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Everything posted by michsnowfreak
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Jan 25-26th Potential Something Part 3
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Could have used a leaf blower on the last few snowfalls but this morning however was like shovelling quicksand here. -
Jan 25-26th Potential Something Part 3
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I had 3 6+ inch snows last winter (8.8 Nov 11, 7.0 Jan 18, 6.0 Feb 25/26). Ok our 3-4" snows in Dec were dusters but this forecasted 2-3" snow which only amounted to 1" of icy snow was a "storm". . All that aside considering we have very few posters from southern IA or eastern NE, it's been years since I recall a storm that had so much attention in this forum get such underwhelming results. Hopefully the January 31st threat has better luck. -
Definitely another system to track but considering Sunday is 5 days away, I'd snooze it til Saturday night. Jokes aside it has that look like it starts as a wave of WAA snow then gets squashed a bit by the block? Those WAA snows often produce good thumps then dryslot or turn to rain. Or am I totally seeing the modeled evolution wrong lol. Maybe the block will help? Stormfanaticind?
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Jan 25-26th Potential Something Part 3
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
No they don't. This "storm" they did, as expected. Those same regions had the higher totals Nov 22, Dec 1, Dec 17, Dec 25. The writings been on the wall for this one for days but its amazing how the models struggled even in the nowcast timing pretty much everywhere. -
Jan 25-26th Potential Something Part 3
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
With but a few exceptions this entire storm has been a joke compared to what it once was just about everywhere. 1 inch.of heavy snow here. im wondering if its sleet tainted. -
Jan 25-26th Potential Something Part 3
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I may get dryslotted here. should hopefully be a good burst of snow first though. -
Jan 25-26th Potential Something Part 3
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
those look like Christmas cookies sprinkles -
Jan 24-26th Potential Something Part 2
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Its that kind of winter. A system comes out of nowhere and you get an unexpected 1-4". A system is tracked for a week and you get 1-4". -
Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
We know how consistent the GFS is too. -
Jan 24-26th Potential Something Part 2
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
We have not had a problem having all snow events. in fact Christmas was like true mid winter with blowing and drifting, temps near 20 and low wind chills. but as you said, melting begins soon after (1-2 days) -
Winter 2020/2021 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I'm at 17.2" on the season but only 3.4" in January! -
I would love it thanks! I'll have to go over my Detroit data too to fine tune any possible 3 day events
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Jan 24-26th Potential Something Part 2
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I thought the block was supposed to supress snow to Indianapolis? -
Winter 2020/2021 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I posted in the January thread, lol I forgot this is the place to post that stuff now haha. We had 0.6" here. DTW 0.5". Snow came down heavy for a time in that narrow band. It hugged Detroits immediate northern suburbs. It seemed like for much of Southeast Michigan it was a general half inch snowfall give or take a few tenths but in that band including Detroit, Livonia, Novi, Royal Oak etc it appears 2-3" fell. Definitely more than forecast. I am assuming with the main event tomorrow night it will be similar in that bans may develop but good luck pinning down where ahead of time. how much did you end up with today? -
Yet another odd quirk of this Winter. Not counting today's snow at either place, Chicago has only seen 8.6" of snow this season but has had 21 days with 1"+ of snow on the ground (granted the peak death was 2"). Detroit has seen 16.3" of snow but has only had 14 days with 1" or more of snow on the ground. As you head farther east of us the snowfall and snow cover days disparity widens even more. Your guys snow came right in time for the legendary Zzzz period.
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Jan 24-26th Potential Something Part 2
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Based on the posts on this page, I dont think I want to read the last several pages of this thread lol. Models up to their usual shenanigans. Todays burst of snow overperformed for some in the Detroit area (0.6" here but 2-3" in a very narrow band) and I think the main storm will also have some bands in it, but where they end up, who knows. Ill say 2-4" for SE MI with locally higher amts possible. As for Chicago, you wont be seeing 10-20" but try and enjoy the snowstorm. Just a month ago you guys would have killed for a snow shower. -
The wave of snow this morning was quite pretty with the fluffy flakes. Picked up 0.6" here and 0.5" at DTW, but it ended up dropping 2-3" in a narrow band around and just north of Detroit. Not really predicted.
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Thanks! I went back and double checked and most of those I had not originally counted based on obs snow depth (obs time may have been different) and a few I missed. The only 1s I didnt find were I didnt see any in 1957-58 or 1968-69, and only 1 in 1989-90. Unless you were referring to 3 day totals that amounted to 6". Updated the list!
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Here is the list per season 6”+ storms by winter at Detroit & Chicago DET - CHI 1880-81: 4 - M 1881-82: 0 - M 1882-83: 1 - M 1883-84: 0 - M 1884-85: 1 - 2 1885-86: 1 - 2 1886-87: 1 - 2 1887-88: 1 - 1 1888-89: 0 - 0 1889-90: 0 - 0 1890-91: 1 - 0 1891-92: 2 - 3 1892-93: 1 - 1 1893-94: 3 - 2 1894-95: 2 - 3 1895-96: 2 - 3 1896-97: 1 - 2 1897-98: 1 - 2 1898-99: 2 - 0 1899-00: 3 - 2 1900-01: 2 - 2 1901-02: 1 - 0 1902-03: 2 - 1 1903-04: 2 - 2 1904-05: 0 - 1 1905-06: 1 - 0 1906-07: 0 - 1 1907-08: 4 - 3 1908-09: 2 - 0 1909-10: 1 - 1 1910-11: 1 - 1 1911-12: 1 - 1 1912-13: 1 - 0 1913-14: 2 - 1 1914-15: 0 - 0 1915-16: 2 - 0 1916-17: 1 - 0 1917-18: 0 – 3 1918-19: 0 - 2 1919-20: 0 - 1 1920-21: 2 - 0 1921-22: 1 - 0 1922-23: 2 - 0 1923-24: 0 - 0 1924-25: 0 - 0 1925-26: 4 - 2 1926-27: 2 - 1 1927-28: 1 - 3 1928-29: 1 - 1 1929-30: 3 – 3 1930-31: 1 - 1 1931-32: 2 - 1 1932-33: 2 - 2 1933-34: 1 - 2 1934-35: 0 - 3 1935-36: 0 - 0 1936-37: 0 - 0 1937-38: 0 - 1 1938-39: 1 - 1 1939-40: 0 - 0 1940-41: 0 - 2 1941-42: 0 - 0 1942-43: 0 - 1 1943-44: 1 - 1 1944-45: 0 - 1 1945-46: 0 - 0 1946-47: 0 - 1 1947-48: 0 - 1 1948-49: 0 - 0 1949-50: 0 - 1 1950-51: 1 - 2 1951-52: 2 - 5 1952-53: 0 - 0 1953-54: 1 - 2 1954-55: 0 - 0 1955-56: 0 - 1 1956-57: 1 - 1 1957-58: 0 - 0 1958-59: 0 - 2 1959-60: 1 - 3 1960-61: 0 - 3 1961-62: 0 – 3 1962-63: 0 - 1 1963-64: 0 - 2 1964-65: 1 - 2 1965-66: 0 - 0 1966-67: 1 – 3 1967-68: 2 - 0 1968-69: 0 - 0 1969-70: 0 - 3 1970-71: 0 - 1 1971-72: 0 - 1 1972-73: 1 - 1 1973-74: 2 - 2 1974-75: 1 - 3 1975-76: 3 - 1 1976-77: 2 - 1 1977-78: 4 - 3 1978-79: 1 - 5 1979-80: 0 - 0 1980-81: 1 - 1 1981-82: 5 - 2 1982-83: 1 - 1 1983-84: 1 - 0 1984-85: 0 - 3 1985-86: 0 - 0 1986-87: 1 - 1 1987-88: 2 - 3 1988-89: 0 - 0 1989-90: 0 - 1 1990-91: 1 - 0 1991-92: 2 - 2 1992-93: 2 – 1 1993-94: 3 - 2 1994-95: 1 - 1 1995-96: 0 - 0 1996-97: 0 - 1 1997-98: 0 – 1 1998-99: 2 - 2 1999-00: 0 - 1 2000-01: 1 - 3 2001-02: 1 - 2 2002-03: 2 - 1 2003-04: 0 - 0 2004-05: 3 - 2 2005-06: 2 - 1 2006-07: 1 - 2 2007-08: 3 - 1 2008-09: 3 - 1 2009-10: 2 - 3 2010-11: 3 - 1 2011-12: 0 - 0 2012-13: 2 - 1 2013-14: 6 - 3 2014-15: 1 - 1 2015-16: 1 - 1 2016-17: 1 - 3 2017-18: 2 - 1 2018-19: 0 - 1 2019-20: 2 – 0
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I plan to start browsing (and contributing to) this thread more about past events, but with the current storm coming, I figured I would post the # of 6"+ snowstorms each decade for Detroit & Chicago. Ive had the list for Detroit compiled for sometime and now added Chicago. For the few borderline events over 2 days that were just over 6", i used snow depth as a gauge if it was 1 storm or 2 different events. For the most part though, the list should have a very low margin of error. A few takeaways. Detroit has been on a 6"+ snowstorm binge the last 2 decades. The 1970s-1990s were fairly similar overall between the two cities. The Detroit snow magnet was a Detroit snowstorm repellant in the 1960s, as despite overall colder winters, snowstorms seemed to all be hitting Chicago. Early and mid-20th century saw less storms for each area, with Detroit especially bad in the 1940s. Though Chicago did OK in the 40s for storms, the era as a whole was just not a fun time for snowlovers in our region. Another note of interest...# of 6"+ snowstorms....or lackthereof...has no correlation to the type of winters they were. Some terrible winters still saw a big storm or two, and some good wintry winters didnt see any. For simplicity, I used 1900-01 thru 1909-10 for example, to be the 1910s. DET - CHI 1890s – 18 - 18 1900s – 15 – 11 1910s - 8 - 9 1920s – 16 - 10 1930s - 7 - 11 1940s - 1 - 8 1950s - 6 – 16 1960s - 4 – 17 1970s – 14 – 18 1980s – 11 – 12 1990s – 11 – 11 2000s – 18 – 16 2010s – 18 – 12
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Jan 24-26th Potential Something Part 2
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
for Chicago proper yes, but everywhere east of thst it has not had good consistency -
That's yesterday's news. The latest gfs has below avg temps Feb 5.
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When was your last 6"+ snow?
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Jan 24-26th Potential Something Part 2
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Canadian ensembles further north and stronger...then the euro comes out. the circus of possible scenarios continues -
Jan 24-26th Potential Something Part 2
michsnowfreak replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Event after event, whether it's small or large, it just boggles my mind how often we weenies look at storms that show up on the long range models and even when a threat is legit, until zero hour there are ridiculous swings. Look at that intense snow squall in Chicago the other night, a few days prior to that you thought maybe they would pick up a snow shower at best. Look at our East Side 3 to 4" snowfall on christmas. The news was literally telling people Christmas Eve morning we might see a few flurries but nothing to whiten the ground.