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Dark Star

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Dark Star

  1. Snow amounts were close to what was predicted. It's just the duration and precipitation cutoff that weren't exactly correct. Snow hole, rain hole, precipitation hole. We rarely complain we are in a rain hole, unless there is a drought going on.
  2. Thump? You mean you'll be getting rates at an inch an hour, or more?
  3. 0.8" of snow in Garwood. All over, except for a little light sleet. That brings my season total in to double digits, 10.3". Last week, this looked like it could have been winter wonderland, with 3 potential events. One by one, they all fizzled to minor events...
  4. I think "banding" is overly used, but that is a discussion for another day...
  5. But the lighter the snowfall intensities out east, the quicker the warmer air noses in aloft. Garwood just salted. Its 33 degrees, with residual salt from the last time, and rain is expected to start in about 3 hours.
  6. Flurries just started in Garwood, central Union County NJ. I figured it would have started 2 hours ago...
  7. I don't know, would I take a guaranteed 4" snow fall from this system, or trade it for a future bigger possibility? I think I would trade it for what's behind the curtain...
  8. I think the only harder thing the models have to predict than snow, is wind...
  9. 1.5" of the jolly white stuff in Garwood NJ (central NJ) just as advertised... Brings my season total to 9.5" Can double digits be far behind?
  10. Looks like that northern part in central PA dries up long before it crosses into the "upper" half of Jersey?
  11. Some people divide New Jersey geographically. I tend to weight the division via population distribution (I don't know why)...
  12. The post was somebody from Patterson, NJ. Not sure if the forecast was ever 5"-10" for that town. Regardless, the energy was about 75 miles farther north. But strangely, the colder air was farther to the east, limiting the snow just west of NYC. Usually, the air is colder as you move west.
  13. It's funny how these things don't work out. The southern trends stay north, and the northern trends stay south anyway...
  14. Depends which time the forecast was issued. I never saw an official 5" to 10" from the NWS, but who knows?
  15. i was optimistic up until getting skunked just now, and seeing the following events to be in question...
  16. At my age, I should be more mature in handling living in a "screw" zone. I understand this was to be a marginal event, after an initial Winter Storm Watch was issued. The storm did perform pretty much as advertised (based on the most recent 24-36 hour forecasts). Newark, 10 miles away from central Union County received 3.0". Garwood got 1" of snow, some sleet (not the sleet fest as advertised), and then was pretty much over. Perhaps I am discontent, seeing that the Tuesday, Thursday and coming weekend storms are beginning to unravel.
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