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jaxjagman

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Everything posted by jaxjagman

  1. jaxjagman
    We just missed it here,it went warned just as it passed us,heard some rocks hitting the house but when i looked outside it stopped
  2. jaxjagman
    Decent rotation now
  3. jaxjagman
    Tornado Nolensville
  4. jaxjagman
    We got some hail out of that but not 2 "
  5. jaxjagman
    Some rotation south of nolensville
  6. jaxjagman
    Rotation north of Fairview now
  7. jaxjagman
    Waynesboro is now a PDS
  8. jaxjagman
    Rotation now east of Duck River
  9. jaxjagman
    Mesoscale Discussion 0261 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0445 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 Areas affected...central AL Concerning...Tornado Watch 50... Valid 252145Z - 252245Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues. SUMMARY...A corridor for a long track intense to potentially violent tornado is expected to maximize through the next hour across central AL. DISCUSSION...An intense tornadic supercell located over Hale County will likely remain unimpeded as it moves to the east-northeast across central AL during the next 1-2 hours. The near-storm environment is currently primed across central AL with 0-1 km SRH at 600 m2/s2 per observed storm motion according to the KBMX VAD. Given the very moist/strongly sheared environment, expecting a long-track intense (EF3+) and potentially violent tornado to continue east-northeast and reach the I-65 corridor over the next hour or so. ..Smith.. 03/25/2021
  10. jaxjagman
    Oh my,SW of Birmingham
  11. jaxjagman
    3" hail marker 3"hail marker
  12. jaxjagman
    Mesoscale Discussion 0257 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 Areas affected...far northern Mississippi into Middle Tennessee Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 251929Z - 252130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The threat of severe storms including tornadoes will increase by late afternoon into Middle Tennessee and persist through the evening. A watch may be issued by 21Z. DISCUSSION...Surface analysis currently shows a warm front into far southwestern TN extending east/southeast into northern AL. Meanwhile, another warm front extended from the developing surface low from southern IL into central KY. In between these two fronts, gradual warming is taking place, with temperatures now into the low 70s F. MUCAPE currently remains below 1000 J/kg as a result of dewpoints near 60 F. Strengthening 850 mb winds out of the southwest later today should aid moisture advection out of MS into Middle TN, with areas of heating helping to destabilize as well. Shear will become increasingly favorable for tornadic supercells in the 21-03Z time frame, and a few tornadoes are anticipated as the mid 60s F dewpoints arrive later today. With the more unstable air in place, effective SRH may reach 400-500 m2/s2. ..Jewell/Hart.. 03/25/2021
  13. jaxjagman
    He has thousands of people that follow him and he gives everyone a bad sign,he shouldn't say shit like that...excuse my french
  14. jaxjagman
    Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Birmingham AL 148 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ALC073-117-251900- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0046.000000T0000Z-210325T1900Z/ Shelby AL-Jefferson AL- 148 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR SHELBY COUNTY... ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN SHELBY AND EAST CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTIES... At 147 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located over Mount Laurel, or near Chelsea, moving northeast at 45 mph. TORNADO EMERGENCY for Hwy 280 and 119. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Deadly tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.
  15. jaxjagman
    WWUS54 KBMX 251837 SVSBMX HAZARD...Deadly tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Hoover, Vestavia Hills, Trussville, Leeds, Moody, Chelsea, Indian Springs Village, Vincent, Harpersville, Westover, Shops of Grand River, Oak Mountain State Park, Vandiver, Barber Motorsports Park, Greystone, Highland Lakes, Fowler Lake, Lake Purdy, Brook Highland and Meadowbrook.
  16. jaxjagman
    Yes it will
  17. jaxjagman
    Actually pretty cool,like they did in the old days
  18. jaxjagman
    Couple days ago there was hardly any low level shear ay 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0235 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS AS WELL AS THE MIDWEST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible Saturday across the lower Mississippi through Tennessee Valley regions. Other strong to severe storms are possible across a portion of the Midwest. Isolated damaging wind and large hail are the main threats. ...Lower Mississippi through Tennessee Valley region... Some thunderstorms will probably be ongoing early Saturday, mainly across a portion of the TN Valley. There is some uncertainty regarding how these early storms evolve, but this activity will probably shift northeast and weaken with time. Under the influence of a broad fetch of southwesterly low-level winds, richer moisture with surface dewpoints in the low to mid 60s F will advect northward into this region contributing to moderate instability with up to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE. Other storms might develop during the evening or overnight within the warm advection regime as the low-level jet strengthens. A cold front associated with a northern stream shortwave trough will approach this region from the northwest and likely contribute to the development of additional storms overnight, likely consolidating into lines and clusters. This activity will be embedded within strong vertical wind profiles supporting the potential for a few organized structures capable of mainly isolated strong to damaging wind gusts and hail. ...Midwest region... Low-level moisture will be more limited in this region. However, cold air aloft will compensate and the atmosphere could become at least marginally unstable as the boundary layer warms during the afternoon. Storms may initiate along frontal zone within a strongly sheared environment supportive of a few organized storms capable of isolated large hail and damaging wind. ..Dial.. 03/25/2021
  19. jaxjagman
    Not sure
  20. jaxjagman
    3kNAM is showing what Jeff said up above.The OFB starts to work its way up from MS/AL.In the mean time a inverersion will be into place late morning into early afternoon,this inversion will break early afternoon and the storms should start to explode mid afternoon
  21. jaxjagman
    I don't think i'd have ever guessed that
  22. jaxjagman
    Where are you?
  23. jaxjagman
    https://www.windy.com/pois?lclouds,33.376,-72.751,5 You can basically see the same here
  24. jaxjagman
    Took the GFS off,that was yesterday it hasnt loaded yet
  25. jaxjagman
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