jaxjagman

Some rotation around Nunnelly

yeah seems like a quick spin up

Wrigley cell is getting better

That cell is getting better heading towards Chappel Hill or around that vicinity

Seems like as fast as they form they die off just as fast

but that dont look that great no more

best cell right now is north of Fairwiew

nrot is 2.5 for that cell tpwards Fairview

sirens going off here

agree

Storm headed towards Centerville might get warned real soon

Not very strong rotation now

Tornado south of Bald springs

getting better

Some weak rotation NE of Centerville

Confirmed tornado in KY,wiped out a grain silo,fwiw

yeah,warm above,starting to see lightning now

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 3 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1050 AM CST Sat Jan 1 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of South-central Kentucky Western to middle Tennessee * Effective this Saturday morning and evening from 1050 AM until 600 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...An intensifying squall line should spread east-northeast with a threat for damaging winds and embedded tornadoes. A couple pre-frontal supercells may develop as well with the possibility of a strong tornado. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 90 miles east northeast of Bowling Green KY to 35 miles south southeast of Jackson TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

Not much convection at all,some quick rotation then it dies off just as fast

Almost a 2 on trot

Tornado in KY has some decent rotation now

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 AM CST Sat Jan 01 2022 Valid 011300Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT ACROSS THE TN VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Damaging winds and tornadoes, a couple of which could be strong, will be possible through early tonight, especially across the Tennessee Valley. ...TN Valley and vicinity through tonight... Convection has persisted through the early morning hours along a baroclinic zone demarcating the northwest edge of the richer low-level moisture from AR into TN/KY. The convection has reinforced this boundary and it is unlikely to return northward today, given the lack of strong cyclogenesis as a result of an expansive cold air mass across the central U.S. that will undercut the stronger forcing for ascent in advance of the primary shortwave trough over AZ/UT this morning. Even though the main surface cyclone will not be particularly intense and will develop farther northeast away from the warm sector (in tandem with an ejecting shortwave trough now over TX/OK), strong deep-layer wind fields and vertical shear will persist through the day and into tonight in the warm sector across the TN Valley. Given the persistence of the subtropical ridge over FL and only glancing/small height falls through the day, much of the convection may remain confined to the convection-reinforced frontal zone. Still, there will be the potential for embedded supercells within a broken band of storms along the front, and a lower chance for a couple of supercells in the open warm sector along diffuse confluence zones a little south of the front this afternoon/evening. Effective bulk shear of 60-70 kt, effective SRH near 300 m2/s2, and MLCAPE of 500-1500 J/kg will conditionally support supercells capable of producing tornadoes, damaging winds, and marginally severe hail. The prospects for a strong tornado or two will likely hinge on pre-frontal supercell development (which is uncertain) from northern MS into northern AL and TN late this afternoon/evening. The frontal convection will spread southeastward through the overnight hours, with a gradually lessening severe threat and shrinking warm sector centered on AL toward the end of the period. ..Thompson/Kerr.. 01/01/2022

Record high for Nashville is 77,sitting at 73 right now,i think that might get broken possibly

I dont know why people want to kill this Nina off so quick. The equatorial subsurface has falling again,even with the strenghten Walker circulation in which will would cause upwelling along with KW in the East Pac as the MJO rolls through.Might take a beat down but its not going to kill this NINA anytime soon.

We had to replace our roof the last storm,meant to post it on the last severe thread but its locked now