Terpeast
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Everything posted by Terpeast
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That's even if we get snow as a cold front passes. Which is a... generous assumption in these parts. OTOH, GEFS 12z has a miller B signature rather than a pure cutter. On 12/23 give or take
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39/18 Ashburn
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With that pna ridge, I’m liking our chances despite the op models not showing much of anything. We don’t have that western ridge in place right now. Just get it there, and let the rest take care of itself.
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The 12/23 cutter? CMC phases and cuts, 06z GFS does not and southern sw goes OTS. All about timing. (And we get it wrong most of the time… but still have a chance of lucking into it. We just won’t see it until 3 days before)
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Low of 21, now 23. Frosty
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I have an in person meeting planned with my boss at his office Thursday afternoon. Maybe best to do it virtually this time.
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This depiction is what I think might happen if a cold disturbance runs over ripe warm waters off the MA coast… then BOOM. Not saying we’ll get a foot right here in DC. But someone up the corridor towards the NE is going to get hammered within a few weeks of this pattern.
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Sounding at/near IAD during the onset.
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Damn, glad you’re ok! My O2 went down to 91 though…
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I count 4 misses to the south and OTS. Something tells me the mega baroclinicity between atlantic warm water and the coming cold air will not let storms miss.
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I’m not diabetic but I had the same experience in my first bout with covid. Paxlovid wasn’t available at the time though.
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Isn’t that right where we want it at 1 week out?
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40 all day here with 10-15 mph winds under a gloomy overcast sky. It was cold. Wind felt like it goes right through your bones.
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A foot in Galveston
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Even southern MD is under code yellow? Bullish much?
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Not sure where to ask this, but is there a way I can create/pull historical 500mb maps and radar maps on a mobile friendly site?
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Sun finally came out. Took the wife and 2 year old daughter out for a walk. Comfortable 46 degrees.
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Same here, but around 40-41 here. Wet also.
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What happened to that cad signature the gfs modeled 24 hours ago? Still there, just not cold enough. Sorry Ji
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Unless my eyes are playing tricks on me, it looks like the models are starting to converge onto a solution where PA and north get some snow and most of this sub gets mostly a wintry mix/rain with little or no accumulations. Not enough cold air yet, particularly at 850.
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I remember when he predicted a very mild winter and everyone got mad at him, and he turned out to be correct. He also nailed the historic 09-10 winter if I recall correctly. When I read his posts it comes off as confusing and flip-floppy, and I’m barely hanging onto his words most of the time. But his intelligence is definitely not in question.
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Have to say I’m glad I live close to Leesburg not Alexandria. (Not believing the location of that brutal gradient for a minute, too far out for details like this)
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Looks like good skiing at Seven Springs next weekend
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Cloudy and cold. 34. was a great day to pick out a christmas tree… No precip though
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CMC was all rain last run. the plot thickens…
