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Everything posted by Dark Star
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With global warming, I don't think there is a "blueprint" for an active snow season.
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Despite only 10.3" IMBY this season, we had snow cover a substantial amount of the time. And I actually saw kids playing hockey on a local pond!
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
Dark Star replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
They salted twice here in Garwood. They have been over salting the entire season. Even when the forecast calls for only 1-2" of snow with melting anticipated. And if you say anything, they'll begin their reply, "Well, if we didn't salt..."- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
Dark Star replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Snow amounts were close to what was predicted. It's just the duration and precipitation cutoff that weren't exactly correct. Snow hole, rain hole, precipitation hole. We rarely complain we are in a rain hole, unless there is a drought going on.- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
Dark Star replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Thump? You mean you'll be getting rates at an inch an hour, or more?- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
Dark Star replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
0.8" of snow in Garwood. All over, except for a little light sleet. That brings my season total in to double digits, 10.3". Last week, this looked like it could have been winter wonderland, with 3 potential events. One by one, they all fizzled to minor events...- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
Dark Star replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Another snow hole...- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
Dark Star replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
But the lighter the snowfall intensities out east, the quicker the warmer air noses in aloft. Garwood just salted. Its 33 degrees, with residual salt from the last time, and rain is expected to start in about 3 hours.- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
Dark Star replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Flurries just started in Garwood, central Union County NJ. I figured it would have started 2 hours ago...- 475 replies
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OBS-Nowcast Noon Saturday 2/15-Noon Monday 2/17
Dark Star replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Need 0.5" to make it to 10" this season.- 475 replies
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I think the only harder thing the models have to predict than snow, is wind...
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1.5" of the jolly white stuff in Garwood NJ (central NJ) just as advertised... Brings my season total to 9.5" Can double digits be far behind?
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Looks like that northern part in central PA dries up long before it crosses into the "upper" half of Jersey?
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Some people divide New Jersey geographically. I tend to weight the division via population distribution (I don't know why)...
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The post was somebody from Patterson, NJ. Not sure if the forecast was ever 5"-10" for that town. Regardless, the energy was about 75 miles farther north. But strangely, the colder air was farther to the east, limiting the snow just west of NYC. Usually, the air is colder as you move west.
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It's funny how these things don't work out. The southern trends stay north, and the northern trends stay south anyway...
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Depends which time the forecast was issued. I never saw an official 5" to 10" from the NWS, but who knows?
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i was optimistic up until getting skunked just now, and seeing the following events to be in question...