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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    43 in vienna, dark clouds moving in from the NW. looks like summer tstorms I’m sure my house in ashburn has a dusting by now
  2. Terpeast
    Went to Vienna today. Might snow in Ashburn and not here. Lol
  3. Terpeast
    At least the HRRR doesn’t show that 925 warm layer. For now. Either the Nam is onto something or it’s too warm
  4. Terpeast
    Well, that’s a new and surprising development with this system. Maybe I should not be so surprised
  5. Terpeast
    Hrrr doesn’t get the squall line far enough south for the dc metro, but radar looks better. Can see the mountains eating it up south of 50
  6. Terpeast
    I think someone pointed out (maybe it was you?) that EPS has been doing much better in the long range than gefs this winter.
  7. Terpeast
    24 low
  8. Terpeast
    Agree, the jack might be just NW/NE of Balt. My area will be cold enough but maybe too far W to jack. Still seems good for 1-3” if the models are right
  9. Terpeast
    Looks maybe as if the warm up will be brief.
  10. Terpeast
    Did they feed PSU’s drawings into the Gfs as input? Hmmm
  11. Terpeast
    Just a slightly deeper dig, and this has nuke potential
  12. Terpeast
    Digging a little more… i’m interested
  13. Terpeast
    TPV is way east, more into 50/50. Might help
  14. Terpeast
    Maybe not. Because 12z held a lot of energy back behind the vort which may have allowed it to dig. I don’t see it on 18z or this run
  15. Terpeast
    And TPV slightly east
  16. Terpeast
    It’s a hold, or even slightly better.
  17. Terpeast
    Maybe things’ve changed now, but when I was growing up here in Vienna, I would always hear about the “far N & W” suburbs like winchester getting a ton more snow. They were killing it and I was jealous.
  18. Terpeast
    Not much better out your way than around here? (Close to IAD)
  19. Terpeast
    18z and 00z nam seemed to be in good agreement up until hour 60 with the first wave, then diverges apart with the second one. Either way, I’ll take what the first wave dropped verbatim. Anything after is a bonus
  20. Terpeast
    Nice to see the NAM but PV (the site) seems to be slow tonight
  21. Terpeast
    This is encouraging because the EPS long range has been doing great this winter.
  22. Terpeast
    I’ll take
  23. Terpeast
    Are you saying the gfs handles nrn streams better than the euro?
  24. Terpeast
    At least this is inside 7 days. I'll get more excited once we get within 4 days and it's still showing similar outcomes. And we need the euro on board.
  25. Terpeast
    Not the answer we were all hoping for, though.
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