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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Given how chilly it’s been lately, I almost want an above normal November to give the pattern a chance to reset and give us BN Dec-Jan
  2. That’s scary, hope your youngest recovers quickly.
  3. A local qpf max right over dc metro? Not something we see everyday.
  4. Really efficient rain producer. Radar returns are sporadic/clear, but it’s a drizzlard out there.
  5. Looks like 1” like most here. Big af dry slot… I don’t like dry slots even in all rain events. Only time it’s good is when it cuts precip off just when a changeover happens
  6. First wisps of Ian up overhead
  7. Leaning towards this kind of thinking/temp departures, too.
  8. Having lived through Ike in Houston in 2008, Ian’s radar imagery gives me goosebumps.
  9. That’s not gonna fly with my Vietnamese wife. She’d be shivering in her thick wool coat at those temps haha
  10. Low 46. Forgot to turn on the heating before bed, and it was 69 in the house this morning.
  11. Been a while since I’ve seen an easterly fetch like that. One could dream of this being in January and the high centered over Toronto… Ok, back to the present. Carry on, people.
  12. Hope it all stays intact for them. Looks like serious flooding if wind isn’t the main issue.
  13. Looks like guidance is split in 2 schools of thought, one having Ian fizzle in the carolinas and the other driving it up the EC. Must depend on the interaction with the trough
  14. I liked this writeup about Hunga Tonga and potential effects on this winter. https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/cold-anomaly-stratosphere-polar-vortex-volcanic-cooling-winter-influence-fa/
  15. I'm not, but I'm not all enthusiastic about it either. We're about to witness a global experiment on what happens when we inject a butt ton of vapor (a strong greenhouse gas) directly into the polar stratosphere.
  16. I’m not sure that it does. There are a lot of “if”s to make that happen.
  17. Already seeing blue skies behind the line. Barely a trace. Think I got screwed again
  18. Yeah I saw that! Is that going to be a first if it actually pans out?
  19. Yeah, if we’re going BN, it’ll be more like -1 or -2. The good news is we don’t even have to get that cold to get good snows as 2009-10 showed.
  20. Worth noting that the 4 corners in the west are warmer than normal in all four cases… and on the flip side, interier NE (especially Maine) are colder than normal in all cases.
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