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Everything posted by michsnowfreak
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DTW hit 89 today. prob max of this heat spell and the year so far.
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DTW still has not hit 90 this year. Kind of crazy seeing that the Ice Box of the nation nearly hit 100゚ the other day and temperatures have been in the nineties throughout much of the upper peninsula, including the keewenaw.
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I agree that there's no good answer. Min temps are rising more than max temps and very well may be a product of climate change more than UHI. It's interesting to me because the min averages continue to rise yet we are simultaneously seeing more extreme low temps too. But at the same time UHI is very real. When the disparity between 1st order sites and very nearby areas is far more extreme than it used to be, it's a legit issue to be discussed. The general public can't even remember basic weather from last week much less the difference between weather and climate. That said, I don't see what's wrong with bringing up old heatwaves. it's no different than bringing up old snowstorms as we all do haha. The heat that we saw in the 1930s-50s reign king over anything modern day in many places. The heat was horrendous and deadly and actually I've been researching some old newspapers (remember this is pre air conditioning). As for record early heat in Bismarck, I don't look at that as anything. we had record smashing cold never seen as early as we did in Nov 2019...which was followed by a mild winter.
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Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Random question. Does anyone know why most first order sites do not do % of possible sunshine anymore? Seemed like a cool stat, no idea why it went by the wayside for most in the mid 1990s. -
Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I take the lack of severe weather as a good sign for better snow. I don't have an exact study to back it up but I do know that the best severe weather of my life was about 1996-2002 when we were having mostly sub par winters. A notable increase in snowfall and decrease in severe weather has been seen over the last 2 decades. Probably one of the most notorious stretches of severe weather in our areas history was between 1953 and 1956. Tornadoes galore....sandwiched in with all mild winters. -
Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Very similar indeed, although 2020 finished 1.3° colder. This was mainly due to the record cold snap. the theme of cold to hot ended chilly was a carbon copy. -
Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Random banter. Everyone knows I am the climo guy and I love looking at old climate data. I'm especially a sucker for analyzing months that were anomalously warm or cold, wet or dry, snowy or snowless. However, the May that just ended really made me think. May locally went from temps way colder than average, to way warmer than average, and ended way colder than average. What was the end result? A month that was slightly colder than average, one that would certainly not stick out as an extreme when glancing at monthly mean temperatures. I need to start looking at months that finished relatively close to the mean average and learn about some potentially interesting weather events I have previously overlooked! -
May was a see saw of a chilly and often frosty first half, followed by a mid summer hot stretch for a week, then ending with a brief visit to November. In the end it will just blend in the records as a non extreme May lol. Finished -1.3° at DTW with a mean temp of 59.0°. Monthly max/min 88/32.
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wind chills were in the 30s all day. felt like late November
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High of 44 on May 30, 1889
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High at DTW yesterday was 50, which was a record cold max for the day, but that was at midnight. The daytime high was 46 (in fact, it had dropped to 46 by 2am). To put it into perspective, only one time on record after May 24 was there a high temp colder than 46.
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Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Not sure if I missed it, did anyone find a link like the meteostar 16 day detailed forecast? -
The warm weather of this week caused us to miss some record highs by only 2 or 3゚, and now Friday has a shot at the record low max for the day (52).
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Each snow itself was higher ratio as it fell but there was still 1.5"-2" water content in the pack at peak. It melted at the end of February with aid of no rain and as you mentioned, March was like a desert. This weather would be great in July but again, not a fan of the daily watering. As usual, from frost to heat in the blink of an eye in May.
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Who would have thought the same region with 1-2 feet of snow on the ground 3 months ago would be talking legit drought. I picked a bad year to plant some new grass seed in a few spots (patch work). I am ALREADY sick of watering the lawn and no end in sight.
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The very end is an example of how any weather related articles about any weather phenomena has to throw some climate change blurb in there whether it makes sense or not. "The drop in water levels could be because of the world's changing climate and the resulting change in temperatures and precipitation. The amount of evaporation taking place on the lakes has changed, while precipitation has, too. "It's kind of puzzling to folks, and maybe an indication that there's climate change influencing this," Bechle said." Never mind the fact that Lake levels always rise and fall, a cycle that's been around as long as any records exist. But the article is literally discussing how Lake levels are finally dropping from their record highs last year, and are still way above normal...so maybe this drop is the fault of climate change lol. For a year now every time there's an east wind we have lakeshore flood warnings and advisories, and over the Winter ice floes were causing a lot of flooding in areas on the East Side of Michigan. A drop in Lake levels is definitely needed, though I am certainly hoping we don't head into a big drought.
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Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Here, snowfall was above avg in Nov, Feb, & Apr...but the last month with above avg liquid precipitation was September. -
Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It must be a blast to be a fruit grower in this state. Frost every morning for what, a week to 10 days straight? Then blink and here comes the heat. And no rain. This weather better not mess with my fall apple picking -
Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
A local weather friend Michael & his wife Kristin were just out chasing all over the country, I wonder if it was your tour? -
Spring 2021 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I was only 5 but I actually remember 1988 a little bit. That year clearly reigns supreme for extreme heat. I honestly do not know how they survived the 1930s to 50s with much less air conditioning and so much extreme heat -
Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
28 of 72 here for that time frame but again, it's a very short window. Temperatures are always going to ebb and flow. From 2013-15, 24 of the 36 months were colder than average. 2016-20: 21 of 60 colder than avg 2011-15: 32 of 60 colder than avg 2006-10: 27 of 60 colder than avg My main point is that if you make an average a full 1° warmer than it should be, get ready for lots of colder than average months in the means over the next decade. -
Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Despite a slight overall rise in temperature there are still plenty of colder than average months. If you make "average" a degree warmer than it really is, then you will really see colder than average months. -
Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I don't even know how you would Figure that out, I know I have no idea how to. All I can say is that locally severe weather has definitely decreased but it does not bother me. -
Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Thanks guys. I am updated my post. Let me know of any others I missed. -
Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
michsnowfreak replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I think May finishes below avg, very confident in that. Summer...who knows.