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Dark Star

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Dark Star

  1. It may be very difficult to define how much extra damage is caused by the sea level rise. What astonishes me, is that the 6 to 10 inches in sea level rise over the last 100 years is not uniform. I think most of us originally learned that sea level is uniform, and all bodies of water, including landlocked ones, seek to reach sea level. So a lot would depend on local topography and man made containment. I'm sure the west coast, with it's pronounced sea bottom drop off, has much different impacts on flooding than the shallow east coast sea bed. First we woud have to explore the generalalities of coastlines, then focus on specific local impacts the sea level rise would have on flooding and beach erosion.
  2. I don't agree with "as advertised". Yes, it was a Nor'Easter, with all the usual conditions as you stated. But it was not nearly as intense as advertised. We can nit pick every last stat. Again, that is not to downplay the results, but it could have been much worse. The duration was the main player, which increased flooding and beach erosion...
  3. Sea levels are a few inches higher due to climate change, but it is the duration of the northeasterly fetch more so than the intensity of the storm causing the flooding and erosion. It would be interesting to see how much the increase in sea levels does affect coastal flooding.
  4. Since just a few miles inland, most of the precipitation was light, I would imagine that the same event in February would have been just a wintry mix.
  5. I'm posting this in the banter thread, since I don't want to downplay any warnings. The main coastal low that was forecast to cause most of the damage appears to be stationary near the coast of South Carolina. Some models predicted a secondary to develop along the Delmarva coastal area. Is this the precipitation that is affecting southeast NJ now and is being shunted southward away from Northeast NJ? It looks like some of this rain will graze Union County NJ and then be shunted further east? Will the upper level low over northern NY state add to any precipitation? I am thinking not much rain in northeast Jersey until maybe later tonight and tomorrow, if the low over South Carolina ever gets moving? I think the main concern is coastal flooding due to the long period of winds driving water towards the shore. Some breezes in Garwood NJ (central Union County), but otherwise just cloudy. Should have moved my garage sale from yesterday (showers) to today, but previous forecasts did not advise it...
  6. Just watching Fox Weather and I thought Brandy Campbell (Fox Weather Correspondent) said "Amenometer". Then 2 minutes later, she repeated "Amenometer".
  7. I was filling for Bill Cullen (behind the scenes meteorologist) at CBS for 2 weeks and noticed the LFM was calling for an April snowstorm I believe in 82? I told Steve Deschler and he told Irv Gikofsky. Irv quickly dismissed it as impossible.
  8. I think DSeagull hit the nail on the head, misappropriations of the funds. Where there is money, there is corruption. That's why we need to elect strong leaders, who have the ambition to go after those who are bilking the system.
  9. So despite any cataclysmic damage done by the weather, you can't get any federal funds unless you call a state of emergency? And if you do call a state of emergency with little or no damage you get federal funding?
  10. Doesn't matter. People who need to organize, coordinate and communicate for an event do not need a State of Emergency. We have seen a State of Emergency declared for the entire state when only 1 or 2 counties may be affected.
  11. You don't need a state of emergency to communicate and coordinate. Declaring a SOE has become too commonplace, and only de-emphasizes a potentially dangerous situation.
  12. Absolutely. The timing is awful. I understand the magnitude, intensity, winds, and type of precipitation, but why waffling with the onset of precipitation 72 hours out?
  13. NWS just came on board with this. Earlier today, they had sun for Sunday...
  14. This will be my last winter for a chance for a 40" snowfall in the NYC metro area. I'll be moving to Morristown Tennessee in late Spring...
  15. Droughts come and go. Climate modeling has many different scenarios. What scares me are "activists" making sure forest fires increase...
  16. Yes, but I welcomed it. I actually saw some local ponds freeze in Union County, NJ.
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