Terpeast

For what dates?

Low of 55, now 65/64 Looks like 70 is in play

Phase 7 in ninos is when KUs start as a wave in the pacific. FWIW

All because some woman was upset she missed her stop and attacked the driver. Initial reports indicated that the bus had swerved to avoid an oncoming vehicle; however, footage recovered from the bus shows that a female passenger had attacked the driver, who retaliated.[2] Local police have said the fight was the cause of the crash. Police said in a statement that the pair began arguing when the driver refused to let her off the bus after she missed her stop. The footage shows the pair gesturing at each other before the woman hits the driver in the face with her mobile phone.[1][3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Chongqing_bus_crash Savage.

Yep, I was here visiting my mom for Jan 2016. But I didn't post much here because I was going through some personal stuff (a divorce) I did enjoy the storm, we got about 30"

Agree. Droolworthy. If this H5 anomaly map verifies for a full month, and we don't get a HECS - or at minimum - a top 10 KU, I would be disappointed. Very disappointed.

El Nino

STJ going wild

Agreed. That map Ji posted looks like 2022-23. I wasn’t joking about planning a trip out west.

Time to plan a ski trip to Whistler then

Yep, when I predicted 20-40” for our sub, I gave DCA a “siting penalty” of -30% which comes to roughly 14-28”. Too bad

47, fog. Snow cover is gone. That was a good 10 days of snow pack.

Well, don’t look now but 6z op shows 3 hits down underneath into NC. Right where we want it? Btw I’m not worried about lack of snow on the means on the weeklies. It’s just not something to take seriously until discrete threats show up in range.

This can easily support snow if it’s falling at night and the 850 low passes south of us. Let’s give it a few more cycles, and if euro and gfs continue this trend and bring colder air in a bit earlier & souther, we can start honking. Still too early to think of this beyond anything more than snow TV

On the gfs the 850 low was over W PA 2 runs ago, and now its overhead if not a bit south of us. Still skeptical, and need other model support. Could be gfs moving closer to euro/cmc, but the latter two are still a bit too warm. Best case scenario for us is mostly rain and ending as snow with a coating. But we shall watch and see.

Many areas got whacked. Likely gone by tomorrow afternoon

H5 looks great. Near perfect. But what matters is what we have at the surface. How cold does it get, not just when it's dry, but when it's precipitating. Do we get a good high to the north when we get an incoming wave? Where does the r/s line lie? Those details obviously can't be resolved this far out, and I'd be highly skeptical of snow maps at 3 weeks out. Take last week for example - 3 weeks or even 1 week prior, snow maps barely showed an inch and we ended up getting ~10 in one week! I don't remember seeing a snow map like that on the weeklies that far out. If anything, they were further north across PA into SNE, even up until 2 days before the second wave, and then it dunked south at the last possible minute.

Nice... and this is entirely before the "good" pattern starting Feb 8-12ish??

True, but we had the cold air. This time we don't.

Agreed. I think E PA / N NJ wins this one. Not sure about NYC metro. High elevs in our sub may get a little bit, too

Still good. Especially shaded areas facing NW

We got "lucky" twice last week but that was when there was plenty of cold air. I don't think we luck into this one this time, except for higher elevations (I'm looking at you, PSU). For the rest of us, we wait until 2nd week of Feb, maybe a bit sooner.

36. 10 days of snowpack. Hanging tough at 3-4 inches in most areas, with some bare ground showing now. It was interesting to see which spots imby hang on the longest and which melt off first…

Yep looks that way. Positive sign. In February, every day counts!

I like it. As long as there is no can kicking. get that thing to undercut is how we win