jaxjagman

Think John mentioned this a couple days ago, this look more like a ANA-FRONT,Even the Euro shows some showalter so a rumble of thunder would seem to be a possibility along the front

Weak system in the long range,just looking at the teles it looks like the AO could possibly stay -ve into the new year with a weak but +PNA ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 12Z DEC19 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SAT 12Z 19-DEC 2.1 3.9 133 6348 18008 SAT 18Z 19-DEC 7.9 4.1 133 6720 18007 SUN 00Z 20-DEC 6.2 3.4 133 6534 18006 0.03 SUN 06Z 20-DEC 5.0 0.5 132 4793 19004 0.27 SUN 12Z 20-DEC 5.4 2.0 132 5253 19003 0.08 SUN 18Z 20-DEC 8.5 1.1 132 5906 26003 0.01 MON 00Z 21-DEC 4.9 0.9 132 4822 17002 0.01 MON 06Z 21-DEC 2.7 1.5 132 4656 24004 0.00 MON 12Z 21-DEC 2.1 2.1 132 5376 21005 0.00 MON 18Z 21-DEC 12.1 5.0 134 7742 23010 0.00 TUE 00Z 22-DEC 8.3 3.5 134 6766 26007 0.00 TUE 06Z 22-DEC 5.3 0.2 132 8016 29007 0.00 TUE 12Z 22-DEC 1.8 3.9 132 8424 32005 0.00 TUE 18Z 22-DEC 9.4 5.5 133 8554 08002 0.00 WED 00Z 23-DEC 6.5 6.9 134 9796 14004 0.00 WED 06Z 23-DEC 2.9 8.1 134 9213 15006 0.00 WED 12Z 23-DEC 4.1 8.3 134 9110 17007 0.00 WED 18Z 23-DEC 13.2 7.6 134 9746 17011 0.00 THU 00Z 24-DEC 9.7 5.8 134 9309 16010 0.03 THU 06Z 24-DEC 11.1 7.1 135 9337 16014 0.03 THU 12Z 24-DEC 11.0 7.9 135 8909 17012 0.46 THU 18Z 24-DEC 11.3 6.9 134 8095 25007 0.41 FRI 00Z 25-DEC 0.3 -2.2 129 102 32009 0.08 FRI 06Z 25-DEC -2.7 -9.0 127 0 32011 0.04 FRI 12Z 25-DEC -4.9 -10.5 125 0 30010 0.05 FRI 18Z 25-DEC -1.3 -9.1 126 0 28009 0.00 SAT 00Z 26-DEC -2.3 -7.9 128 0 27006 0.00 SAT 06Z 26-DEC -2.4 -5.2 129 0 27007 0.00 SAT 12Z 26-DEC -3.9 -3.7 129 0 28005 0.00 SAT 18Z 26-DEC 4.2 -3.3 130 1044 27003 0.00 SUN 00Z 27-DEC 0.9 -1.3 130 2251 22002 0.00 SUN 06Z 27-DEC -2.8 1.1 131 7408 17004 0.00 SUN 12Z 27-DEC -3.4 2.3 131 8326 15005 0.00 SUN 18Z 27-DEC 8.3 3.8 132 8083 17007 0.00 MON 00Z 28-DEC 4.7 4.4 133 8252 16008 0.00 MON 06Z 28-DEC 4.8 2.5 132 5652 17011 0.00 MON 12Z 28-DEC 3.8 1.6 132 5272 17011 0.21 MON 18Z 28-DEC 5.7 -1.9 131 2722 21008 0.12 TUE 00Z 29-DEC 3.4 -4.8 130 1549 26006 0.06 TUE 06Z 29-DEC 2.3 -6.3 129 1323 27005 0.02 TUE 12Z 29-DEC 1.6 -7.2 129 768 29005 0.01

I know it's banter but i just had to thinking of the Euro and weather,seems fitting with our last years during Christmas wanting snow and even cold

Late night it seems,you would wake up to a White X-Mas tho for a change,this alone is exciting

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TRI LAT= 36.47 LON= -82.40 ELE= 1519 12Z DEC19 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SAT 12Z 19-DEC -3.5 1.2 131 6941 12002 SAT 18Z 19-DEC 7.7 2.1 132 5805 25002 SUN 00Z 20-DEC 0.5 2.8 132 6722 12003 0.00 SUN 06Z 20-DEC 1.6 1.8 132 4366 16004 0.00 SUN 12Z 20-DEC 1.3 -0.9 131 2515 16002 0.01 SUN 18Z 20-DEC 8.8 1.5 133 3717 28002 0.00 MON 00Z 21-DEC 4.8 2.3 133 4036 17002 0.00 MON 06Z 21-DEC 4.2 0.8 132 3354 26003 0.02 MON 12Z 21-DEC 1.9 -0.3 131 2564 25004 0.03 MON 18Z 21-DEC 7.3 1.2 132 3400 24007 0.00 TUE 00Z 22-DEC 6.6 1.3 133 3341 26011 0.00 TUE 06Z 22-DEC 3.8 -1.8 132 2219 26010 0.00 TUE 12Z 22-DEC 1.6 -5.4 130 1244 26006 0.00 TUE 18Z 22-DEC 6.4 -1.3 131 6428 30006 0.00 WED 00Z 23-DEC 2.3 2.6 132 7429 21004 0.00 WED 06Z 23-DEC -0.3 6.5 133 8186 11004 0.00 WED 12Z 23-DEC -0.3 7.3 134 7889 13003 0.00 WED 18Z 23-DEC 12.0 7.5 134 8501 16007 0.00 THU 00Z 24-DEC 6.3 6.9 133 8272 15008 0.00 THU 06Z 24-DEC 7.2 5.5 134 7642 13006 0.00 THU 12Z 24-DEC 8.6 7.2 135 8171 13007 0.05 THU 18Z 24-DEC 10.8 7.7 136 7439 16008 0.10 FRI 00Z 25-DEC 9.6 9.2 136 7811 18001 0.67 FRI 06Z 25-DEC 8.3 5.7 134 6277 30006 0.95 FRI 12Z 25-DEC 0.0 -6.1 129 64 29008 0.23 FRI 18Z 25-DEC -4.2 -11.5 127 0 27011 0.22 SAT 00Z 26-DEC -5.1 -12.3 127 0 27010 0.05 SAT 06Z 26-DEC -6.0 -13.1 126 0 26007 0.00 SAT 12Z 26-DEC -6.9 -11.2 126 0 24007 0.00 SAT 18Z 26-DEC -1.1 -10.4 128 0 28010 0.00 SUN 00Z 27-DEC -4.4 -8.5 128 0 28006 0.00 SUN 06Z 27-DEC -7.2 -7.0 128 0 20003 0.00 SUN 12Z 27-DEC 55 10002 0.00 SUN 18Z 27-DEC

CMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: CHA LAT= 35.03 LON= -85.20 ELE= 689 12Z DEC19 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SAT 12Z 19-DEC -1.1 2.4 131 8118 18004 SAT 18Z 19-DEC 8.6 3.4 132 8373 17007 SUN 00Z 20-DEC 5.8 3.5 132 7059 16006 0.00 SUN 06Z 20-DEC 5.1 1.6 132 5185 17006 0.00 SUN 12Z 20-DEC 4.5 2.8 133 5772 16003 0.06 SUN 18Z 20-DEC 9.0 3.0 133 5844 21004 0.01 MON 00Z 21-DEC 7.7 2.1 133 5670 25002 0.01 MON 06Z 21-DEC 5.4 1.9 133 4723 28004 0.00 MON 12Z 21-DEC 3.1 2.2 132 4972 26003 0.00 MON 18Z 21-DEC 10.2 4.3 133 8084 24008 0.00 TUE 00Z 22-DEC 7.9 4.9 134 7788 25006 0.00 TUE 06Z 22-DEC 4.6 2.3 133 9342 26006 0.00 TUE 12Z 22-DEC 3.0 3.9 132 9222 34005 0.00 TUE 18Z 22-DEC 10.1 6.2 133 10070 01004 0.00 WED 00Z 23-DEC 5.2 7.6 134 9940 07003 0.00 WED 06Z 23-DEC 1.6 9.2 134 9857 08002 0.00 WED 12Z 23-DEC 3.6 7.9 133 9144 16006 0.00 WED 18Z 23-DEC 12.4 7.0 134 9222 16010 0.00 THU 00Z 24-DEC 10.0 5.5 134 9307 16009 0.00 THU 06Z 24-DEC 9.5 5.2 134 8780 16009 0.04 THU 12Z 24-DEC 11.3 7.1 135 9741 16014 0.12 THU 18Z 24-DEC 12.8 8.6 136 8619 17007 0.75 FRI 00Z 25-DEC 8.0 7.2 134 6928 30008 0.25 FRI 06Z 25-DEC -0.4 -5.7 128 16 30008 0.10 FRI 12Z 25-DEC -3.2 -11.6 127 0 29010 0.11 FRI 18Z 25-DEC -1.2 -11.0 127 0 28010 0.04 SAT 00Z 26-DEC -2.3 -8.0 128 0 27007 0.00 SAT 06Z 26-DEC -4.1 -7.2 128 0 24005 0.00 SAT 12Z 26-DEC -4.1 -3.3 129 0 26005 0.00 SAT 18Z 26-DEC 4.9 -3.2 130 1245 29004 0.00 SUN 00Z 27-DEC 1.4 -1.9 131 2081 29005 0.00

Nice hit for TYS ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TYS LAT= 35.82 LON= -83.98 ELE= 981 12Z DEC19 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SAT 12Z 19-DEC -2.0 1.8 131 7381 15004 SAT 18Z 19-DEC 8.2 2.7 132 7872 23004 SUN 00Z 20-DEC 3.3 2.8 132 6826 13004 0.00 SUN 06Z 20-DEC 3.6 1.8 132 4948 17004 0.00 SUN 12Z 20-DEC 3.1 0.5 132 3989 13004 0.05 SUN 18Z 20-DEC 7.4 2.0 133 5082 23002 0.01 MON 00Z 21-DEC 5.9 2.0 133 4402 27003 0.00 MON 06Z 21-DEC 5.7 0.3 132 3541 28003 0.01 MON 12Z 21-DEC 2.7 1.1 132 3836 23004 0.00 MON 18Z 21-DEC 9.7 2.5 133 5786 24010 0.00 TUE 00Z 22-DEC 7.4 2.1 133 4590 24009 0.00 TUE 06Z 22-DEC 4.2 -0.4 132 3409 23006 0.00 TUE 12Z 22-DEC 1.2 -1.4 131 7591 26004 0.00 TUE 18Z 22-DEC 8.2 3.0 132 8209 36003 0.00 WED 00Z 23-DEC 4.1 5.4 133 9605 20002 0.00 WED 06Z 23-DEC 1.1 8.2 134 9096 09004 0.00 WED 12Z 23-DEC 1.2 7.2 133 8778 13004 0.00 WED 18Z 23-DEC 12.3 7.4 134 8720 17004 0.00 THU 00Z 24-DEC 8.2 6.7 134 9240 18006 0.00 THU 06Z 24-DEC 7.5 5.7 134 8984 15005 0.02 THU 12Z 24-DEC 10.8 7.1 135 9321 16005 0.08 THU 18Z 24-DEC 12.3 9.7 136 8951 16011 0.56 FRI 00Z 25-DEC 10.5 7.9 136 6745 23003 0.52 FRI 06Z 25-DEC 2.0 -2.2 130 806 28005 0.31 FRI 12Z 25-DEC -2.8 -9.9 127 0 28007 0.25 FRI 18Z 25-DEC -4.4 -12.8 126 0 27009 0.21 SAT 00Z 26-DEC -4.4 -11.2 127 0 26007 0.00 SAT 06Z 26-DEC -6.1 -9.9 127 0 22006 0.00 SAT 12Z 26-DEC -6.5 -6.9 127 0 22006 0.00 SAT 18Z 26-DEC 0.6 -6.7 129 298 26004 0.00 SUN 00Z 27-DEC

Looks like the FZ heights crash fast,maybe a couple inches here. ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 12Z DEC19 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SAT 12Z 19-DEC 2.1 3.9 133 6348 18008 SAT 18Z 19-DEC 7.9 4.1 133 6720 18007 SUN 00Z 20-DEC 6.2 3.4 133 6534 18006 0.03 SUN 06Z 20-DEC 5.0 0.5 132 4793 19004 0.27 SUN 12Z 20-DEC 5.4 2.0 132 5253 19003 0.08 SUN 18Z 20-DEC 8.5 1.1 132 5906 26003 0.01 MON 00Z 21-DEC 4.9 0.9 132 4822 17002 0.01 MON 06Z 21-DEC 2.7 1.5 132 4656 24004 0.00 MON 12Z 21-DEC 2.1 2.1 132 5376 21005 0.00 MON 18Z 21-DEC 12.1 5.0 134 7742 23010 0.00 TUE 00Z 22-DEC 8.3 3.5 134 6766 26007 0.00 TUE 06Z 22-DEC 5.3 0.2 132 8016 29007 0.00 TUE 12Z 22-DEC 1.8 3.9 132 8424 32005 0.00 TUE 18Z 22-DEC 9.4 5.5 133 8554 08002 0.00 WED 00Z 23-DEC 6.5 6.9 134 9796 14004 0.00 WED 06Z 23-DEC 2.9 8.1 134 9213 15006 0.00 WED 12Z 23-DEC 4.1 8.3 134 9110 17007 0.00 WED 18Z 23-DEC 13.2 7.6 134 9746 17011 0.00 THU 00Z 24-DEC 9.7 5.8 134 9309 16010 0.03 THU 06Z 24-DEC 11.1 7.1 135 9337 16014 0.03 THU 12Z 24-DEC 11.0 7.9 135 8909 17012 0.46 THU 18Z 24-DEC 11.3 6.9 134 8095 25007 0.41 FRI 00Z 25-DEC 0.3 -2.2 129 102 32009 0.08 FRI 06Z 25-DEC -2.7 -9.0 127 0 32011 0.04 FRI 12Z 25-DEC -4.9 -10.5 125 0 30010 0.05 FRI 18Z 25-DEC -1.3 -9.1 126 0 28009 0.00 SAT 00Z 26-DEC -2.3 -7.9 128 0 27006 0.00 SAT 06Z 26-DEC -2.4 -5.2 129 0 27007 0.00

No doubt GFS 0.5 Degree FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 12Z DEC19 * - APPROXIMATED SFC SFC 2 M SFC SFC SFC 6 HR TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND PCP QPF CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (PCT) SAT 12Z 19-DEC 34.2 27.2 18006 SAT 18Z 19-DEC 43.2 34.0 42.9 31.8 19008 0.00 100 SUN 00Z 20-DEC 45.0 41.9 41.9 36.1 20003 RA 0.02 100 SUN 06Z 20-DEC 42.6 41.2 41.8 39.7 20006 RA 0.18 100 SUN 12Z 20-DEC 42.2 41.5 42.0 40.7 19004 0.03 99 SUN 18Z 20-DEC 48.5 42.0 48.4 44.1 24003 0.00 95 MON 00Z 21-DEC 48.9 42.1 42.1 40.1 23002 0.00 62 MON 06Z 21-DEC 42.1 38.3 38.3 36.9 23005 0.00 9 MON 12Z 21-DEC 39.3 37.4 38.7 37.5 23007 0.00 29 MON 18Z 21-DEC 51.8 38.1 51.8 36.3 25013 0.00 25 TUE 00Z 22-DEC 52.5 44.8 44.8 38.7 25007 0.00 0 TUE 06Z 22-DEC 44.7 40.2 40.2 32.2 28005 0.00 0 TUE 12Z 22-DEC 40.1 35.8 35.8 28.3 32004 0.00 0 TUE 18Z 22-DEC 47.3 35.1 47.3 29.7 02002 0.00 0 WED 00Z 23-DEC 49.1 40.8 40.8 30.8 13004 0.00 0 WED 06Z 23-DEC 40.8 38.4 38.7 31.0 17006 0.00 40 WED 12Z 23-DEC 41.1 38.7 41.1 31.0 17012 0.00 64 WED 18Z 23-DEC 53.2 41.1 53.2 38.0 19017 0.00 48 THU 00Z 24-DEC 54.7 50.5 50.5 43.9 18014 RA 0.05 82 THU 06Z 24-DEC 51.0 35.5 35.6 34.4 32008 SN 0.80 100 THU 12Z 24-DEC 35.7 28.5 29.0 23.0 29009 0.21 95 THU 18Z 24-DEC 30.6 26.3 30.3 17.5 28014 0.00 38 FRI 00Z 25-DEC 30.4 22.9 22.9 11.7 28009 0.01 88 FRI 06Z 25-DEC 23.0 17.7 17.7 5.7 28011 0.00 93 FRI 12Z 25-DEC 17.8 16.2 16.8 3.8 28009 0.00 91 FRI 18Z 25-DEC 25.8 16.5 25.8 7.0 27007 0.00 5 SAT 00Z 26-DEC 29.2 24.5 25.0 13.6 22005 0.00 0 SAT 06Z 26-DEC 25.4 24.3 25.0 12.0 21006 0.00 10 SAT 12Z 26-DEC 25.3 24.3 25.1 13.3 20006 0.00 33 SAT 18Z 26-DEC 39.0 24.7 39.0 22.4 22007 0.00 81 SUN 00Z 27-DEC 39.9 34.0 34.0 27.7 16005 0.00 100 SUN 06Z 27-DEC 34.2 33.0 33.3 25.1 18003 0.00 100 SUN 12Z 27-DEC 33.6 32.0 32.5 26.9 11005 0.00 98 SUN 18Z 27-DEC 40.3 33.0 38.7 35.1 15006 RA 0.02 100 MON 00Z 28-DEC 38.7 33.5 33.8 33.3 08004 RA 0.24 100 MON 06Z 28-DEC 35.3 33.7 35.3 34.7 36004 RA 0.11 100 MON 12Z 28-DEC 37.8 35.3 37.8 36.9 31007 RA 0.09 100 MON 18Z 28-DEC 39.6 37.3 38.1 35.1 30011 0.01 100 TUE 00Z 29-DEC 38.3 31.2 31.2 27.8 30011 SN 0.01 99 TUE 06Z 29-DEC 31.1 24.3 24.3 16.7 30008 0.00 71 TUE 12Z 29-DEC 24.2 22.1 22.1 13.0 31006 0.00 0 TUE 18Z 29-DEC 33.1 22.0 33.1 10.0 30006 0.00 0 WED 00Z 30-DEC 35.2 29.2 29.4 11.8 05000 0.00 25 WED 06Z 30-DEC 30.1 28.1 29.2 14.5 16002 0.00 68 WED 12Z 30-DEC 30.5 28.0 28.8 18.5 14006 0.01 99 WED 18Z 30-DEC 33.6 28.9 31.8 26.9 18008 IP 0.10 100 THU 00Z 31-DEC 33.8 30.4 33.8 33.0 17009 RA 0.16 100 THU 06Z 31-DEC 36.6 33.8 36.5 36.4 19006 0.01 100 THU 12Z 31-DEC 37.3 36.1 36.4 36.2 30005 0.01 100 THU 18Z 31-DEC 36.4 34.1 35.7 32.9 30007 SN 0.00 100 FRI 00Z 01-JAN 35.9 31.4 31.4 27.7 31006 SN 0.00 100 FRI 06Z 01-JAN 31.4 25.2 25.2 22.2 31002 0.00 57 FRI 12Z 01-JAN 25.2 22.9 23.3 20.8 13003 0.00 6 FRI 18Z 01-JAN 35.2 23.8 35.2 26.8 14005 0.00 100 SAT 00Z 02-JAN 37.3 34.0 34.6 29.1 15008 0.00 100 SAT 06Z 02-JAN 36.8 34.5 36.6 29.9 17010 RA 0.01 100 SAT 12Z 02-JAN 36.9 34.2 34.9 33.8 18010 RA 0.40 100 SAT 18Z 02-JAN 37.2 34.3 36.6 35.7 24004 RA 0.22 100 SUN 00Z 03-JAN 37.4 29.3 29.3 26.7 34004 0.01 86 SUN 06Z 03-JAN 29.5 24.4 24.5 20.8 34004 0.00 16 SUN 12Z 03-JAN 24.7 22.4 23.2 18.4 00006 0.00 49 SUN 18Z 03-JAN 25.9 22.3 25.9 17.1 00007 0.00 98 MON 00Z 04-JAN 27.3 20.9 20.9 13.7 00007 0.00 66 MON 06Z 04-JAN 20.9 15.6 15.6 2.5 36007 0.00 42 MON 12Z 04-JAN 15.5 12.1 12.1 0.2 00006 0.00 79

Definite troughs coming out of east East Asia,in the mid to long range,just got to figure out the teleconnections but sure seems to me it could be a decent cold snap upcoming

I'm starting to get the feeling towards the new year into the first of the new year it could get bone chillin cold.Some hints the AO could really drop with troughs coming out of East Asia with even some hints of a possible strenghten +PNA,even the Euro is giving a hint at this in of the long range with a polar high sort of speaking,even if you look at the NAO,all signs are pointing at this possibly

GFS 0.5 Degree FORECAST FOR: TRI LAT= 36.47 LON= -82.40 ELE= 1519 12Z DEC18 * - APPROXIMATED 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) FRI 12Z 18-DEC -4.1 -9.5 127 28 30002 0.09 FRI 18Z 18-DEC 2.8 -6.2 129 2039 03001 0.00 0.09 SAT 00Z 19-DEC -1.5 -0.2 130 9841 10003 0.00 0.09 SAT 06Z 19-DEC -1.9 2.0 130 9551 07002 0.00 0.09 SAT 12Z 19-DEC -2.1 1.5 130 8429 11001 0.00 0.09 SAT 18Z 19-DEC 7.7 1.9 132 8115 26002 0.00 0.06 SUN 00Z 20-DEC 1.7 2.8 132 7994 10002 0.00 0.06 SUN 06Z 20-DEC 0.8 1.5 131 6303 15002 0.00 0.06 SUN 12Z 20-DEC 0.7 -1.1 130 3004 09002 RA 0.05 0.14 SUN 18Z 20-DEC 4.1 1.5 132 5648 04001 RA 0.03 0.14 MON 00Z 21-DEC 3.4 1.8 132 5804 09001 RA 0.04 0.11 MON 06Z 21-DEC 3.6 -0.3 132 4590 24004 0.04 0.12 MON 12Z 21-DEC 2.1 -1.4 131 3532 25004 0.01 0.12 MON 18Z 21-DEC 4.6 -2.5 131 3448 25011 0.00 0.11 TUE 00Z 22-DEC 3.7 -1.6 132 4013 25010 RA 0.02 0.12 TUE 06Z 22-DEC 0.8 -4.1 130 3025 27006 0.03 0.12 TUE 12Z 22-DEC -1.1 -6.4 129 1247 25007 0.00 0.15 TUE 18Z 22-DEC 1.9 -4.7 129 2656 29004 0.00 0.14 WED 00Z 23-DEC -1.0 1.5 130 10363 08002 0.00 0.11 WED 06Z 23-DEC -1.9 6.4 131 10532 10003 0.00 0.11 WED 12Z 23-DEC -1.7 7.2 131 10411 12002 0.00 0.11 WED 18Z 23-DEC 9.1 7.1 133 10256 15005 0.00 0.11 THU 00Z 24-DEC 3.5 3.7 132 8206 15003 0.00 0.08 THU 06Z 24-DEC 2.4 1.7 132 6192 08002 RA 0.02 0.08 THU 12Z 24-DEC 2.9 0.1 131 4504 31001 RA 0.22 0.09 THU 18Z 24-DEC -4.1 -11.1 127 1 29010 SN 0.53 0.57 FRI 00Z 25-DEC -7.5 -11.8 126 0 29007 SN 0.06 0.66 FRI 06Z 25-DEC -11.0 -18.0 124 0 28009 SN 0.04 0.73 FRI 12Z 25-DEC -15.2 -20.9 122 0 26008 0.01 0.73

GFS 0.5 Degree FORECAST FOR: CHA LAT= 35.03 LON= -85.20 ELE= 689 12Z DEC18 * - APPROXIMATED 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) FRI 12Z 18-DEC -2.9 -1.9 129 0 02003 0.00 FRI 18Z 18-DEC 6.6 1.0 131 10250 02004 0.00 0.00 SAT 00Z 19-DEC 0.9 3.4 131 10309 04003 0.00 0.00 SAT 06Z 19-DEC -0.6 3.8 131 10176 10001 0.00 0.00 SAT 12Z 19-DEC -1.2 2.7 131 9386 16002 0.00 0.00 SAT 18Z 19-DEC 8.5 3.3 132 8834 17007 0.00 0.00 SUN 00Z 20-DEC 4.0 3.3 132 7957 16003 0.00 0.00 SUN 06Z 20-DEC 3.6 -1.7 131 4022 16003 0.03 0.00 SUN 12Z 20-DEC 3.8 2.8 132 6607 17002 RA 0.06 0.00 SUN 18Z 20-DEC 6.9 2.6 133 6694 17003 0.08 0.00 MON 00Z 21-DEC 6.9 0.9 133 5159 18001 0.00 0.00 MON 06Z 21-DEC 4.1 0.9 132 5363 26002 0.01 0.00 MON 12Z 21-DEC 4.3 1.0 131 5951 23003 0.00 0.00 MON 18Z 21-DEC 8.6 2.7 132 6738 24007 0.00 0.00 TUE 00Z 22-DEC 6.3 0.5 133 5341 27006 0.00 0.00 TUE 06Z 22-DEC 4.0 -0.3 132 4663 27005 0.00 0.00 TUE 12Z 22-DEC 0.6 -0.3 130 9494 33003 0.00 0.00 TUE 18Z 22-DEC 8.3 2.5 131 11103 35004 0.00 0.00 WED 00Z 23-DEC 3.5 6.8 132 10954 10002 0.00 0.00 WED 06Z 23-DEC 1.4 9.4 133 10672 16002 0.00 0.00 WED 12Z 23-DEC 1.4 6.4 132 10389 17005 0.00 0.00 WED 18Z 23-DEC 9.6 4.3 132 9111 18009 0.00 0.00 THU 00Z 24-DEC 7.2 4.2 133 7885 16008 0.00 0.00 THU 06Z 24-DEC 6.2 1.9 132 6131 29003 RA 0.54 0.00 THU 12Z 24-DEC -1.6 -7.1 128 176 35006 SN 0.69 0.43 THU 18Z 24-DEC 0.6 -10.2 128 1124 30011 SN 0.03 0.51 FRI 00Z 25-DEC -5.6 -13.4 126 0 30007 0.01 0.49 FRI 06Z 25-DEC -9.9 -16.1 124 0 28004 0.00 0.54 FRI 12Z 25-DEC -11.6 -15.3 124 0 27004 0.00 0.54 GFS 0.5 Degree FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 12Z DEC18 * - APPROXIMATED 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) FRI 12Z 18-DEC -2.0 -1.8 129 19 16003 0.00 FRI 18Z 18-DEC 6.1 -0.2 130 9572 16003 0.00 0.00 SAT 00Z 19-DEC 2.4 2.1 132 9583 14004 0.00 0.00 SAT 06Z 19-DEC 1.0 2.3 132 8858 17005 0.00 0.00 SAT 12Z 19-DEC 0.8 2.6 132 7793 17007 0.00 0.00 SAT 18Z 19-DEC 7.9 3.5 132 7298 19010 0.00 0.00 SUN 00Z 20-DEC 6.0 3.4 132 7392 18007 RA 0.00 0.00 SUN 06Z 20-DEC 5.7 1.1 132 6033 17009 0.13 0.00 SUN 12Z 20-DEC 5.8 1.3 132 5492 18005 RA 0.17 0.00 SUN 18Z 20-DEC 9.2 1.2 132 5401 26004 RA 0.01 0.00 MON 00Z 21-DEC 6.0 1.3 132 5378 24002 0.00 0.00 MON 06Z 21-DEC 3.8 0.9 132 5166 23004 0.00 0.00 MON 12Z 21-DEC 2.6 1.3 132 5552 23005 0.00 0.00 MON 18Z 21-DEC 10.2 3.5 133 6404 25013 0.00 0.00 TUE 00Z 22-DEC 6.4 0.3 133 4858 24008 0.00 0.00 TUE 06Z 22-DEC 4.5 -3.4 131 3325 29007 0.00 0.00 TUE 12Z 22-DEC 1.5 -0.2 130 9956 31005 0.00 0.00 TUE 18Z 22-DEC 7.8 3.1 131 10510 02001 0.00 0.00 WED 00Z 23-DEC 4.2 7.7 133 10484 15004 0.00 0.00 WED 06Z 23-DEC 3.4 8.8 134 10559 18007 0.00 0.00 WED 12Z 23-DEC 4.7 8.2 133 9466 18011 0.00 0.00 WED 18Z 23-DEC 9.8 4.4 133 7882 19016 0.00 0.00 THU 00Z 24-DEC 7.7 2.2 133 6420 22009 RA 0.14 0.00 THU 06Z 24-DEC -0.7 -8.3 128 291 35009 SN 0.50 0.27 THU 12Z 24-DEC -3.8 -9.4 128 0 30003 0.01 0.34 THU 18Z 24-DEC -1.0 -13.2 127 221 29012 0.00 0.31 FRI 00Z 25-DEC -5.5 -15.8 125 0 30008 0.01 0.32 FRI 06Z 25-DEC -8.7 -16.6 124 0 29006 0.00 0.32 FRI 12Z 25-DEC -10.1 -16.0 123 0 28006 0.00 0.30 GFS 0.5 Degree FORECAST FOR: TYS LAT= 35.82 LON= -83.98 ELE= 981 12Z DEC18 * - APPROXIMATED 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) FRI 12Z 18-DEC -2.6 -4.0 128 211 03002 0.00 FRI 18Z 18-DEC 4.7 -1.1 130 4510 05003 0.00 0.00 SAT 00Z 19-DEC 1.4 1.3 131 10188 07002 0.00 0.00 SAT 06Z 19-DEC 0.5 3.0 131 9367 11001 0.00 0.00 SAT 12Z 19-DEC -0.2 2.1 131 8675 15002 0.00 0.00 SAT 18Z 19-DEC 7.2 2.5 132 8381 23003 0.00 0.00 SUN 00Z 20-DEC 4.1 3.0 132 7730 16002 0.00 0.00 SUN 06Z 20-DEC 3.3 -2.0 131 3538 20004 RA 0.01 0.01 SUN 12Z 20-DEC 3.2 1.2 132 5703 10003 RA 0.05 0.03 SUN 18Z 20-DEC 5.0 2.4 132 6242 21001 RA 0.05 0.03 MON 00Z 21-DEC 5.0 1.3 132 5511 19001 RA 0.01 0.03 MON 06Z 21-DEC 4.7 -0.1 132 4671 26003 0.01 0.03 MON 12Z 21-DEC 4.4 -0.2 131 4335 24005 0.00 0.03 MON 18Z 21-DEC 7.5 0.3 132 5400 24009 0.00 0.03 TUE 00Z 22-DEC 6.0 -1.1 132 4265 26008 0.00 0.03 TUE 06Z 22-DEC 3.6 -1.5 131 3866 25007 0.00 0.03 TUE 12Z 22-DEC 0.8 -4.3 130 2072 24003 0.00 0.03 TUE 18Z 22-DEC 7.4 -0.6 131 10304 34001 0.00 0.03 WED 00Z 23-DEC 3.4 3.7 131 10747 08002 0.00 0.03 WED 06Z 23-DEC 1.6 8.5 132 10674 11002 0.00 0.03 WED 12Z 23-DEC 0.8 6.4 132 10481 16002 0.00 0.03 WED 18Z 23-DEC 9.5 4.7 133 9662 21003 0.00 0.01 THU 00Z 24-DEC 7.0 4.3 133 7775 17003 0.00 0.01 THU 06Z 24-DEC 5.2 2.6 132 6376 06002 RA 0.18 0.03 THU 12Z 24-DEC -1.4 -6.5 128 632 32004 SN 0.85 0.24 THU 18Z 24-DEC -1.9 -11.4 127 392 30003 SN 0.27 0.67 FRI 00Z 25-DEC -6.7 -13.7 126 0 29008 0.03 0.69 FRI 06Z 25-DEC -11.6 -17.6 124 0 25005 0.00 0.70 FRI 12Z 25-DEC -13.9 -19.5 123 0 23005 0.00 0.70 I just jinxed everyone..lol

Nothing that hasn't been talked about here National Weather Service Nashville TN 514 AM CST Fri Dec 18 2020 .UPDATE... FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION. && .DISCUSSION... Not bad weather expected today for mid December behind yesterdays passing upper trough. Upper ridge and SFC high will set up today allowing temps to recover into the mid and upper 40s most places. Plateau likely to hit the lower 40s. This ridge and SFC high will break down late tonight, and a upper trough will move into the MS river valley late Saturday. Moisture advection will begin early in the day and with vertical motion strengthening throughout the day, showers likely to breakout by midday west, then expand in coverage throughout the afternoon, and especially into the evening as the upper trough passes. At low-levels, we do not get really get a passing front/airmass change, thus temps will continue to moderate Saturday, and on Sun as well as pcpn moves out. The first part of next week will see temps above normal, as an upper ridge passes, and eventually weakens early Wednesday as our next system approaches. This system more potent than our Saturday system and is expected to bring more widespread rain to the mid-state Wednesday, and more so Wednesday night as a cold front/deep moisture axis passes. This system also packing some very cold air, of which we will likely see either mixed pcpn or all snow before ending Thursday in many areas. This system also bringing a secondary deep upper trough axis over the region on Friday, and while moisture will be limited, some flurries/light snow showers not out of the question.

Went positive tilt yesterday to more neutral tilt today,looks like that ridge it was showing yesterday is getting broke down sooner in the east,least that what it shows this afternoon

Control has a +ve tilted trough with a ridge in the east and a ridge to the west around Christmas,potential big rain maker if it were to be anywhere right for the Valley

Such a stinkin' waste with the AO with a crappie PNA

Man that is so close ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 12Z DEC12 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SAT 12Z 12-DEC 13.4 8.0 136 8240 19011 SAT 18Z 12-DEC 15.9 8.1 136 9142 22008 SUN 00Z 13-DEC 11.5 5.9 135 9959 26005 0.01 SUN 06Z 13-DEC 6.0 5.1 133 9805 27002 0.00 SUN 12Z 13-DEC 2.7 5.9 132 9473 33003 0.00 SUN 18Z 13-DEC 11.1 5.5 133 9139 26002 0.00 MON 00Z 14-DEC 7.8 2.5 133 5817 36003 0.03 MON 06Z 14-DEC 5.1 0.8 131 6486 01006 1.02 MON 12Z 14-DEC 3.3 -1.0 130 1501 34008 0.56 MON 18Z 14-DEC 5.9 -0.4 130 5006 35006 0.00 TUE 00Z 15-DEC 2.5 -0.4 130 8922 35006 0.00

Thanks,it's been a rough time with my wife having cancer.Everything is going ok right now tho ,no set backs or stuff like that

Have to wait and see what teleconnections have in store,but right now this seems more severe than winter

Sure looks like we are headed back to a potential +TNI into spring,if the EURO seasonals are anywhere right 2016 -1.630 -1.802 -1.946 -1.978 -1.763 -1.441 -0.968 -0.508 -0.101 0.324 0.690 1.097 2017 1.447 1.465 1.268 0.592 -0.267 -1.150 -1.575 -1.925 -1.847 -1.735 -1.548 -1.264 2018 -1.134 -1.260 -1.320 -1.650 -1.978 -2.118 -2.089 -2.159 -1.979 -1.890 -1.734 -1.700 2019 -1.725 -1.774 -1.892 -2.226 -2.535 -2.750 -3.045 -3.344 -3.286 -3.001 -2.857 -2.549 2020 -2.208 -2.029 -1.811 -1.756 -1.891 -1.855 -1.720 -1.586 -99.990 -99.990 -99.990 -99.990 -99.99 TNI

Nice trough going through East Asia which is being modeled around next Sunday which should effect us around the 21st give or take.Problem it seems lies within the teleconnections,fairly substantial spit within the NAO/AO

Live off Concord Rd,Bridgeton Park