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michsnowfreak

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Everything posted by michsnowfreak

  1. michsnowfreak
    Actually its more like 3-5° each day here. And again, who said its NOT hot as shit out? That is/was a given. Imagine a snowstorm calling for 8-10" and you get 4-6" and say "it still snowed". That would never fly here lol
  2. michsnowfreak
    Oh by the way. The 4-day stretch at Detroit ties with 4 other years for 27th hottest on record max temp wise (i recall reading on here previously that we decided to ditch low temps because they run colder now)
  3. michsnowfreak
    Lmao I ALMOST posted on my post "I know this will freak out the warmistas and I will probably be accused of saying there wasnt a heatwave", but i decided against it. I should have known it wouldn't have taken long. Please tell me how stating a FACT that high temperatures and heat indexes fell consistently short of what was hyped up, forecast, and discussed by local news outlets & the nws for a week straight before the heatwave hit is downplaying the event? I even began by saying its a solid uncomfortable heatwave. You would NEVER start a post with "this is a decent cold snap", it would be "this transient cool down was a failure because the forecast low of -8 was a balmy -7"
  4. michsnowfreak
    Most expansive heatwave in history? Lmao. I guess the 1930s-50s just removed themselves from history. Not to mention 1988, 1995, 2012, etc
  5. michsnowfreak
    Yeah. You can easily see the potential if a similar pattern shapes up. Southern MI had an early snowstorm (Nov 21) then the shit december....multiple winter storms Jan-early Mar then a winter encore in early April. Once we passed Christmas, any warm spike was quickly followed by a winter storm. The November snowstorm was very scenic
  6. michsnowfreak
    It was a solid (not to mention gross & uncomfortable) heatwave for sure but definitely fell short of hype locally. Which i knew would happen and called it last week in a local weather chat im on. One of the local mets said he sees "nothing" that would indicate we fall short of 100 on back to back days (Wed/Thu). They also hyped 110+ heat indexes. The reality? DTW highs were 94, 97, 96 (likely low 90s today). Max heat index was on July 1st at 105. Max dewpoint was 76, also on the 1st. No record highs were set but the record high min of 76 was tied on the 2nd.
  7. michsnowfreak
    Honestly, 2015-16 was fine outside of December imo
  8. michsnowfreak
    No, its the Wyandotte Museum. But I love Greenfield Village!
  9. michsnowfreak
    A sweltering summer night seemed like a good time for a comparison pic. July 1/January 25
  10. michsnowfreak
    Wow. Max heat index at DTW was 104.
  11. michsnowfreak
    97 at DTW today. No record, but the hottest temp since 2019.
  12. michsnowfreak
    I know my own climate very well, but I have also learned a decent amount about the east/midatlantic after being on weather boards for 2+ decades. Warm/cold/etc are always very relative, subjective terms. It absolutely will snow here in November & December. My hunch is for above avg snow in Nov & below avg in Dec, but thats just my hunch (based on strong Nino history & an odd frequency of this occurring in even non-Nino years recently). Id lean on an avg to cold November and a mild December, but even if its warm both months, the transition to winter in the Great Lakes from Oct to Nov is a sharp one, and is very apparent even in the warmest years. Meanwhile, on the east coast/midatlantic, early season snow is never a strong bet, even in a cold pattern. So in a more hostile strong Nino pattern, bad odds just got worse. So while its not impossible, dont count on much pre-Christmas snow. January-February is when the Great Lakes region is often thrust into deep winter, so you have options ranging from that to a warmer, less favorable outcome which would actually yield a good chance for dynamic, powerful wet snowstorms. This is the time of year when literally everything has to go wrong to not see much winter. Meanwhile in the east, Jan/Feb is when climo hits its sweetspot. Pair this with a time when the overall pattern becomes more wintry for much of the nation following the assumed mild December, and the tendancy/STJ in strong Ninos for strong storms, and this is when you can be on high alert for possible huge storms.
  13. michsnowfreak
    Low at DTW 78 this morning. The hot, humid final day of June took the monthly departure from -0.1F to 0.4F at DTW. June was a very average month in the southern Great Lakes in the mean, with most locations finishing between -0.5F & +0.5F, however the last day added around a half degree departure for most.
  14. michsnowfreak
    Speaking of cansips. Its July 1st update maintains a cold look centered in the Great Lakes despite the nino strength. January is the coldest month relative to average. It warmed some in December.
  15. michsnowfreak
    The irony
  16. michsnowfreak
    Actually. Strong ninos often have cool months in the Fall. And we've already had several cool months this year, so no, i dont think every month the rest of the year will be warmer than avg.
  17. michsnowfreak
    Hes an old friend under a new name, if you know what i mean. For not posting much, its always the same thing every time.
  18. michsnowfreak
    2026 already happened and was a cold white winter. But welcome to the thread and happy trolling!
  19. michsnowfreak
    Not weird at all. In fact, done completely intentionally.
  20. michsnowfreak
    Do you have any AC?
  21. michsnowfreak
    Detroit is at -0.1F on the last day of the month so with the heat it will end up a few tenths of a degree above avg. Basically, a "normal" June anyway you slice it (generally +/- 0.5F is often considered "normal" by many). For me personally it has been a cool and very enjoyable June, due to the timing of my Alaska trip coinciding with our warmth early in the month and then my return coming with 2 weeks of below avg temps.
  22. michsnowfreak
    I could be wrong, but I believe a strong El Nino is traditionally better compared to avg for Colorado than it is in the east. Plus of course, we know how Denver can rack up September and May snow with 70F in January . While measurable snow is normal here in the Detroit area from November thru April, its a more traditional curve, with the snowiest month being January followed closely by February (each month over 12"), with both November and April each averaging just under 2". A common trend seen in strong El Ninos is well ABOVE avg snowfall in November, followed by below avg snow in December. Once you get to January results get more mixed.
  23. michsnowfreak
    Good point. Its also typical to see very early and late season snows
  24. michsnowfreak
    I haven't seen anyone here forecast a cold winter. In fact, everyone expects a milder than avg mean. However, it has been discussed how there still remain plenty of opportunity for a big east coast storm, and for those of us further north multiple wintry opportunities exist in mild winters. Hes hoping for the warmest/least snowy outcome possible so he can enjoy weenie tears, but thats something thats really just wish casting.
  25. michsnowfreak
    Did they actually say this though? I dont recall anyone going full throttle "months of deep winter" in these years. Jan-early Mar 2016 is actually exactly what I would hope for in a strong nino. Multiple wintry threats here and some good cold snaps despite an overall warmer than normal mean. I searched online multiple different ways and could find nothing from JB from January 1998. Yes, he was at accuweather back then, but I dont think he had much of a follower base that long ago. You are not wrong in assuming JB most likely always goes cold, but again, its the exact same as you going warm. Im sure JB was going cold in 1997-98, 2001-02, 2011-12 just as Im sure you went warm in 2010-11, 2013-14, 2014-15.
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