Dark Star

I'll take the blizzard and snow pack. I'm used to the Mets losing.

The cold not so brutal, the wind does make it uncomfortable at times...

...and thar she goes...

Sometimes when it snows, you can see the thinnest deck of clouds. Today is one of those days...

Just a light covering here in the Tremley Point section of Linden NJ. Exactly as forecast, but I'm surprised the dry air didn't just eat up the northern fringe...

Garwood received 4.0" of the white stuff during December...

I think I was reading last night how the suppression will increase the closer to the coast you get?

Pretty, pretty, pretty dry...

This morning it was 32 degrees at 9AM, not exactly cold for this time of year.

What little I do know, our region has warmed faster than other areas, due to the slowing down of the Gulf Stream/Labrador currents circulation. That, combined with the menace of a Pacific Jet, has not left us a favorable snow situation. I understand that warmer air can feed more moisture into a winter storm, and thus producing more snow, but as you have mentioned, there is a tipping point. But I always fall back to a basic concept, the snow triangle (for the NYC metro area). Without a true cold air source, you can't have snow. I'm a pessimist, so my perspective is obscured. Patterns can change, and we might actually get true arctic air spilling down across the pole into eastern Canada. Or some "new" type of pattern could develop, but I tend to buy into the general warming trend unless some time of correction occurs (such as the theory of a rapid melting of the ice caps could cool down the oceans, thus causing a sudden swing back to a colder climate).

The Northern Pacific stream has been a thorn in the greater NYC metro area's winters. It's affect this winter has been minimal. But until we see a nice spillover of cold air straight down across the pole into eastern Canada, winters will be warmer, less snow (in general).

Dunno about epic pattern failure. It's just one of those east to west precip shields with a cold dome to the north. It would be pert near impossible for the snow to move north. It was fun to track it from far out, but now that the models are getting a better grasp, it doesn't look like for us. The best we could hope for is a light covering?

That's a good point. I didn't realize how narrow the band of precipitation is supposed to be. It would require NYC to be in the bullseye or any type of accumulation in this region?

There are some "white things" blowing around here in Linden, NJ, but I can't tell if it is snow or just weed dander from the nearby wetlands?

I think this site is considered social media?

That's fairly common?

I find it amazing that the 540 line is almost always smack dab over NYC...

Thanks, I think the December 26, 2024 anomaly map just about says it all...

Wow, from a forecasted mid 50s to an actual 65 degrees!

and dogs' feet. We have become salt crazy. I understand, litigious society.

-0.0001" ice accretion, so far...

The Pacific Jet is real and probably is the most significant determinant of the weather in our area.