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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. It does seem like that kind of summer. Hot and dry most of the time where we routinely blow past 95 like its nothing. Doesn’t seem like the pattern will change anytime soon.
  2. I just counted 16 90+ degree days for June imby (using the nearest PWS). 14 at IAD. Incredible.
  3. 90, but dews dropped to 68. Drier air moving in
  4. Good to know. It’s not just the radar being lacking, but also when I look out west it’s almost full sun with minimal clouds… so that made me wonder
  5. Cell approaching me fizzled. Which is fine, keep the heating going to further stretch the rubber band until it snaps. Hard. This heat and muggy air isn’t going away quietly.
  6. Think the cap is about to break. Just looked out the window and the clouds have that look. Also a bigger cumulonimbus budding way out to my north.
  7. 94, HI 107 (dp 76) A heat advisory would have been justified. Probably was a tough call though due to cloudiness make that 95/78, HI 111
  8. Interesting. It’s not clear from the article debunking the link what the statistical significance they found between nao and solar, and the research paper they linked to is paywalled. The other link that tries to find a link for February doesn’t really make a convincing case for it, imho. I’ll see if I can derive the p-value between those datasets broken down by month, just to satisfy my curiosity. If its well over 0.05 for all DJF months, that’s productive because I know I wouldn’t waste any more time on solar when predicting whether there will be blocking in the nao domain or not.
  9. Unless storms fire up imby today, I’m sitting on 0.56” for the month of June. Very dry.
  10. Somehow picked up 0.15” this morning.
  11. Wow at that training… and getting missed to the north
  12. Oh, and topped at 93 today. Humid enough for a HI of 104-105.
  13. Last year we had a lot of splits and close misses. This year a whole lot of big fat nothing. I feel like we’re living in Utah right about now.
  14. 0.18”, not gonna put a dent into this drought. only 0.41” MTD.
  15. Sure feels like it, and it shows in the grass
  16. High of 97.3, think that’s where I’m topping out
  17. 95, some high clouds especially to the north. South/southwest is full sun. Probably will fall short of 100, but 97-98 very much in play
  18. That puts round 1 in the 5-7pm time frame, which gives us lots of room for heating to maximize convection after initiation. Hopefully we all benefit.
  19. 92 already. Could make a run for 100 if convection delays to initiate
  20. It’s sure looking deserty out here. My lawn grass is about tapped out
  21. And the hurricane season is off to a slow start. If we get stuck on neutral, that changes the calculus for the winter. Not saying it will be much better for mby (mid atl), recent enso neutral winters have been real duds as 2022-23 was with a moderately strong nina.
  22. One small cell firing up north of me. We’ll see who the lucky ones are today through tomorrow
  23. Cloud cover kept temps in check at around 93-95, but seeing some clearing overhead. 98 now. IAD at 97
  24. DCA already at 97, IAD 95
  25. Not even 9am yet and it’s already 86 imby
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