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michsnowfreak

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Everything posted by michsnowfreak

  1. michsnowfreak
    Textbook year of what you want in a Nina winter here. Well above avg snowfall, well above avg snowcover/snow depth, and well below avg temps.
  2. michsnowfreak
    The Euro weeklies were absolutely bullied in this forum last winter for their expected inaccuracy past week 2 (they showed cold), but i have a feeling we will be seeing the same ones posting weeks 5 and 6 often this winter.
  3. michsnowfreak
    It always snows in the upper midwest and Lakes. The bigger issue in strong ninos for northern areas is ice thickness, snow retention, and potential abnormally dry weather patterns. Winter recreation is big in northern states, and warm nino winters put a damper on the norm....but it certainly snows.
  4. michsnowfreak
    The same groups that chastised the (cold) Euro weeklies last winter for their expected inaccuracy is now tweeting day 45 lol. Day 45, btw, which shows temps slightly above avg in the north, average mid, and slightly below avg in the south, versus day which is above avg everywhere. Not to mention averages are some 13-20° warmer today than Dec 17th lol.
  5. michsnowfreak
    Post of the year
  6. michsnowfreak
    Even "window" is a highly subjective term imo. If your talking simple snow chances, then theres lots of windows for the Lakes and New England. If your talking a period of sustained winter for a few weeks at a time, id say a few windows.
  7. michsnowfreak
    I LOVE winter walks. Took so many the last few years. The crunch of snow underfoot in the cold dry air, absolutely love it. But i know its not for everyone. When there isnt snow for a prolonged period, I 100% would rather take a walk in wad or cad than rain. I never take a walk in rain unless its a necessity.
  8. michsnowfreak
    Past peak now and with finally a breeze for the first time in weeks the leaves are showering down.
  9. michsnowfreak
    I went to Alaska this year. Absolutely incredible.
  10. michsnowfreak
    Yes! The end of an era
  11. michsnowfreak
    Its not. Its actually a board of good discussion mixed with some cc extremist agenda trolls who frequently make outrageous statements that month after month year after year are proven wrong.
  12. michsnowfreak
    I can see that easily, but from an average standpoint. Ive already noticed a slight reduction in avg snowfall here on the bookends of the season BUT also an increase during the heart of the season. What it means is the avg season snowfall isnt going down and theres more fun in the heart of winter. Despite the reduction in bookends we still see yearly April snow and occasional October & May snow. If Florida and the Gulf Coast can see record snowstorms 2 years in a row, it can snow in NYC in March.
  13. michsnowfreak
    You will absolutely get snow. Just less of it than normal. And a massive OVER for 20" of snow on bos roof in March.
  14. michsnowfreak
    Keep in mind a few things. My expectations are set for a mild winter. The last 2 were cold and a raging nino is in place. Its gonna be mild. My hopes are on a few good snowstorms as often are the case in Nino. Thinking we see about a 30 inch winter here. More importantly, this is my FAVORITE time of the year. I obviously prefer snow but no weather ruins the Christmas season for me (and yes lm one of those where Christmas runs November thru mid January lol). January and beyond is when my patience wears thin and I get very grumpy if its not snowing.
  15. michsnowfreak
    A shitty pattern for March snow in the 2020s does not mean nyc can't see snow in March these days. Really way too much stretching as always by bluewave. Ive had shitty Marches in the 2020s too outside 2023. I also saw 3.5" on Apr 17, 2020, 0.7" on May 11, 2020, 4.5" on Apr 20, 2021, 2" on Apr 18, 2022. Every winters pattern is different. Bluewave knows meteorology well but his "window" will always be smaller than everyone elses.
  16. michsnowfreak
    Agree. Think of it as the OP Euro at 912 hours lol.
  17. michsnowfreak
    9th warmest at Detroit as well with 58.3°. Interestingly, the warmest Octobers are all long ago. 1963 62.7 1947 60.3 1900 60.0 1920 59.5 1879 59.5 2021 59.4 2007 59.1 1971 58.5 2026 58.3
  18. michsnowfreak
    The map above is the Euro Weeklies Control run, not the averaged weeklies.
  19. michsnowfreak
    Oh ill complain about them from mid to late November through March . but ill praise them during summer.
  20. michsnowfreak
    Hi fellow Christmas lover! Im the same. Got tye Halloween/Fall decor down now bringing up the Christmas tubs. I actually would rather have milder weather to start November to finish raking, winterizing, decorating because often times it bodes well for cold/snow near Thanksgiving. No guarantees of course. My mind is ready for snow, but i know hiw November weather patterns work.
  21. michsnowfreak
    Just to be clear, I wasnt aiming that at you. Was at prior posts by some others. I certainly expect less cold/lake snow intrusions than last year. We had snow like 25 days in a row last jan/feb. I think some near the Lake Superior shore might have had 2-3 days total in a 90 day period with no snowflakes. Definitely see less of that this winter. I personally do unfortunately think its a winter of low snowfall totals in the Lakes...but again, low is not no lol. If Marquette managed a winter under 100" the locals would say it was a non winter. For Detroit im guessing around 30"ish for now.
  22. michsnowfreak
    Wouldn't the question be how did they do in 2015-16? I mean, im refuting the absurd ideas of a snowless winter; in fact, I actually said multiple times we probably see one big torch month. Marquette 160.9" (dec 18.9") Grand Rapids 61.1" (dec 2.5") Detroit 35.3" (dec 1.3") Even in an all time warm December like 2015, it snowed. Just much less than usual.
  23. michsnowfreak
    Snow flies in the Great Lakes all the time. Its not uncommon to have snow fall daily for weeks straight in Great Lakes cities. Detroit, a city in the Great Lakes but not in the snowbelt, averages 37 days annually with measurable snow and when you add in the dozens of traces a typical season sees about 70-80 days where snow is observed from first flakes to last. You can imagine the averages IN the snow belts (Marquette averages 93 days with measurable snow, not even counting traces). These assertions that it wont snow or won't snow til February are ridiculous. I thought id seen it all when last winter people were ignoring frozen landscapes and ongoing blizzards in their backyards to discuss warmth out west (a region that never previously garnered interest), but we are definitely going to be in for some freaky stuff this winter. No snow in Marquette! Flirting with 90 in Jan in nyc! Can't wait to see what's next.
  24. michsnowfreak
    In 2023-24 the Gaylord area in NW lower MI saw like 80" of snow and considered it a non winter. (They had record snow last winter). The mere idea of no snow in the lakes is insane.
  25. michsnowfreak
    WHO thinks this is going to be a good winter? @40/70 Benchmark, myself and others have marveled at this statement which gets thrown around here somewhat frequently and yet no one can point out a SINGLE person who says this will be a "good winter". I guess saying that it will snow in places that have never seen a winter without multiple snowfalls means a "good winter". The mere idea of no snow in the Great Lakes region with shorts from Christmas to Valentines day is absolutely ridiculous. Guarantee ill be wearing sweaters and worst case scenario enjoying a much lower heating bill than usual. Its amazing how some people lose their grasp on reality of how the weather works.
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