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Dark Star

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Dark Star

  1. Dark Star
  2. Dark Star
    Exactly.
  3. Dark Star
    I'm beating a dead horse, but if we only use the previous 20 years as the current average, shouldn't we only use the same set to base our minimum/maximum record temperatures on?
  4. Dark Star
    Ridge's nose must be exactly over our area?
  5. Dark Star
    Not cold air, but cooler air should have been expected with this setup. Obviously it is not winter.
  6. Dark Star
    I don't think so, but maybe where you live? NWS was pretty good for the past 5 days or so.
  7. Dark Star
    Great forecast by the NWS. They nailed it. I never heard of a closed low forming so close to a Hurricane. As though the energy split off? What happened to conservation of energy?
  8. Dark Star
    Wow, clouds moving in all directions...
  9. Dark Star
    Mosquito bites seem to itch almost immediately, but are gone in a day or two. Gnat bites don't seem to appear for a day or two, are itchier, and last up to a week?
  10. Dark Star
    I don't know. NWS was predicting showers for today. But most of us in this blog bought into blocking winning out.
  11. Dark Star
    Sounds like they are burying their heads in the sand? That leaves one day before the playoffs to make up any postponed games (if needed - which is a high probability).
  12. Dark Star
    What are the odds of getting a baseball game in there tonight? Most people were screaming for a DH to be played, starting around noon.
  13. Dark Star
    NWS discussion seems to be bullish on at least some precipitation. Then, if I am reading correctly, they are forecasting the remnants of Helene to come up the eastern seaboard and go out to sea just south of us, which is not what I thought the NHC was forecasting (unless the cutoff low is not from Helene)? Regardless, consensus here seems to be that the northeast ridge dries up most of the precip and directs Helene up towards the Great Lakes. I'm going to guess we do see a scattered light shower here and there tonight into tomorrow night.
  14. Dark Star
    Good question. I will assume the science will argue otherwise. Of course, when I was banging, there were only 2 models. Now, perhaps, there are too many models? Several have known biases. There are more, and better short term precipitation forecastng tools. It seems some models, which have had good sucess have been reconfigured and have become less accurate? We have ensembles, that are usually the most reliable tool. However, we still see enough short term temperature and precipitation busts that invoke doubt, and forget anything over 4 days. Long range is still unachievable ( or at least no better than using historical comparisons)?
  15. Dark Star
    I'm suspecting most of it dries up before it reaches the greater NYC metro area. Maybe a brief sprinkle?
  16. Dark Star
    Happy, you know, the thing...
  17. Dark Star
    Close call. Although clouds are trying to push in from the east, they seem to be running into drier air. Maybe the forks are/will be somewhat cloudy?
  18. Dark Star
    Satellite is Reminicent of many a winter storm...
  19. Dark Star
    That would make for one tough forecast, based on the tight gradient close to a very dense population area...
  20. Dark Star
    Depends on where the banding sets up...
  21. Dark Star
    Not that I should speak on how to dress, I claim that plaid below the waist (at least for men) is a fashion faux pas...
  22. Dark Star
    That's for sure. Reseeded twice, the first time right before the semi rainy week about a month ago, and basically nothing germinating, watered every day, starter fertilizer, covered with enriched topsoil, nuthin. Did get some nice spurge, even though I used crabgrass preventer as soon as the forsynthias started to bloom, and then about a month after that. I beginning to believe sometimes these products are not quite legit?
  23. Dark Star
    Luckily, we don't get "real" droughts around here. The worst it has gotten is that they issue "Don't water your lawn (except if you contract a landscaper). I mean, how do you enforce that sort of edict? You can't.
  24. Dark Star
    of what?
  25. Dark Star
    So if the US net emissions have been reduced. China is the culprit? Further US reductions would not have much of an effect until China climbs on board?
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