Looks like 1” like most here.
Big af dry slot… I don’t like dry slots even in all rain events.
Only time it’s good is when it cuts precip off just when a changeover happens
Been a while since I’ve seen an easterly fetch like that. One could dream of this being in January and the high centered over Toronto…
Ok, back to the present. Carry on, people.
Looks like guidance is split in 2 schools of thought, one having Ian fizzle in the carolinas and the other driving it up the EC. Must depend on the interaction with the trough
I liked this writeup about Hunga Tonga and potential effects on this winter.
https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/cold-anomaly-stratosphere-polar-vortex-volcanic-cooling-winter-influence-fa/
I'm not, but I'm not all enthusiastic about it either.
We're about to witness a global experiment on what happens when we inject a butt ton of vapor (a strong greenhouse gas) directly into the polar stratosphere.
Worth noting that the 4 corners in the west are warmer than normal in all four cases… and on the flip side, interier NE (especially Maine) are colder than normal in all cases.