Dark Star

Yesterday's rainbow.

If this were winter, I'd be complaining about a bust and another near miss...

It almost appears that simple, however, I would assume our temps are similar to the Delmarva area 20-30 years ago? Yet I would guess the NYC metro area still averaged higher snower amounts that that area?

Not here. One 6" event. I guess at least we had potential to watch...

Holy Shinto, that's it!!??? Rain changed over to snow at 9:20 AM and I was psyched for once, here comes an over performer.

Could just cut and paste this statement, story of this winter...

Good call. What I don't understand is how the timing on Monday was off by about 18 hours (or was it)?

It has been the federal government's responsibility to store spent nuclear fuel, long term. We know how the federal goverment does things. Still, to this day, the spent waste sits at the site where it was used. I am not anti-nuke, but there is a reason why no new nuclear facilities have been built in the US since the 1980s.

Since 1880 the average global temperature has risen 1.9° Fahrenheit. The majority of the warming has occurred since 1975, at a rate of roughly 0.15 to 0.20°C per decade. I understand the increases are not uniform throughout the globe, but the increases seem to be greater in this area than some? Of course, global warming is supposed to affect the poles at a greater scale.

Where do we store the spent nuclear waste, and how do we get it there? Seems Right To Know would allow transportation of nuclear waste cross country an easy terrorist target?

Ah yes, import more oil from Russia and the middle east...

One of the problems is that the models have a problem picking up the location of development/intensification of the low pressure. Many times, 5-7 days out, models prog storms developing or re-developing along the coast, further south. This gives us snow lovers false hope. Then the models will "cave" as the target date approaches and keeps showing development farther and farther north. This changes a forecast from a decent snow potential, to sleet, then finally, an all rain situation.

Freezing Rain highly unlikely for NYC and immediate surrounding suburbs, at least in any real sense. Brief snow to sleet, then rain by morning. Then again, I've probably been more wrong than right.

Even if USA stopped all greenhouse emissions tomorrow, it wouldn't put a dent in the global warming. China and India are the main contributors...

Capitalism is flawed, but it is the best system there and has helped the most amount of people out of poverty. The alternative is Russia, China, Cuba...

Unfortunately, energy is the backbone of any economy. The greater the price, the worse it is for the poor and middle class. Natural gas is the cleanest burning of all fossil fuels. We need to expolit it until renewable engergy can power the world. Even if the United States had zero emissions tomorrow, it would not put a dent in greenhouse gas emissions.

They rarely do fully mix down.

"Higher math deficiences", priceless. I struggled through 4 semesters of calculus. Took the last course pass/fail. At least I am no longer afraid of math. Sad to see so many people working in retail giving the wrong change, even with computerized registers. Giving them coins to round up to an even dollar really confuses them...

Everyone?

It has been light rain in Linden NJ since 7:30 AM.

Skies brightning a bit in Linden NJ, edge of precip in western Jersey already.

I am tiring about the terms “banding” and “dry air preventing precipitation”, related to snowstorms. For instance, when it comes down to nowcasting time, a lot of members post, “We won’t know where the heaviest snow will fall, it all depends upon where the banding sets up”. Most storms follow a gradient pattern. Meaning that the heaviest snowfall is where the greatest lift of the storm is, normally associated with the center of the low pressure system (though not necessarily the center itself). Most storm have waves of heavier precipitation, normally originating from the center of the storm. These have become known as bands, but are normal functions of a storm. When people post “it depends on where the banding sets up” seems pointless. There are bands moving throughout the entire precipitation area. Some heavier than others. Again, most times the heavier bands are closer to the center of the lift (which is normally related to the center of the low). We watch the models and their output in advance of the storm. We track and formulate where the heaviest precipitation will fall. It has nothing to do with banding! Exceptions to this is when you have a deformation zone that sets up. Usually this is a warm front or other synoptic parameter causing additional lift within a storm. It is there where you can get intense “banding”, other than the normal lift that occurs with the low pressure system itself. Then there are the unusual snowstorms, like one that occurred several years ago. It did not follow a typical gradient pattern, and snowfall amounts were erratic throughout the storm’s path. Then Sam Champion began forecasting the same type of result with the very next snowstorm. There was no merit to his assumption. Instead, the storm followed a typical gradient pattern of snowfall. The heaviest snow depths occurred closer to the center of the storm. There is also a misuse of blaming “dry air” for lack of snowfall in a particular area. While this is true in some situations, like during snow caused by warm air advection (over running). The snow moves into dry air and “dries up”, never reaching the ground. However, the term “dry air” was used in the January 29, 2022 storm. Someone posted that dry air was preventing heavier precipitation amounts from falling in the western suburbs. This storm had a tight gradient. The heavier snowfalls were much closer to the center of lift than other storms. Had the center of the low pressure been 50 miles farther west, the precipitation would have been correspondingly heavier in those western suburbs, and the “dry air” would also be 50 miles further west.

I was surprised to measure 6" (unofficially) in Garwood (central Union County NJ). It didn't look like that much.