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Dark Star

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Dark Star

  1. Not sure if I can digest the study in this link concerning the oceans absorbing atmospheric heat... https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9452516/
  2. I just caught a bit of something that Jeff Berradelli posted about potential upwelling cooling the ocean's surface. But wouldn't that eventually just overall heat the entire ocean column? Wouldn't the surface heat just get transferred deeper into the oceans? Asking for a friend...
  3. NOTHING left here in Garwood (cental Union County). Only piles left from shoveling. Anything that gone sun (12") melted by Tuesday. Considering we were near normal temperature wise, and I don't consider mid February to be a bad "sun angle" yet...
  4. 12" here in Jersey melted in less than a week.
  5. The Tuesday storm started a little later than what was progged a week in advance, allowing the "cooler" air to advance, and the storm was further south. The cooler air mass was firmly in place for Saturday's storm, so I still say the SNOW Triangle: Moisture, cold and luck.
  6. That's where the cold air was earlier this season. I was shocked when we got anything that came close to winter this year. For intent and purposes, looks like its over. Can never rule out a March "storm"...
  7. Went to the Bahamas either in late March or April one year, and it was so cold, you couldn't go in the pools or the ocean.
  8. 12" of snow since Tuesday, and all melted in the sunny areas. I mean it hasn't been above normal temperatures and it's only the middle of February.
  9. For me, last year was the year without a winter, in this region. Although I realize places like Minnesota have been unseasonably warm this year.
  10. The "walking to school uphill in 3 feet of snow" probably evolved over many decades, AND not necessarily occuring in the immediate NYC metro area. Also, no doubt, people from eastern PA and other outlying areas, moved into the area during the 50's and 60s, and brought tales of heavy snow with them.
  11. Wrong. Snow hole. By the time this was published, the heaviest snow was already over (for the area highlighted).
  12. February 14, 2007 I have listed as a mix of light snow, sleet and freezing rain (maybe 1.5" total sleet snow accumulation)? My notes show that a low was forecast to move into the Great Lakes, but rather slid across southen PA. A secondary formed off the Carolinas and moved north. Heavy snow warnings posted, but warmer air worked its way into mid levels, resulting in a mixed bag. Is this correct? I think the 5.5" sleet storm occurred March 17, 2007?
  13. Sounds like the NYC snow hole was worse than mine. Even with a perfect setup, and radar showing the heaviest yet to come, it cut off anyways. That's why I say, snow is a miracle in NYC metro area.
  14. More than I expected with what looked like a relentless Pacific jet throwing heat into Canada...
  15. The region was cooler than what was originally thought. When it was first progged, the storm was going to start on Monday. The slight delay allowed more colder air to reach the northeast. Not enough for an ideal setup, but enough to hold off any mixing issues, even with lighter rates over the subsidence (or whatever) over Union County in New Jersey (although I don't know if anybody noticed, the last 10 minutes of precip appeared to end as a light drizzle)?
  16. Compaction was not the issue in Union County, NJ. Based on modeling, predictions and the actual storm setup, Union County was going to be in the bullseye. Up until 8 AM, we had about 3" on the ground with the "heaviest" rates yet to come. Instead, during the 8:00 AM hour, the "Subsidence/Snow Hole/Screw Zone" set up over this area, reducing the snow rates. Snow never compacted (appreciably) during the storm here. At the very end, the last 10 minutes of precipitation, it appeared to be falling as a drizzle. Immediately after, the snow became wetter, began melting and true compaction begun.
  17. I think all the storms and misses have been challenging over the last several years...
  18. The snow hole held us down to 6" in Garwood, central Union County. The skies started to brighten around 9Am, and I knew the heavy snow was over, even though I was assured "more" was headed my way as the storm began to wrap around...
  19. There goes my snow hole...
  20. Sort of surprising at this went farther south and somewhat east? Of course, Union County in NJ got into a "snow hole" and never really recovered. Sun started trying to come out by about 8:45 AM.
  21. Jeff Beradelli used to have great reviews of what went right and what went wrong with the different modeling and forecasts, after a snowstorm. That would be much easier than reading through all the clutter (including mine).
  22. 5 3/4" in Garwood. We wound up in a screw zone, just as intensity became heavy around 7:30 this morning, it began to taper off. Snow just became moderate again about 20 minutes ago. However, if we end up with 6", I can't complain; would have liked to have seen/heard some thundersnow...
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