michsnowfreak

It does get very open down in Northwest Ohio. My absolute favorite Winter, 2013-14, when snow depths approached 2 feet in February here in the southern part of the Detroit area, there were snow drifts in rural Monroe county to the top of barns. The wind down there just gets brutal and I imagine the same was in Northwest Ohio, as the peak depth at TOL in 2014 was "only" 13". Some of the better winters for snow depth in Toledo in your time would be 19" - Jan 1978 16" - Feb 1982 15" - Feb 2015 14" - Dec 2000 13" - Feb 2014 12" - Dec 1974, Feb 1985, Jan 2009, Feb 2010, Feb 2011

Actually February 1st 2015 was not far off of that scenario. Chicago- 19.3" South Bend- 15.7" Detroit- 16.7" Toledo- 12.0". I would bet money that the picture your thinking of was from March 1900. Several large snowstorms traversed the region bringing record snow depths. Feb 28/Mar 1, 1900 storm dropped 20.2" in Toledo and 14.0" in Detroit...4 days later a 2nd storm dropped 3.0" at Toledo and 16.1" at Detroit!

Do you have a link for the cips analog? I always see people mention them but don't have a link.

Hopefully we get our mojo back in February lol. Finished with 1.3" of snow here with 0.16" liquid. Season to date 18.5" but just 4.7" in January. The mix of freezing rain & snow made it a popsicle/slurpee kind of day. The snow piles will be frozen glaciers by morning.

As long as the block doesn't pull a stormfanaticind and repel all the precip, id definitely imagine we are good for all or mostly snow here. What kills me is I can't believe how model consensus is meaning nothing this year. I mean it's not like this event is on one or two models. There's lots of consensus on some sort of storm this weekend. What will happen? Who the hell knows.

This ones all about latitude. pretty much has nothing to do with the glacial ridge lol. Honestly can't remember the last time we had a classic dry slot like today. its been a while. Should be a popsicle later.

I told my brother yesterday that he should end up in the 8-12" range because of LES. he said he has like 3 to maybe 4.

Not so sure if it would be a slop fest yet, obviously way too early to tell but it is coming off of several cold days so ground temps should not be in issue id think.

Today's inch puts me at 18.2" on the season. I did not have a 6+ storm in 15-16 however it's been quite a run this century. Not having a 6+ snowstorm in a season is not unheard of at all but lately it pretty much is. Lots of time left but we will see what happens. As of now my biggest storm is 4.3". Should that hold which, which I sure as hell hope it doesn't and don't think it will, that would be my smallest "biggest storm" for a season since I began measuring 26 years ago. 19-20: 3 18-19: 1 17-18: 2 16-17: 1 15-16: 0 (biggest 5.0) 14-15: 1 (big dog finally) 13-14: 6 (to have a time machine) 12-13: 1 11-12: 0 10-11: 3 09-10: 2 08-09: 2 07-08: 2 06-07: 1 05-06: 2 04-05: 5 03-04: 0 (biggest 5.8) 02-03: 2 01-02: 2 00-01: 2

Could have used a leaf blower on the last few snowfalls but this morning however was like shovelling quicksand here.

I had 3 6+ inch snows last winter (8.8 Nov 11, 7.0 Jan 18, 6.0 Feb 25/26). Ok our 3-4" snows in Dec were dusters but this forecasted 2-3" snow which only amounted to 1" of icy snow was a "storm". . All that aside considering we have very few posters from southern IA or eastern NE, it's been years since I recall a storm that had so much attention in this forum get such underwhelming results. Hopefully the January 31st threat has better luck.

Definitely another system to track but considering Sunday is 5 days away, I'd snooze it til Saturday night. Jokes aside it has that look like it starts as a wave of WAA snow then gets squashed a bit by the block? Those WAA snows often produce good thumps then dryslot or turn to rain. Or am I totally seeing the modeled evolution wrong lol. Maybe the block will help? Stormfanaticind?

No they don't. This "storm" they did, as expected. Those same regions had the higher totals Nov 22, Dec 1, Dec 17, Dec 25. The writings been on the wall for this one for days but its amazing how the models struggled even in the nowcast timing pretty much everywhere.

With but a few exceptions this entire storm has been a joke compared to what it once was just about everywhere. 1 inch.of heavy snow here. im wondering if its sleet tainted.

I may get dryslotted here. should hopefully be a good burst of snow first though.

those look like Christmas cookies sprinkles

Its that kind of winter. A system comes out of nowhere and you get an unexpected 1-4". A system is tracked for a week and you get 1-4".

We know how consistent the GFS is too.

We have not had a problem having all snow events. in fact Christmas was like true mid winter with blowing and drifting, temps near 20 and low wind chills. but as you said, melting begins soon after (1-2 days)

I'm at 17.2" on the season but only 3.4" in January!

I would love it thanks! I'll have to go over my Detroit data too to fine tune any possible 3 day events

I thought the block was supposed to supress snow to Indianapolis?

I posted in the January thread, lol I forgot this is the place to post that stuff now haha. We had 0.6" here. DTW 0.5". Snow came down heavy for a time in that narrow band. It hugged Detroits immediate northern suburbs. It seemed like for much of Southeast Michigan it was a general half inch snowfall give or take a few tenths but in that band including Detroit, Livonia, Novi, Royal Oak etc it appears 2-3" fell. Definitely more than forecast. I am assuming with the main event tomorrow night it will be similar in that bans may develop but good luck pinning down where ahead of time. how much did you end up with today?

Yet another odd quirk of this Winter. Not counting today's snow at either place, Chicago has only seen 8.6" of snow this season but has had 21 days with 1"+ of snow on the ground (granted the peak death was 2"). Detroit has seen 16.3" of snow but has only had 14 days with 1" or more of snow on the ground. As you head farther east of us the snowfall and snow cover days disparity widens even more. Your guys snow came right in time for the legendary Zzzz period.

Based on the posts on this page, I dont think I want to read the last several pages of this thread lol. Models up to their usual shenanigans. Todays burst of snow overperformed for some in the Detroit area (0.6" here but 2-3" in a very narrow band) and I think the main storm will also have some bands in it, but where they end up, who knows. Ill say 2-4" for SE MI with locally higher amts possible. As for Chicago, you wont be seeing 10-20" but try and enjoy the snowstorm. Just a month ago you guys would have killed for a snow shower.