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Everything posted by michsnowfreak
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I was just at meijer. The snow piles in the parking lot are gone. They were massive when I was there like 10 days ago.
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2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We won't know the reality for months, but i would be SHOCKED if the 2026-27 el nino is strong. You just dont get strong events like that 3 years apart. -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Once again. I have no doubt warmth will eventually spread further north and east. Especially as our snow is gone, ice is breaking up on the lakes and the ground is thawing. But none of the ensembles show massive warmth engulfing the lakes into new England right after March 20th. -
2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Sorry. Back to '26-27 -
2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
His point about cold winning out from the western warmth the further east you went is very apparent from the winter temp departure. -
2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes its torching today. I wasnt referring to you, I was referencing the fact that as soon as winter got off to a cold start, some were "projecting" a warm jan, then a warm feb. Like you, I primarily care about the weather where I live (SE MI) so the frequent posts about record warmth in the West were an afterthought in our cold, white winter. This winter was unusually in that Detroit averaged quite a bit colder than Chicago, but it made sense in this pattern as Chicago was further west. It was still a colder than avg winter at ORD, but very front loaded. -
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2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not sure. It does seem like the wishcasting warmth for the east this winter has been no different than previous years when some wish casted cold. Its usually short-lived or fails. Obviously theres a warmer signal after the cold (which does not seem confined to just Mar 16-19) but ill remain very skeptical of a torch here until it is imminent. Haven't finished above avg at Detroit since Oct. Nov: -0.4° Dec: -3.6° Jan: -5.2° Feb: -0.2° -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
AI Euro has done decent this winter. But get ready for plenty of model waffling this week. -
2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The warmth has been crazy all winter out West. Glad its not here though. Detroit hasn't had a warmer than avg month since October. -
2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The ensembles go to day 16 and its cold in the Great Lakes and east coast -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Signal remains strong...but still a week out -
Your last line actually makes sense (this is not the mlb forum ). It would be interesting to see who are just snow lovers, who are winter lovers, and who are both. Because there absolutely are three groups. In the Lakes subforum I know who's who but dont call em out. Im all 3. It can snow to the end of April but thats not winter. I generally think of winter as mid november to mid March. Even though march averages more snow than November, November absolutely seems like the more wintry month here lately.
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Confirmed. With 4 fatalities it was the deadliest Michigan tornado since May 1980. I think lack of warning hurt.
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Yup. I get them every spring lol.
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The east coast south of boston always struck me as a feast/famine climate for winter, but nyc really feasted this year after multiple years if famine.
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A crop of baby bunnies will appear in your yard soon.
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I like the different styles people grade on...but if I had to do a breakdown of the 3 big ones, mine would be near identical to yours: Snowfall- B Cold- A Snowcover- A It was a very good winter, but could've gotten a bit more snowfall (and of course still probably will). Cold/snowcover were fantastic. We are not the feast/famine climate of the east coast. This easily seemed like an A+ winter there after a slew of D/F's. But here we always manage to get multiple snows in even the mildest winters, so i place a heavy emphasis on cold/snowcover and not just the final snowfall number.
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Not sure if its AI or just a summer picture from elsewhere, but definitely not the Michigan tornado. Reported to be Michigan's deadliest tornado (4 fatalities) since 1980. Ill take more snow. Most are tired of winter, not me lol.
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DTW got down to 1/8 as well.
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https://x.com/NickKrasz_Wx/status/2030051360670937334?app=coremodule=systemcontroller=embedurl=https://twitter.com/i/status/2030051360670937334 If you watch the high quality video on her Facebook. Around the 50 second mark you can see the tornado Crack the ice and waves shoot up
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Incredible footage but so sad. I hear there's 3-4 fatalities. Someone said Michigan's deadliest tornado since may 1980.
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Wyandotte, MI. I usually dont grade until April but likely grade will be: B+ Snowfall to date is 39.8", which is a few inches shy of annual 43" average (but again, we average snow into April). Snowfall was frequent (esp Dec-Jan) but no huge storms, the two largest being 6.2" & 5.2". Snowcover was fantastic. From late November through the 3rd week of February, the ground was blanketed in snow nearly continuously with exception of 2 brief thaws (christmas week & 2nd week of Jan). Until melting the 2nd week of Feb, the snow was usually fresh and glittery. Cold was excellent. Ice thick on the lakes. 2nd colder than avg winter in a row, but this year much more than last. November and February finished slightly colder than avg, December and January solidly colder than avg. The quiet Feb (a boring month saved by snowcover) and mild bare start to march is what keeps it out of A- territory for now.
