michsnowfreak

model huggers never learn

that's sarcasm I hope lol. It's gonna rip snow and will probably end as drizzle. Even conservative DTX said that

Heavy snow band looks to roll through the Detroit area between 7 and 10:00 p.m. this evening

New York would be fun during a storm but afterward your talking about a bunch of dirty snow & immediate melting. Brother lives in Chicago, theyve been kind of due, esp on the lakeshore, so I can't hate. Jokes aside the entire state of Michigan should be a frozen Winter wonderland but I really think some of the Lake effect could be epic in spots.

Incredibly I saw thundersnow 3 times during the 2007-08 Winter and that was after being royally screwed on the actual January 1st storm. Also saw thundersnow GHDI but not GHDII (even tho ghdI saw 10" and ghdII saw 17"). I also saw it February 20, 2014 and with a squall Feb 1 2017. I believe that was the last time.

will Gaylord proper be too far east? supposed to head north in a few weeks. What would you recommend is the best spot based on the upcoming setup?

could be really heavy snow for a few hours this evening. Snow will probably end as drizzle then flash freeze.

I agree. Everything is all over the place with location, intensity, timing, etc. The one good constant is an active pattern seems likely.

TWC should have been here Nov 11 last year.. That was a historic storm for its time of year (8-12" Detroit area, up to 18" in the thumb after les). Definitely different strokes for different folks. When the weather is boring my weather fix is looking at old stats/weather data, trying to find pictures, news articles, etc. I would consider Michigan one of the least "stagnant" areas of weather because it's usually active. Not necessarily big storms but unsettled weather in the Great Lakes is far more common than elsewhere. The zzzz stretch that encompassed much of January was quite rare. As for deep snow? it's going to vary on year. in the past 20 years, 9 winters saw deeper snow in Detroit than Chicago with 8 winters Chicago seeing deeper (3 were a tie). 10 winters Detroit saw deeper than NYC and 10 NYC saw deeper. As you would expect, Detroit saw the most days with snow on the ground, followed by Chicago, then new york. The takeaway is ALL 3 of those places (and im sure many more) have seen far more frequent double digit snow depth the past few decades than climatology would suggest. The only thing that sucks more than crappy winters is crappy winters after you've been spoiled. What's really funny is that with an active pattern going forward it is absolutely attainable for Detroit to finish above avg snow

While we have maintained a very light snowcover for most of the past 2 weeks, clearly earlier winter was better. However going forward looks like the best of winter is yet to come.

One of The Weather Channel guys wasn't Detroit for the February 9, 2018 snowstorm. Friend of mine who works downtown saw him while they were doing one of their segments. I honestly don't even know what channel The Weather Channel is on my cable network lol.

can't get hung up on individual op model runs

What about thundersnow?

nam shows very heavy snow for a few hours.

I bought a snowblower this fall because I have such a big driveway that the heavy snowfalls are a bit much, a few last Winter were downright chores and it was the selling point for me. I've only used the snowblower once, December 1st, although I have shoveled many times.

So many event threads lol. You love to see it though

That was 2014 here. There was nowhere to put the snow so every corner had massive snow banks which caused a lot of angry drivers who couldn't see. I didn't mind lol

Twice. 1940 & 1978

Clipper trains are always fun. Outside of December 2017 they have been missing in action lately. The irony is back in the 90s when we received far less snow than we have the past 2 decades, clippers always seemed to be a sure bet.

Definitely has that thump look. Would be nice to see a few hours of heavy snow. DTW has not officially had heavy snow yet this season, have had moderate snow several times (I had hvy on Christmas, just not officially). Last SN+ was Apr 17 when visibility was 1/8 mile. In fact the much maligned 2019-20 winter reported SN+ on 8 different days.

I believe hoosier has posted stats before, and it's way more common than you would think to have no snow or just a trace on the ground with temperatures below 0, especially away from the Great Lakes.

So much model variability but it definitely look like an active cold pattern, and wondering if it will be multiple waves?

congrats. nothing like owning your own home!

It's way too far out to get into any details, and I certainly love the idea of a cold snowfall but let's wait to see dynamics before we figure out what ratios will be. Sometimes very cold snowfalls can actually have 10-1 ratios as the snow falls like cold sugar.

Today is the 6th anniversary of the biggest snowstorm I've experienced. It came the year after our most severe winter on record. So while the snowstorms and snow depth in 2014 easily reign king, the 2015 storm was one to remember, dropping just under 17 inches with lots of drifts.