forecast is problematic, to say the least. Biggest problem is the precip type. It is certainly going to be sufficiently cold enough to support an all snow event west of middle TN. Across our Plateau, some warmer air may allow rain to occur for an uncertain duration. In between, a mixed bag. Details will follow later in this discussion. Another cold day today. The freezing drizzle has ended and that allowed for the advisory to terminate at 18Z as scheduled. Hrrr does elude toward some patchy drizzle perhaps across eastern zones late tonight. Other models not quite in line so I will include this light precip. On Sunday, temps will again struggle and will only warm into the upper 20s northwest, to the mid 30s along and east of I-65. By late in the afternoon we will begin to see the approaching 1st wave of the winter weather assault. Sunday evening, the wintry precip will move in. Warm noses are indicated with a variety of the models. Thus, sleet and freezing rain will be the main types. Amounts with the 1st wave will not be too heavy. Looks like mostly sleet across the northwest where temps will be colder. to the east and southeast however, we will be looking at between one tenth and two tenths of an inch of ice by midday Monday. On Monday afternoon, the second and much stronger intrusion of wintry precip will arrive. Note that the arctic air at that time will begin to exert more of an influence across all areas west of the Plateau. With the depth of the cold air on the increase, the fcst is looking snowier. Furthermore, with temperatures Monday afternoon and evening ranging between 17F and 22F in our far northwest, ratios of a little greater than 10: 1 can be expected for that area. For that reason, the far northwest snow totals will reach up to 6 inches. I will be reissuing the winter storm watch. However, I will need to segment this product into 3 separate groups to cover the rather wide range in precip type and amounts. Across the Plateau, warmer air aloft will lead to warmer sfc temps for that area. They will still receive some ice and a little snow but amounts over there will be rather low. For the central areas including Nashville, we are looking at snowfall amounts of 3-4 inches and also ice accumulation of one to two tenths of an inch. Note that with this storm system, a high multitude of models support liq qpf amounts of nearly 0.75". Furthermore, this significant qpf amount is supported by a rather large coverage area. This means that this is a rather high confidence event in that our winter warning criteria is nearly a slam dunk. The Plateau is the only area where warning criteria may not be met. You see, that warm nose over the lower elevations, is more in place at the surface for the Plateau counties. The bulk of this winter weather system is low level driven. Again, its a little too soon for the warning, but look for it in the next 12-18 hours or so. Look for the snowfall to decrease in coverage from west to east late monday night and into Tuesday morning, when it finally ends. In the ext fcst, we may have another round of winter weather Wed nt into Thursday. Lots of uncertainty at this point. The track will be critical. Main temperature points worth discussion, teens for lows Tues and Wed. Highs will generally be in the 30s through the extended period.

Nice

Nice

Oddly 1905-1906, even tho people lived in a colder era back then was into a more moderate NINO,PER WEBBERWEATHER,in the 1917-18 winter this was a more moderate NINA into the tri-monthlies "OND". -1.04

Memphis would get totally hammered,like John said the best winter for them in decades ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: MEM LAT= 35.05 LON= -90.00 ELE= 285 12Z FEB13 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SAT 12Z 13-FEB -6.4 3.3 127 9096 00007 SAT 18Z 13-FEB -2.9 -0.1 127 9431 36010 SUN 00Z 14-FEB -2.8 -2.7 127 9395 01008 0.00 SUN 06Z 14-FEB -5.4 -0.2 128 8917 01010 0.00 SUN 12Z 14-FEB -7.4 -0.3 127 9202 02010 0.00 SUN 18Z 14-FEB -1.7 -0.8 127 8068 02012 0.00 MON 00Z 15-FEB -2.8 -0.8 127 5907 36011 0.00 MON 06Z 15-FEB -6.3 -1.4 127 6092 01011 0.06 MON 12Z 15-FEB -9.2 -1.8 126 5509 01012 0.01 MON 18Z 15-FEB -10.8 -3.3 126 0 35010 0.43 TUE 00Z 16-FEB -10.6 -5.9 125 0 35010 0.34 TUE 06Z 16-FEB -11.0 -8.0 124 0 34008 0.02 TUE 12Z 16-FEB -15.1 -10.7 124 0 33005 0.00 TUE 18Z 16-FEB -10.0 -7.5 125 0 35004 0.00 WED 00Z 17-FEB -10.9 -5.1 126 0 36003 0.00 WED 06Z 17-FEB -9.2 -0.7 128 0 07005 0.00 WED 12Z 17-FEB -9.1 -2.0 127 0 04004 0.00 WED 18Z 17-FEB -3.7 -1.1 129 0 05006 0.00 THU 00Z 18-FEB -3.3 -0.3 129 0 02008 0.15 THU 06Z 18-FEB -3.2 -0.8 129 0 02008 0.31 THU 12Z 18-FEB -3.8 0.2 129 6763 00010 0.06 THU 18Z 18-FEB -4.3 -1.1 128 0 35012 0.24 FRI 00Z 19-FEB -3.9 -4.4 127 0 34011 0.14 FRI 06Z 19-FEB -4.6 -6.3 127 0 33008 0.05 FRI 12Z 19-FEB -10.1 -5.5 127 0 32005 0.00

Pretty much could be a nasty ice storm after the Valentines day storm for Nashville,if it is anywhere right,could be just rain also depending on any snow pack ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 12Z FEB13 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SAT 12Z 13-FEB -2.5 3.2 129 8608 00006 SAT 18Z 13-FEB 1.1 1.5 129 8409 34006 SUN 00Z 14-FEB 0.5 -1.8 128 9043 34007 0.00 SUN 06Z 14-FEB -3.1 1.0 128 9032 35007 0.00 SUN 12Z 14-FEB -4.5 0.0 128 8667 00007 0.00 SUN 18Z 14-FEB 0.6 -0.4 128 8664 02008 0.00 MON 00Z 15-FEB 0.4 -0.1 129 8340 02007 0.00 MON 06Z 15-FEB -2.7 0.6 128 7222 35007 0.06 MON 12Z 15-FEB -4.1 0.7 128 6999 01007 0.10 MON 18Z 15-FEB -3.0 0.0 128 7030 00006 0.02 TUE 00Z 16-FEB -5.3 0.0 128 3261 02006 0.48 TUE 06Z 16-FEB -7.0 -2.9 127 0 34007 0.22 TUE 12Z 16-FEB -9.2 -8.1 125 0 31005 0.00 TUE 18Z 16-FEB -5.0 -8.0 126 0 30004 0.00 WED 00Z 17-FEB -5.9 -7.8 126 0 32004 0.00 WED 06Z 17-FEB -8.5 -3.1 127 0 03005 0.00 WED 12Z 17-FEB -8.7 -1.7 128 0 01004 0.00 WED 18Z 17-FEB 0.0 0.9 129 5299 06002 0.00 THU 00Z 18-FEB -0.3 0.6 130 4151 35005 0.01 THU 06Z 18-FEB -1.3 -0.1 130 4055 02005 0.20 THU 12Z 18-FEB -0.7 3.0 131 8781 02006 0.57 THU 18Z 18-FEB 0.7 1.8 131 8590 36008 0.25 FRI 00Z 19-FEB -1.0 -0.4 129 3806 33010 0.08 FRI 06Z 19-FEB -4.0 -3.9 127 0 32008 0.04 FRI 12Z 19-FEB -6.4 -6.9 126 0 31008 0.01

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: GLH LAT= 33.48 LON= -90.98 ELE= 131 12Z FEB13 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 3/6 SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP HR LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SAT 12Z 13-FEB -4.8 5.5 129 10085 01010 SAT 15Z 13-FEB -3.0 5.1 129 10083 00010 SAT 18Z 13-FEB 0.8 2.7 129 10245 36010 SAT 21Z 13-FEB 2.3 3.7 130 10076 01009 0.00 SUN 00Z 14-FEB 0.4 1.7 129 9670 01010 0.00 SUN 03Z 14-FEB -1.2 1.9 129 9666 03010 0.00 SUN 06Z 14-FEB -2.6 3.3 129 9668 02010 0.00 SUN 09Z 14-FEB -3.1 2.8 129 9697 02010 0.00 SUN 12Z 14-FEB -4.5 2.9 129 8881 02010 0.00 SUN 15Z 14-FEB -3.0 3.0 129 9090 02012 0.00 SUN 18Z 14-FEB -1.0 1.7 129 8932 02011 0.00 SUN 21Z 14-FEB -0.7 1.7 129 8939 01010 0.00 MON 00Z 15-FEB -2.0 1.9 129 8187 36009 0.03 MON 03Z 15-FEB -2.4 1.9 128 7302 00010 0.01 MON 06Z 15-FEB -3.5 3.9 129 7524 02011 0.01 MON 09Z 15-FEB -4.4 2.9 128 8608 01012 0.00 MON 12Z 15-FEB -5.8 -0.1 127 8187 36012 0.08 MON 15Z 15-FEB -6.9 -0.9 127 312 36012 0.30 MON 18Z 15-FEB -8.5 -1.6 127 13 35011 0.76 MON 21Z 15-FEB -8.8 -3.0 126 12 35009 0.16 TUE 00Z 16-FEB -9.1 -4.4 125 0 34009 0.17 ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: GLH LAT= 33.48 LON= -90.98 ELE= 131 12Z FEB13 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) SAT 12Z 13-FEB 23.3 14.7 01010 56 SAT 18Z 13-FEB 33.2 23.2 33.5 19.2 36010 88 SUN 00Z 14-FEB 36.2 32.9 32.7 14.4 01010 0.00 0.00 98 SUN 06Z 14-FEB 32.7 27.4 27.3 11.2 02010 0.00 0.00 69 SUN 12Z 14-FEB 27.3 24.1 24.0 9.7 02010 0.00 0.00 92 SUN 18Z 14-FEB 30.3 23.6 30.2 14.9 02011 0.00 0.00 100 MON 00Z 15-FEB 31.0 28.5 28.5 15.4 36009 0.03 0.00 100 MON 06Z 15-FEB 28.4 25.8 25.8 16.0 02011 0.01 0.00 99 MON 12Z 15-FEB 25.7 21.6 21.5 16.3 36012 0.08 0.01 100 MON 18Z 15-FEB 21.5 16.7 16.6 12.1 35011 0.76 0.69 99 TUE 00Z 16-FEB 16.7 15.6 15.6 9.8 34009 0.17 0.17 93 TUE 06Z 16-FEB 15.6 12.4 12.2 7.6 34005 0.00 0.00 5 TUE 12Z 16-FEB 12.2 7.7 7.6 3.4 34005 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 18Z 16-FEB 17.4 5.0 17.6 8.0 03004 0.00 0.00 92 WED 00Z 17-FEB 21.9 17.0 16.7 10.7 07004 0.00 0.00 82 WED 06Z 17-FEB 16.8 11.1 11.3 6.6 02004 0.00 0.00 34 WED 12Z 17-FEB 14.0 11.1 14.1 10.2 03005 0.00 0.00 39 WED 18Z 17-FEB 26.9 13.9 27.1 20.2 04008 0.00 0.00 100 THU 00Z 18-FEB 29.9 27.2 28.8 25.4 03010 0.08 0.08 100 THU 06Z 18-FEB 29.0 28.5 28.9 26.8 02011 0.51 0.15 100 THU 12Z 18-FEB 29.4 28.5 28.7 26.2 35010 0.14 0.00 100 THU 18Z 18-FEB 28.7 28.1 28.6 24.5 34011 0.29 0.07 100 FRI 00Z 19-FEB 29.1 28.1 28.6 24.3 33010 0.02 0.02 99 FRI 06Z 19-FEB 28.6 26.6 26.6 22.4 31006 0.02 0.02 7 FRI 12Z 19-FEB 26.6 18.3 18.2 13.8 32006 0.00 0.00 0 FRI 18Z 19-FEB 30.6 16.6 30.6 18.4 13000 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 00Z 20-FEB 34.9 26.7 26.7 21.0 15005 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 06Z 20-FEB 27.7 24.7 24.9 19.2 17006 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 12Z 20-FEB 25.3 24.4 25.4 19.9 17007 0.00 0.00 0

I was in your neck of the woods driving last night.When i started to get to the upslopes it was 27,when i got to the bottom it was 40...lol...quite a contrast to temps

basically yes

Yeah it looks even colder in Memphis,dont look at the qpf's but a change over from IP to sn would happen around 12z to 15z ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: MEM LAT= 35.05 LON= -90.00 ELE= 285 12Z FEB13 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 3/6 SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP HR LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SAT 12Z 13-FEB -6.4 3.3 127 9096 00007 SAT 15Z 13-FEB -5.7 1.0 127 9369 00009 SAT 18Z 13-FEB -2.9 -0.1 127 9431 36010 SAT 21Z 13-FEB -0.4 -0.7 128 9563 35010 0.00 SUN 00Z 14-FEB -2.8 -2.7 127 9395 01008 0.00 SUN 03Z 14-FEB -4.4 -1.6 127 8962 02010 0.00 SUN 06Z 14-FEB -5.4 -0.2 128 8917 01010 0.00 SUN 09Z 14-FEB -6.7 -0.4 127 8814 02010 0.00 SUN 12Z 14-FEB -7.4 -0.3 127 9202 02010 0.00 SUN 15Z 14-FEB -5.9 -0.5 127 9059 01013 0.00 SUN 18Z 14-FEB -1.7 -0.8 127 8068 02012 0.00 SUN 21Z 14-FEB -1.4 -0.8 128 7850 01012 0.00 MON 00Z 15-FEB -2.8 -0.8 127 5907 36011 0.00 MON 03Z 15-FEB -5.1 -0.8 127 3250 01011 0.04 MON 06Z 15-FEB -6.3 -1.4 127 6092 01011 0.06 MON 09Z 15-FEB -7.8 -1.8 126 6851 01010 0.00 MON 12Z 15-FEB -9.2 -1.8 126 5509 01012 0.01 MON 15Z 15-FEB -10.1 -2.8 126 0 01010 0.10 MON 18Z 15-FEB -10.8 -3.3 126 0 35010 0.43 MON 21Z 15-FEB -10.8 -4.3 125 0 35011 0.29 TUE 00Z 16-FEB -10.6 -5.9 125 0 35010 0.34 TUE 03Z 16-FEB -10.8 -7.0 124 0 35009 0.02

Yes,its not as cold

Thanks,he really enjoys it.He is doing virtual college right now,but they pay him real good money also..lol

I had to take my son to Knoxville for a gymnastics meet,he coaches at his gym now,we stayed in Maryvillle overnight so i dont know.My wife is going to pick him up,she has to work at Blount Memorial today so it worked out well

Euro 6z is coming in colder for Memphis.By my calculations looking at other indices it would be around a tenth of a inch IP with over 10" snow,very good ratios.this is the Valentines event ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: MEM LAT= 35.05 LON= -90.00 ELE= 285 06Z FEB13 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) SAT 06Z 13-FEB 22.7 10.9 03008 71 SAT 12Z 13-FEB 22.7 20.8 20.8 10.4 36009 58 SAT 18Z 13-FEB 29.9 20.2 30.2 10.2 35009 0.00 0.00 94 SUN 00Z 14-FEB 32.3 28.9 28.8 10.3 01009 0.00 0.00 98 SUN 06Z 14-FEB 28.8 23.3 23.2 7.5 02010 0.00 0.00 89 SUN 12Z 14-FEB 23.2 18.7 18.7 6.6 02011 0.00 0.00 84 SUN 18Z 14-FEB 29.7 18.1 30.0 7.2 02011 0.00 0.00 49 MON 00Z 15-FEB 31.9 27.0 27.0 8.5 01010 0.01 0.00 100 MON 06Z 15-FEB 27.0 20.4 20.4 14.9 01011 0.09 0.01 100 MON 12Z 15-FEB 20.3 15.9 15.8 7.3 36011 0.01 0.01 100 MON 18Z 15-FEB 15.8 14.3 14.5 6.4 01010 0.13 0.13 100 TUE 00Z 16-FEB 14.6 13.2 13.4 9.5 35009 0.47 0.47 100 TUE 06Z 16-FEB 13.9 13.3 13.3 9.4 34009 0.07 0.07 99 TUE 12Z 16-FEB 13.4 9.9 9.8 5.6 32006 0.00 0.00 81 TUE 18Z 16-FEB 15.9 9.4 16.1 7.6 34004 0.00 0.00 0 WED 00Z 17-FEB 19.0 13.1 13.1 8.0 33004 0.00 0.00 97

I was in that mess,sat in it for a hr and a half,luckily i was a mile from a exit

Uncertainty for Nashville ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 00Z FEB13 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SAT 00Z 13-FEB -1.8 1.6 128 9156 36006 SAT 06Z 13-FEB -2.3 1.5 129 9165 00006 SAT 12Z 13-FEB -2.5 2.1 129 8385 35006 0.00 SAT 18Z 13-FEB 2.6 1.6 129 8140 35006 0.00 SUN 00Z 14-FEB 0.5 -1.2 129 8732 35007 0.00 SUN 06Z 14-FEB -3.5 0.6 128 8889 36007 0.00 SUN 12Z 14-FEB -4.7 0.9 128 8314 01007 0.00 SUN 18Z 14-FEB 2.8 0.9 129 8174 01007 0.00 MON 00Z 15-FEB 1.4 -0.6 129 6526 00006 0.00 MON 06Z 15-FEB -1.0 0.9 129 7634 35007 0.02 MON 12Z 15-FEB -3.1 1.9 129 7576 02007 0.12 MON 18Z 15-FEB -2.3 1.4 129 8837 01007 0.01 TUE 00Z 16-FEB -3.9 0.6 129 5081 36008 0.35 TUE 06Z 16-FEB -4.5 0.3 128 3966 32009 0.43 TUE 12Z 16-FEB -8.4 -5.5 126 0 29006 0.12 TUE 18Z 16-FEB -4.7 -7.1 126 0 30005 0.00 WED 00Z 17-FEB -5.4 -7.6 127 0 33004 0.00 WED 06Z 17-FEB -10.3 -2.8 127 2929 04004 0.00 WED 12Z 17-FEB -8.4 -1.1 127 4316 03003 0.00 WED 18Z 17-FEB -1.2 0.4 129 5100 02004 0.00 THU 00Z 18-FEB -2.1 0.1 130 4488 02005 0.00 THU 06Z 18-FEB -3.2 -0.5 130 2796 00004 0.29 THU 12Z 18-FEB -3.2 -1.0 129 2337 33006 0.08 THU 18Z 18-FEB -2.8 -2.1 128 0 32007 0.03 FRI 00Z 19-FEB -3.3 -7.0 127 0 32006 0.00 FRI 06Z 19-FEB -6.1 -8.9 126 0 32005 0.00 FRI 12Z 19-FEB -12.0 -8.8 125 0 32004 0.00 FRI 18Z 19-FEB -2.5 -6.6 127 0 29001 0.00 SAT 00Z 20-FEB -4.3 -5.3 129 250 14004 0.00

Euro has some better CAA for Memphis,some nice snow showing now ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: MEM LAT= 35.05 LON= -90.00 ELE= 285 00Z FEB13 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SAT 00Z 13-FEB -3.8 1.4 128 9299 04006 SAT 06Z 13-FEB -4.8 2.6 128 9689 02010 SAT 12Z 13-FEB -5.3 1.1 128 8705 00010 0.00 SAT 18Z 13-FEB -0.3 -0.5 128 8074 35010 0.00 SUN 00Z 14-FEB -1.5 -1.0 128 9031 01009 0.00 SUN 06Z 14-FEB -4.6 -0.5 128 8688 02010 0.00 SUN 12Z 14-FEB -7.4 0.5 127 8485 02010 0.00 SUN 18Z 14-FEB -0.3 1.1 128 8251 02011 0.00 MON 00Z 15-FEB -1.0 2.2 129 8213 01011 0.00 MON 06Z 15-FEB -5.8 -1.3 127 7824 00011 0.08 MON 12Z 15-FEB -8.0 -1.4 127 7920 36012 0.01 MON 18Z 15-FEB -9.1 -2.5 126 0 35009 0.22 TUE 00Z 16-FEB -10.1 -3.2 126 0 35011 0.60 TUE 06Z 16-FEB -10.1 -6.2 125 0 33010 0.10 TUE 12Z 16-FEB -14.5 -9.2 124 0 32005 0.00 TUE 18Z 16-FEB -9.8 -6.8 125 0 34004 0.00 WED 00Z 17-FEB -10.5 -4.6 126 0 34005 0.00 WED 06Z 17-FEB -9.8 -1.6 127 0 07005 0.00 WED 12Z 17-FEB -8.6 -2.4 127 0 04005 0.00 WED 18Z 17-FEB -4.5 -1.2 128 0 04007 0.01 THU 00Z 18-FEB -3.9 -1.6 128 0 03006 0.10 THU 06Z 18-FEB -4.5 -2.0 128 0 00008 0.13 THU 12Z 18-FEB -5.7 -3.4 127 0 35009 0.00 THU 18Z 18-FEB -3.5 -6.7 127 0 34008 0.00 FRI 00Z 19-FEB -7.8 -7.0 127 0 32006 0.00 FRI 06Z 19-FEB -12.6 -7.7 127 0 30007 0.00 FRI 12Z 19-FEB -11.6 -5.2 127 0 03002 0.00 FRI 18Z 19-FEB -0.1 -3.8 128 79 25002 0.00 SAT 00Z 20-FEB -1.0 -1.3 130 3420 21004 0.00 SAT 06Z 20-FEB -4.2 -0.7 131 4145 17006 0.00 SAT 12Z 20-FEB -3.7 -1.2 130 3619 18008 0.00 SAT 18Z 20-FEB 3.6 1.7 130 6974 23007 0.00 SUN 00Z 21-FEB 0.7 4.1 132 6547 18005 0.00 SUN 06Z 21-FEB -2.7 3.9 133 8729 15004 0.00 SUN 12Z 21-FEB -4.1 3.7 133 7011 13006 0.00 SUN 18Z 21-FEB 9.4 2.9 134 8516 19008 0.00 MON 00Z 22-FEB 8.2 4.6 134 8660 22009 0.02 MON 06Z 22-FEB 3.4 4.1 133 8152 27006 0.00 MON 12Z 22-FEB -1.6 4.4 133 7458 04003 0.00 MON 18Z 22-FEB 10.8 4.3 133 8233 16004 0.00 TUE 00Z 23-FEB 8.1 4.3 134 7778 19005 0.00

Euro don't look half bad for Memphis,more snow than ice ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: MEM LAT= 35.05 LON= -90.00 ELE= 285 12Z FEB12 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) FRI 12Z 12-FEB -3.6 4.2 128 9497 01009 FRI 18Z 12-FEB 1.6 3.0 129 9687 02010 SAT 00Z 13-FEB 0.1 2.2 129 9706 01010 0.00 SAT 06Z 13-FEB -2.5 2.1 129 9457 02010 0.00 SAT 12Z 13-FEB -5.2 2.0 128 8423 00010 0.00 SAT 18Z 13-FEB 0.4 0.3 128 8644 36009 0.00 SUN 00Z 14-FEB -1.1 -0.8 128 9118 01009 0.00 SUN 06Z 14-FEB -4.2 0.5 128 8658 02010 0.00 SUN 12Z 14-FEB -6.4 -0.1 127 8866 02010 0.00 SUN 18Z 14-FEB -0.9 1.3 128 8061 02011 0.00 MON 00Z 15-FEB -1.3 0.3 128 7381 00011 0.00 MON 06Z 15-FEB -5.5 -0.1 127 7203 00012 0.06 MON 12Z 15-FEB -6.9 -0.1 127 8059 01011 0.03 MON 18Z 15-FEB -8.5 -1.8 127 0 35009 0.18 TUE 00Z 16-FEB -9.8 -4.9 125 0 35010 0.35 TUE 06Z 16-FEB -11.7 -7.8 124 0 34010 0.01 TUE 12Z 16-FEB -15.2 -10.2 124 0 32006 0.00 TUE 18Z 16-FEB -10.1 -8.5 125 0 33005 0.00 WED 00Z 17-FEB -12.1 -6.3 126 0 35004 0.00 WED 06Z 17-FEB -11.5 -1.7 127 5097 07005 0.00 WED 12Z 17-FEB -8.8 -3.5 127 0 02005 0.00 WED 18Z 17-FEB -4.2 -2.0 128 0 04006 0.04 THU 00Z 18-FEB -3.9 -2.3 128 0 01007 0.07 THU 06Z 18-FEB -5.2 -3.4 128 0 36006 0.04 THU 12Z 18-FEB -7.6 -4.9 127 0 35008 0.00 THU 18Z 18-FEB -5.2 -7.1 126 0 33008 0.00 FRI 00Z 19-FEB -8.9 -6.9 127 0 32005 0.00 FRI 06Z 19-FEB FRI 12Z 19-FEB FRI 18Z 19-FEB SAT 00Z 20-FEB

Snowing here,sticking to the roofs so far

Poor Memphis,alot of that is probably IP,not sure if i'd like that ot not,wouldnt go anywhere to soon..lol CMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: MEM LAT= 35.05 LON= -90.00 ELE= 285 12Z FEB11 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) THU 12Z 11-FEB -1.3 8.1 131 10162 01008 THU 18Z 11-FEB 0.5 5.5 131 10066 01008 FRI 00Z 12-FEB 1.2 5.8 130 10160 02008 0.00 FRI 06Z 12-FEB -0.7 5.0 130 9947 01008 0.00 FRI 12Z 12-FEB -3.6 3.4 129 9413 02009 0.00 FRI 18Z 12-FEB 2.6 3.9 129 9665 02010 0.00 SAT 00Z 13-FEB 1.8 3.9 130 9827 01008 0.00 SAT 06Z 13-FEB -0.8 4.8 130 9554 03009 0.00 SAT 12Z 13-FEB -2.7 3.0 130 9309 01010 0.00 SAT 18Z 13-FEB -2.0 2.9 129 8390 00011 0.02 SUN 00Z 14-FEB -2.1 2.8 129 9369 01011 0.00 SUN 06Z 14-FEB -3.4 2.1 129 8808 02011 0.00 SUN 12Z 14-FEB -6.6 1.8 128 8888 02012 0.00 SUN 18Z 14-FEB -1.3 1.8 128 9218 02012 0.00 MON 00Z 15-FEB -1.1 1.8 128 8045 01012 0.00 MON 06Z 15-FEB -4.4 0.6 127 8528 01012 0.04 MON 12Z 15-FEB -6.7 -1.3 127 6958 01012 0.19 MON 18Z 15-FEB -3.5 -0.6 127 7327 04010 0.02 TUE 00Z 16-FEB -6.9 -4.1 126 0 35010 0.26 TUE 06Z 16-FEB -8.0 -8.7 125 0 32009 0.01 TUE 12Z 16-FEB -11.1 -12.4 124 0 30006 0.00 TUE 18Z 16-FEB -7.3 -9.8 124 0 29005 0.00 WED 00Z 17-FEB -9.9 -5.8 126 0 36005 0.00 WED 06Z 17-FEB -9.2 -1.6 127 0 05003 0.00 WED 12Z 17-FEB -7.4 -1.5 127 3090 04003 0.00 WED 18Z 17-FEB -0.7 0.4 129 5069 07005 0.00 THU 00Z 18-FEB -2.1 0.2 129 7351 03010 0.09 THU 06Z 18-FEB -2.3 2.0 130 7980 02009 0.88 THU 12Z 18-FEB -3.5 1.7 130 9310 00010 0.23 THU 18Z 18-FEB -3.6 1.0 129 7043 36011 0.18 FRI 00Z 19-FEB -4.6 -3.8 127 0 34012 0.15 FRI 06Z 19-FEB -5.4 -6.4 126 0 33009 0.09 FRI 12Z 19-FEB -9.7 -8.2 126 0 30006 0.00 FRI 18Z 19-FEB -3.4 -7.5 127 0 29005 0.00 SAT 00Z 20-FEB -5.0 -4.7 129 436 21006 0.00 SAT 06Z 20-FEB -5.7 -2.1 130 3011 19007 0.00 SAT 12Z 20-FEB -4.9 -0.7 131 4197 19007 0.00 SAT 18Z 20-FEB 5.7 3.6 132 7543 21009 0.00

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 12Z FEB11 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) THU 12Z 11-FEB 0.6 6.8 131 9227 02008 THU 18Z 11-FEB 1.8 4.8 131 9157 02007 FRI 00Z 12-FEB 0.7 3.1 130 9465 00006 0.02 FRI 06Z 12-FEB 0.1 3.4 130 9170 01005 0.00 FRI 12Z 12-FEB -2.2 2.5 129 8950 36006 0.00 FRI 18Z 12-FEB 4.8 2.7 130 8890 01006 0.00 SAT 00Z 13-FEB 2.8 1.9 130 9218 36007 0.00 SAT 06Z 13-FEB -0.5 4.2 131 9394 02005 0.00 SAT 12Z 13-FEB -0.5 4.5 131 8585 01006 0.00 SAT 18Z 13-FEB -0.1 3.0 130 8963 35007 0.08 SUN 00Z 14-FEB -0.5 2.5 130 8153 35007 0.02 SUN 06Z 14-FEB -1.6 1.7 129 8102 36006 0.00 SUN 12Z 14-FEB -3.2 2.0 129 8310 01008 0.00 SUN 18Z 14-FEB 0.9 1.3 129 8914 01008 0.00 MON 00Z 15-FEB 1.1 1.0 129 8207 02007 0.00 MON 06Z 15-FEB -1.9 2.4 129 8603 01008 0.05 MON 12Z 15-FEB -4.2 -0.7 128 7846 01009 0.30 MON 18Z 15-FEB -4.0 0.2 128 7397 03009 0.07 TUE 00Z 16-FEB -3.5 0.3 128 6623 35007 0.11 TUE 06Z 16-FEB -4.9 0.5 128 4141 33006 0.21 TUE 12Z 16-FEB -7.4 -6.6 126 0 28007 0.00 TUE 18Z 16-FEB -3.0 -10.7 125 0 27007 0.00 WED 00Z 17-FEB -5.7 -9.1 126 0 31005 0.00 WED 06Z 17-FEB -7.8 -5.7 126 0 06003 0.00 WED 12Z 17-FEB -6.2 -0.7 127 2136 05004 0.00 WED 18Z 17-FEB 2.1 0.6 129 6065 05004 0.00 THU 00Z 18-FEB 1.0 1.9 131 6687 00006 0.00 THU 06Z 18-FEB -1.5 0.4 130 7528 01006 0.08 THU 12Z 18-FEB -0.6 4.9 131 9725 04006 0.56 THU 18Z 18-FEB 2.2 4.7 131 10410 02007 0.33 FRI 00Z 19-FEB 0.1 3.2 130 9797 00008 0.25 FRI 06Z 19-FEB -3.6 -3.2 127 0 31009 0.15 FRI 12Z 19-FEB -6.5 -8.0 126 0 29008 0.02 FRI 18Z 19-FEB -2.5 -10.3 126 0 28008 0.01 SAT 00Z 20-FEB -4.9 -10.8 127 0 28005 0.00