Jump to content

Dark Star

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,435

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Dark Star

  1. Dark Star
    4" in central Union County, NJ. at 11:30AM. Snowing moderate to heavy at the moment...
  2. Dark Star
    Thanks for the article and relatively short read. I couldn't help but notice the author kept relating the warming to greenhouse gases, which seems unnecessary to keep repeating, since it is academic that greenhouse gases will increase atmospheric temperatures. It is also somewhat self evident that extreme northern areas that did not receive a lot of snow will have increased frequency and amounts of snowfall. Also, the recent "atmospheric river" which just slammed the west coast with extreme snowfalls is a good example of warm oceanic air causing an increase in snowfall. However, I'm not sure if the original low that reached our area had any added moisture from the pacific atmospheric river. The low weakened, and a new low formed along the Atlantic coast. The author initially mentions many atmospheric circulations, but doesn't seem to tie them in to his conclusion? So in areas like the NYC metro area, where snow is so difficult to come by, is the increase in overall temperature the primary reason for larger snowfalls? Obviously as global temperatures increase, snow around here will become significantly infrequent. I think this would be a great study for someone who is not as lazy or mathematically challenged as I am.
  3. Dark Star
    While this sounds probable, I am not convinced that the warmer climate is the reason for higher snowfall amounts. Snow in the NYC metro area has always been difficult to come by. It seems most systems have always been on the edge of the rain snow line. Cold air is always a necessary ingredient. As temperatures have increased, I find it difficult to believe that the warmer climate is the reason for our bigger snowfalls over the last 20 years. Warmer air holds more moisture, but is the increase in ocean (or air) temperature proportionately related to the higher snow amounts? Is there actual data/studies proving that the warmer climate is leading to increased snowfall in the NYC area, or just supposition? Or maybe it has to do with the track of the systems (perhaps due to a warming climate)?
  4. Dark Star
    17.5" Snow/Sleet Garwood - central Union County NJ. Still snowing/flurrying...
  5. Dark Star
    15" in Garwood (Central Union County). Sleet mixing in, takes over, then goes back to snow.
  6. Dark Star
    12" in Garwood, Central Union County NJ by 11:30AM. Snow almost looked like a little semi melted refrozen flakes mixed in? Anybody see an additional foot for this area? Seems the most intense banding has worked inland.
  7. Dark Star
    7.25" in central Union County NJ at 9:15 AM. Snowfall rates have just increased...
  8. Dark Star
    Snow began in central Union County at 12:30 PM
  9. Dark Star
    I take it the rain and or snow for today and tonight have been cancelled?
  10. Dark Star
    So no more precipitation to the west, at least on radar. Is the precip supposed to back build? That would probably negate western Jersey and eastern PA from any additional accumulations?
  11. Dark Star
    A few short lived flurries here in Garwood, NJ (central Union County).
  12. Dark Star
    I do remember receiving some large snow storms preceded by abnormally warm day(s). Don't asks for any dates or years, my mind is shot.
  13. Dark Star
    Moderate snow just turned to a light drizzle in Central Union County NJ at 10:15 AM.
  14. Dark Star
    Thanks for spelling out the abbreviations!
  15. Dark Star
    While storms don't drop rain or snow uniformly, I am always suspicious of outliers. All towns near Newark reported 7" or less.
  16. Dark Star
    6.0" final total pretty consistent around my house in central Union County NJ. Hit my low mark of my 6"-8" prediction. That was mainly based on the secondary "forming" too far north.
  17. Dark Star
    Heard pinging a few minutes ago in central union county nj, then dry slotted. Maybe around 3"? My forecast was 6-8" based on sleet mixing in and the low reforming much farther north than progged. Unless the back end packs a wallop (they usually don't) then I only wind up with 4-5".
  18. Dark Star
    Only 2.5" here in Garwood (central Union County, NJ)
  19. Dark Star
    Not too bullish, haven't seen significant pressure falls along Hatteras yet. I would say 6-8" in central Union County NJ, unless the coastal low gets going FAST.
  20. Dark Star
    Anybody tracking pressure drops along the Carolina coast? I would think this is key, because if the secondary forms too late, it will be by us before it really starts to crank...
  21. Dark Star
    I vaguely remember that one, at two years old...
  22. Dark Star
    I always say that the forecast should be determined no later than within 24 hours of the onset of precipitation. Otherwise, it really isn't a forecast. As Jeff Beradelli has taught me, the devil is in the details. In other words, the pieces of the puzzle are there in the forecasting tools, it's up to the forecaster to know which ones to use and which ones to discard.
  23. Dark Star
    I pulled mine out, but didn't use it. Story of my life...
  24. Dark Star
    Unfortunately the NWS eliminated the clear the board every 6 hours. If it stops accumulating and then melts, does that mean we measured nothing? I understand with a continuous heavy snowfall, not clearing the board measures the actual snow depth, compression and all. I'm okay with that. Otherwise you can "measure" 35" of what actually fell, and only have 26" on the ground (for example).
  25. Dark Star
    Melted snowflake thought to be detected in Linden around 12:45 PM. A little mixed precip looking to occur at 2PM.
×
×
  • Create New...