michsnowfreak

If you're referring to the Cleveland and Toronto storm, Detroit was never really in the game with that 1. There was like maybe one run that wobbled West enough. But as with any storm, waobbles are normal. Have to like where we sit with this 1. There's a tremendous clash of air masses with the cold to the North and the warmth to the South.

We are still in the early stages. In the coming days we will get to see people simultaneously posting "it looks North" and " it looks South" at the same time when a model run comes out. And then of course the old switcheroo when gfs and euro swap north/south camps.

The GFS has over 3" of QPF falling as sleet in parts of northern Indiana and Ohio. That would be insane. Of course the usual op run caviots apply. Euro ens at 6z remained quite south.

Thanks for the input! I just honestly don't get the lore locally about the blizzard of 78. Clearly it was a storm for the ages but when people here start talking about oh the snow was 6' deep and crap like that it's just ridiculous.. There's rarely even a mention of the 1974 storm which literally dropped twice as much snow at Detroit. And hell we just had a 17" storm in 2015 and someone would still bring up the damn 9" storm of 1978.

We had deep snow last February. Technically any cold and snow and you can find things to do outside for "Winter rec" but again it's all personal preference.

There's still Winter recreation lol just not snowmobile trails

Feb 15/16, 2021 honorable mention ORD: 6.9" DTW: 10.4" TOL: 14.5" But here's calling Feb 1/2, 2015 ORD: 18.0" DTW: 16.7" TOL: 12.0"

Catching up to DTW. But not there yet lol. ORD: 15.8" DTW: 19.0"

My brother was here for Thanksgiving when we had quite a bit of snow that weekend...then when he got back to Chicago he was pissed there was no snow all Christmas season. Now he is in his usual january spring mode and he gets lake effect on top of cold and snowcover lol.

Not sure where you work (didn't know you were a met) but I've noticed they are usually quite conservative in the extended forecast these days, at least DTX NWS. Way too conservative actually. Often not even putting in a chance of snow when they should (not talking this week, talking in general). Then on the other end of the spectrum you have those dumb Facebook weather pages that amass a huge following of the weather ignorant public and they start doing stupid things like posting op model runs a week out.

Nice. How close are you to Lincoln Park?

I can't recall when I've seen this high of totals on an ensemble mean this far out, definitely a great sign that a good storm will be affecting a large area. Now its the waiting game.

Both Detroit and Chicago sit in as good a position as you can ask for with this storm this far out. 5 says out is an eternity in model-land. It would take a miracle for Chicago to be 10" ahead of Detroit after this storm. But of course the season is not anywhere near all said and done at that point.

What did you get? Wondering what my brother got in Lincoln Park and how much he has on the ground. He said he thinks he got about 3 or 4" of lake effect.

After morning gray and light snow...the SUN is out powerball. You are missing sun in Detroit. A sparkly winter day.

Wow very nice. I asked because i saw CLE depth was decent but nothing crazy. We were last that deep in 2015, though did get to 15" in 2018 and last winter.

I went to the store last night And it was the warmest it had been in days. Temperatures spiked to 28 ahead of the Arctic front. When I got back home to unload my groceries I took my coat off just running in-and-out of the house in my sweater lol. Definitely get used to it. But the cold has already returned. January snowfall is 9.2" in my backyard with 19.1" on the season. DTW is at 8.5" in January and 18.9" season. January is finishing with snowfall just slightly below average but temperatures in precipitation well below average. It will be a top 10 dry January as we have had nothing but dry snow. And though it will likely miss the top 20 cold list, it will be close.

Chicago crowd, is this typical lake effect fluff? We had an airy dusting here and it was likr the fluff they get in Buffalo or marquette when 18" falls and the depth is 8" the next day lol.

Definitely an intriguing system just can't get too excited far out with the models. The support is nice though.

Just curious...how deep?

The key phrase all must remember in the coming days lol.

There is consensus of a storm. That's about the only consensus you will have for at least 5 days.

To each their own. For me, It's not about remembering as much as it is enjoying Winter. It's the beavis in me. Were the clippers memorable? Of course not. But it's a Winter wonderland outside. Just like when they have shit Winters on the East Coast with nothing but bare ground, if I lived there, I don't think it would be any consolation to just remember past storms. In terms of remembering, nothing like the winter of 13-14. I can't imagine any single storm could surpass that. I remember the blizzard of 99 well and of course ghdII is my favorite, but immediate thoughts always go to 13-14. Every year this time when they bring up the blizzard of 78, I always have to really wonder. It's become such lore and there's always pomp and circumstances surrounding it, that I wonder what it would have ACTUALLY been like to experience it in Detroit. It's well documented that snowfall totals were far less on the East Side of the state. I'm sure it was a good storm with winds, blowing snow, falling temperatures, etc, but widespread reports of only 8 to 10" in this area certainly lump it in with many other storms. And had that same thing happened today, I have a feeling the storm would be remembered for being a massive close miss. I cannot fathom a weenie Fondly recalling a storm that dumped 9" of snow here and 3' a few counties West.

Oh ok that makes sense. Snow depths right now around 30" in Munising, we will both be in that area later in the Winter. Outside of the lake superior shore, snow depths in the UP seem a bit underwhelming compared to what they should be.

Nantucket seems a better bet.