Terpeast
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Everything posted by Terpeast
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Sustained 20-30 mph winds, reduced visibility to your own picket fence, with blowing and drifting.
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Warm and breezy at 75. Beautiful day out at a pumpkin patch with the little ones. Enjoy it while it lasts
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So would I, but didn’t want to raise my own expectations
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These two analogs have a snowier Feb. I had eyes on the 1985-86 analog in my winter forecast. That I would take in a heartbeat.
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Reasonable, same basic idea as my outlook. Maybe a little too optimistic about the nina decaying as fast as they said it will.
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Yeah, the first 2 weeks is already sealed, imo. And imagine how cold the second half of novie has to get just to get us to average.
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I expected a mild november, but not a torcher like this. But that’s ok. It’s all about timing here.
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Yeah, the problem with an early flip to cold is that when it flips back warm, it usually means an early end to the winter in this “new” climo
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0.3” here. Radar looks like we’re done
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Yep, a flip late nov would be too soon east of the blue ridge. Delay that a couple/few weeks, we’re golden
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Low 32. Bit surprised to see frost everywhere, but this is probably the last time in a few weeks.
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The reds are really popping in Ashburn lately.
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If this pans out and stretches to late Nov, my +2 forecast for mid atlantic might get close to verifying. Then I go cold for Dec-Jan…
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Only when it’s 384 hrs out, can we take it seriously
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I predicted 11/4-5 for the rest, while I was off for IAD by 5 days.
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Yeah I know. I was being facetious
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How ironic would it be if I flew to TX on the 20th and missed this one
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Maybe I woke up too late, but lighter and patchier frost this morning than yesterday. Don’t think I actually got down to freezing.
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Yup
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Think 33 is the lowest I got. There was frost this time. Everywhere.
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Looking more and more positive. When was the last 3rd year nina with a +pdo?
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Skyline drive on Monday morning between 211 and Stony Man. IMG_4311.MOV
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34 low, no frost.
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Even if they were smart enough to leave after a busted winter forecast, he can still use the “churn n’ burn” strategy and still keep the lights on.
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Real question is do subscribers stay when it turns out he was wrong… and if they do, why?
