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Everything posted by michsnowfreak
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1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
This is why I don't like quoting stats i verify them. The 12.4 was daytons CALENDAR day record. They had 1 storm of 18+ (18.3 in 1910) -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Its honestly unreal. Its one thing to want something. I want a million dollars, I want to lose weight, etc. But its another to have an expectation that's totally against to your climate. Its almost beyond comprehension to me that a "big dog" is a winter event, and some would supposedly be fine going years without winter knowing that one year soon theyre bound to get that big dog. We dont/can't that in Michigan. We need winter annually. Its like telling your boss, no thank you i don't want my biweekly paycheck. Ill just wait til next year when we get the big profit sharing bonus. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Exactly. Plus the existing snowpack was already well compacted and drifted over. None of this watching it settle by inches daily as you do with fluffy snow. Theres about 1 inch of water in our 9" powder snowpack. Its a skier or snowboarders dream base. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Boston has bot had 10 but they've had several 20+ since 2000. More than here lol. And "everyone else" doesn't get big dogs outside the east coast. For comparison Daytons 12.4" with this storm was their all time 24 hr ecord. Detroit saw 16.7" on Feb 1/2, 2015. We got plenty of 10-12" storms in the golden era of the 2000s-10s with several areas hitting 14-16" in some storms. Don't be lowering your big dog standards just because OH/IN got more this time lol. We don't have the ocean. Thats not gonna change. And why sorry he had to move? Maybe he likes more frequent snowfall? Or even more so maybe he likes where he lives and didnt base on weather. From one 4 seasons climate to another is really not a huge move. Its these people that move to AZ to get burned alive that make me scratch my head. It wasnt so much dry air with this storm, it was strictly ratios. A red flag should've been how much of the mid Atlantic and east coast turned to sleet with temps in the teens. Just because its cold doesn't mean 20-1 ratios. Im not sticking up for the models as they've been awful recently, but it was actually a well forecast storm qpf wise and placement wise. Remember, Kutchera is not a model forecast, its an algorithm incorporated into the models to estimate snowfall and it has disappointment millions of weenie hearts over the years. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Wait what did I miss? You aren't in MI anymore? -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I forgot youre in TX . This winter is certainly what the old timers would call "an old fashioned winter" but really need to see one of those ORD-DTW-YYZ storms to ice the cake. Hopefully you can move back to Toronto or at least the north someday! The 5.2" storm total brings me to 34.0" on the season and the 4.9" at DTW brings them to 33.1", which is 11" above avg to date. We are now exactly at the climo midpoint of the snow season. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Haven't seen you post in a while, welcome back! Steve's a good guy hes just very big dog focused and also tires of our long winters and frequent snow (getting old i guess lol). Though it didnt quite happen, its astounding that Boston had the chance to get more snow yesterday in one storm than they did in the entire 2 season stretch of 2022-23 + 2023-24. Central Mass is much safer than the coast, but the reality is the east coast is feast/famine and they were overdue for one of their monster snows. You can only avoid climo so long. One of the frequent posters there (40/70) hasn't had an avg snow season since 2018. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I remember Toronto had so many down winters, even when the rest of us were getting hit good, that @Snowstorms thought Toronto just couldn't get good winters anymore. The last few years have emphatically proved that wrong. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
We finished with 5.2". There is 9-10" on the ground. The snow was not fluffy it was like 10-12:1 arctic powder so it had weight to it. With the existing snowpack and snowbanks there are mountains of powder everywhere...its so cold no salt is being used. It looks like pretty much the same as if it was a foot snowstorm lol. It looks fantastic outside. DTW finished with 4.9" snow on 0.41" liquid so the liquid was actually MORE than the model average forecast of 0.35". It was just pure sugar. Monroe had 6.5". Pretty much 2-4" NW of an Ann Arbor to Livonia to Port Huron line with less than 2" by the time you get to Flint. From Adrian to DTW to Mt Clemens and southeast 4-5" with 5-7" in Monroe Co. So basically...model qpf was fine...once again the assumption of cold equals fluff did not work out. It is very rare to get 20-1 ratios in a synoptic system....Lake effect, that's when you can easily get north of 25-1 ratios. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Its fantastic outside. I lol when I hear something like "the east coast wins again". They've actually been in a historic multi year snow drought in many places so whether you believe it or not, they are long overdue for a storm like this. This powder is not high ratio so the depth will not settle much. Deep winter. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Looks so much nicer than the pic you sent the other day! -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Sitting inside enjoying the snowstorm. Will go out and play later. We probably have 3 with 2-3 more to go. Had 5 on the ground before the storm started. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Absolute snow globe outside and expecting snow all day. Deep winter. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Everyone gets burned. Its just how it goes. Let's get back to model watching. And soon now casting! -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Ever since @A-L-E-K took S. MI off the thread title each run gets better and better for us. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
NWS issued a winter storm warning for monroe co for 5-8". Advisory for wayne for 4-6" isolated 7". Advisory for Oakland and macomb for 2-4" isolated 5" -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Dtx thinking 4-6" here. Could have close to a foot of powder on the ground Monday morning! -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
-10° at Detroit is the coldest since 2019. Ann Arbor, the usual cold spot with its bowl effect, hit -21°! Flint hit a record -24°. This is not my pic but its an incredible shot of sunrise at -10° over the Detroit River in Wyandotte. -
-10° here this morning. I think DTW low also -10 but unsure yet. Cold spot Ann Arbor hit -21°! This is not my photo, but an incredible shot of a -10° sunrise over the Detroit River in Wyandotte.
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2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Theres 2+ solid months left of winter storm potential. We know how quickly things can and do change. And I have no doubt in the meantime there will be plenty more nickels and dimes. Give us a cold pattern in MI and it snows. -
With all the blowing and drifting the past week i got to thinking. The drifts look cool but Im not a drift person overall. It compacts the snow too much. Exposes some grass blades in open areas. My avg depth is like 5" now. Packed powder. Perfect for cross country skiing and winter hiking but if there wasnt so much wind it'd be fluffier and deeper. Tundra sunset
