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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Latest NAM 3k and RAP currently depict less than an inch for most of the sub. Maybe with higher ratios we can eek out an inch, but idk
  2. What's your total so far? I went out to measure and I also picked up another 1.3", bringing my total to 6.1". But wanted to confirm if anyone else in Loudoun county also got 6"+?
  3. I walked right into that one…
  4. Agree. I think given the data and parameters, the forecast was fair and well done. Someone was going to get double digit totals, and others were only going to reach the low end of the forecast range. I wouldn’t call it a bust, even though my backyard underperformed with the frontend thump. Dry air and poor snow growth really ate into the totals, but regardless it is a winter wonderland out there. It looks the same to me whether I got 6” or 9”. this surprise little “lake effect” band is a nice one though. Really fluffed things up! I’m happy with the way things turned out even though I got nowhere near the jackpot.
  5. Nice dendrites from this “lake effect”-like band
  6. I'm on the south side of that band, and I've picked up about the same amount. Even added more since my last measurement.
  7. Just measured fresh snow after shoveling my sidewalk - 0.7", which takes me to 5.5" so far
  8. Maybe... JUST maybe I can reach 8" if this ULL overperforms. I'm at or close to 5.5" with that band over me. I think 7" total is more realistic.
  9. plowed streets and shoveled sidewalks getting covered again This band looks stationary, maybe?
  10. this band over ashburn should push me to 5" total for warning criteria (compaction notwithstanding)
  11. thats not the ULL round, though. switching back to snow as this band arrives on my doorstep
  12. Good trend by the GEFS the last few runs. Will have to see if Euro/EPS follows. It did better the current event than the GFS as far as pinpointing the max snowfall stripe south of us imho
  13. Yeah, I've compacted down to 4" of cement. Odd thing is when I first went out with my kid, we couldn't make a snowball that held its shape. After some fzdz, I sent her back inside (she was cold) and did some shoveling. With 4" OTG after some sleet and fzdz, it felt more like shoveling 7 or 8 inches. Or maybe I'm just getting old
  14. Light snow with decent flakes, finally
  15. For those of you still getting heavy snowfall, congrats. This is yours! My compacted 4"+ makes for a beautiful winter wonderland, and currently getting snizzle which isn't adding to my accums. Hopefully the ULL pass gets me another inch or two.
  16. You’re to the east and going by radar your rates are still good. But soon they will lighten up and flip to IP maybe fzdz even i don’t think that will last, though. When the ULL passes over, we all flip back to snow
  17. 4.8” at 7 am it’s sleeting though rn
  18. About to go jebwalking, will take my 7 am measurement
  19. Here’s where a i think the mix line is
  20. 6am measurement in ashburn: 4.2” (1.1” in the last hour) just now bigger flakes coming down after rates faltered a bit with subsidence between bands. Main band trying to push north into my area.
  21. Confirmed. I’m a couple hours ahead of you as per radar, and this is a beat down here. After a slow start, I’m catching up you’l get even heavier rates than I’m getting here, probably
  22. 25/23 SN+ under some yellows, heavy snow bigger flakes. Not fatties, but can see them without any light
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