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michsnowfreak

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Everything posted by michsnowfreak

  1. I'm at 17.2" on the season but only 3.4" in January!
  2. I would love it thanks! I'll have to go over my Detroit data too to fine tune any possible 3 day events
  3. I thought the block was supposed to supress snow to Indianapolis?
  4. I posted in the January thread, lol I forgot this is the place to post that stuff now haha. We had 0.6" here. DTW 0.5". Snow came down heavy for a time in that narrow band. It hugged Detroits immediate northern suburbs. It seemed like for much of Southeast Michigan it was a general half inch snowfall give or take a few tenths but in that band including Detroit, Livonia, Novi, Royal Oak etc it appears 2-3" fell. Definitely more than forecast. I am assuming with the main event tomorrow night it will be similar in that bans may develop but good luck pinning down where ahead of time. how much did you end up with today?
  5. Yet another odd quirk of this Winter. Not counting today's snow at either place, Chicago has only seen 8.6" of snow this season but has had 21 days with 1"+ of snow on the ground (granted the peak death was 2"). Detroit has seen 16.3" of snow but has only had 14 days with 1" or more of snow on the ground. As you head farther east of us the snowfall and snow cover days disparity widens even more. Your guys snow came right in time for the legendary Zzzz period.
  6. Based on the posts on this page, I dont think I want to read the last several pages of this thread lol. Models up to their usual shenanigans. Todays burst of snow overperformed for some in the Detroit area (0.6" here but 2-3" in a very narrow band) and I think the main storm will also have some bands in it, but where they end up, who knows. Ill say 2-4" for SE MI with locally higher amts possible. As for Chicago, you wont be seeing 10-20" but try and enjoy the snowstorm. Just a month ago you guys would have killed for a snow shower.
  7. The wave of snow this morning was quite pretty with the fluffy flakes. Picked up 0.6" here and 0.5" at DTW, but it ended up dropping 2-3" in a narrow band around and just north of Detroit. Not really predicted.
  8. Thanks! I went back and double checked and most of those I had not originally counted based on obs snow depth (obs time may have been different) and a few I missed. The only 1s I didnt find were I didnt see any in 1957-58 or 1968-69, and only 1 in 1989-90. Unless you were referring to 3 day totals that amounted to 6". Updated the list!
  9. Here is the list per season 6”+ storms by winter at Detroit & Chicago DET - CHI 1880-81: 4 - M 1881-82: 0 - M 1882-83: 1 - M 1883-84: 0 - M 1884-85: 1 - 2 1885-86: 1 - 2 1886-87: 1 - 2 1887-88: 1 - 1 1888-89: 0 - 0 1889-90: 0 - 0 1890-91: 1 - 0 1891-92: 2 - 3 1892-93: 1 - 1 1893-94: 3 - 2 1894-95: 2 - 3 1895-96: 2 - 3 1896-97: 1 - 2 1897-98: 1 - 2 1898-99: 2 - 0 1899-00: 3 - 2 1900-01: 2 - 2 1901-02: 1 - 0 1902-03: 2 - 1 1903-04: 2 - 2 1904-05: 0 - 1 1905-06: 1 - 0 1906-07: 0 - 1 1907-08: 4 - 3 1908-09: 2 - 0 1909-10: 1 - 1 1910-11: 1 - 1 1911-12: 1 - 1 1912-13: 1 - 0 1913-14: 2 - 1 1914-15: 0 - 0 1915-16: 2 - 0 1916-17: 1 - 0 1917-18: 0 – 3 1918-19: 0 - 2 1919-20: 0 - 1 1920-21: 2 - 0 1921-22: 1 - 0 1922-23: 2 - 0 1923-24: 0 - 0 1924-25: 0 - 0 1925-26: 4 - 2 1926-27: 2 - 1 1927-28: 1 - 3 1928-29: 1 - 1 1929-30: 3 – 3 1930-31: 1 - 1 1931-32: 2 - 1 1932-33: 2 - 2 1933-34: 1 - 2 1934-35: 0 - 3 1935-36: 0 - 0 1936-37: 0 - 0 1937-38: 0 - 1 1938-39: 1 - 1 1939-40: 0 - 0 1940-41: 0 - 2 1941-42: 0 - 0 1942-43: 0 - 1 1943-44: 1 - 1 1944-45: 0 - 1 1945-46: 0 - 0 1946-47: 0 - 1 1947-48: 0 - 1 1948-49: 0 - 0 1949-50: 0 - 1 1950-51: 1 - 2 1951-52: 2 - 5 1952-53: 0 - 0 1953-54: 1 - 2 1954-55: 0 - 0 1955-56: 0 - 1 1956-57: 1 - 1 1957-58: 0 - 0 1958-59: 0 - 2 1959-60: 1 - 3 1960-61: 0 - 3 1961-62: 0 – 3 1962-63: 0 - 1 1963-64: 0 - 2 1964-65: 1 - 2 1965-66: 0 - 0 1966-67: 1 – 3 1967-68: 2 - 0 1968-69: 0 - 0 1969-70: 0 - 3 1970-71: 0 - 1 1971-72: 0 - 1 1972-73: 1 - 1 1973-74: 2 - 2 1974-75: 1 - 3 1975-76: 3 - 1 1976-77: 2 - 1 1977-78: 4 - 3 1978-79: 1 - 5 1979-80: 0 - 0 1980-81: 1 - 1 1981-82: 5 - 2 1982-83: 1 - 1 1983-84: 1 - 0 1984-85: 0 - 3 1985-86: 0 - 0 1986-87: 1 - 1 1987-88: 2 - 3 1988-89: 0 - 0 1989-90: 0 - 1 1990-91: 1 - 0 1991-92: 2 - 2 1992-93: 2 – 1 1993-94: 3 - 2 1994-95: 1 - 1 1995-96: 0 - 0 1996-97: 0 - 1 1997-98: 0 – 1 1998-99: 2 - 2 1999-00: 0 - 1 2000-01: 1 - 3 2001-02: 1 - 2 2002-03: 2 - 1 2003-04: 0 - 0 2004-05: 3 - 2 2005-06: 2 - 1 2006-07: 1 - 2 2007-08: 3 - 1 2008-09: 3 - 1 2009-10: 2 - 3 2010-11: 3 - 1 2011-12: 0 - 0 2012-13: 2 - 1 2013-14: 6 - 3 2014-15: 1 - 1 2015-16: 1 - 1 2016-17: 1 - 3 2017-18: 2 - 1 2018-19: 0 - 1 2019-20: 2 – 0
  10. I plan to start browsing (and contributing to) this thread more about past events, but with the current storm coming, I figured I would post the # of 6"+ snowstorms each decade for Detroit & Chicago. Ive had the list for Detroit compiled for sometime and now added Chicago. For the few borderline events over 2 days that were just over 6", i used snow depth as a gauge if it was 1 storm or 2 different events. For the most part though, the list should have a very low margin of error. A few takeaways. Detroit has been on a 6"+ snowstorm binge the last 2 decades. The 1970s-1990s were fairly similar overall between the two cities. The Detroit snow magnet was a Detroit snowstorm repellant in the 1960s, as despite overall colder winters, snowstorms seemed to all be hitting Chicago. Early and mid-20th century saw less storms for each area, with Detroit especially bad in the 1940s. Though Chicago did OK in the 40s for storms, the era as a whole was just not a fun time for snowlovers in our region. Another note of interest...# of 6"+ snowstorms....or lackthereof...has no correlation to the type of winters they were. Some terrible winters still saw a big storm or two, and some good wintry winters didnt see any. For simplicity, I used 1900-01 thru 1909-10 for example, to be the 1910s. DET - CHI 1890s – 18 - 18 1900s – 15 – 11 1910s - 8 - 9 1920s – 16 - 10 1930s - 7 - 11 1940s - 1 - 8 1950s - 6 – 16 1960s - 4 – 17 1970s – 14 – 18 1980s – 11 – 12 1990s – 11 – 11 2000s – 18 – 16 2010s – 18 – 12
  11. for Chicago proper yes, but everywhere east of thst it has not had good consistency
  12. That's yesterday's news. The latest gfs has below avg temps Feb 5.
  13. Canadian ensembles further north and stronger...then the euro comes out. the circus of possible scenarios continues
  14. Event after event, whether it's small or large, it just boggles my mind how often we weenies look at storms that show up on the long range models and even when a threat is legit, until zero hour there are ridiculous swings. Look at that intense snow squall in Chicago the other night, a few days prior to that you thought maybe they would pick up a snow shower at best. Look at our East Side 3 to 4" snowfall on christmas. The news was literally telling people Christmas Eve morning we might see a few flurries but nothing to whiten the ground.
  15. it seems its turning into a prolonged lighter snow? its hanging around longer on the models but heaviness seems sheared as some have mentioned. Kinda mad its losing its punch but as long as we get a nice blanket of white ill he happy. This is the year of the 2-4" snows lol. Last winter everyone complained yet we still had 2-3 storms of 6+
  16. too early to tell how warm and for how long, especially up in the northern part of the country.
  17. Bamwx is going warm for Feb? That's almost as shocking as JB calling for snow and cold. I actually think February will probably end up pretty decent for those North of I 80. Most long range models have been hitting at a relatively short warm up in early February before seasonable to cold weather for the remainder of the month. Strong signal for above avg precip in the sub. Of course any long range or monthly/weekly needs to be taken with a grain of salt past week 2.
  18. Weatherbell has all the model runs and ensemble runs it's only like $25 a month. A great investment for a weather geek. You can also get a yearly subscription for a slight discount, but I will probably cancel during the boring months and then renew in the fall lol
  19. fantastic euro run but it can stop moving north lol
  20. Last 6"+ snowstorm Detroit- Jan 18, 2020 - Chicago- Nov 26, 2018 Last 8"+ snowstorm Detroit- Nov 11, 2019 - Chicago- Nov 26, 2018 Last 10"+ snowstorm Detroit- Feb 9, 2018 - Chicago- Nov 21, 2015 Last 12"+ snowstorm Detroit- Feb 1, 2015 - Chicago- Feb 1, 2015
  21. There are a few non event members but I would not say "so many". You have to remember that the reason that the heaviest stripe of snow is not crazy on the mean is because the individual members are still all over the place, which includes a few that would totally miss Chicago and Detroit to the North.
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