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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. MANDA
    Just got my gas bill for last 30 days. Highest I have ever had while living here (since May 2016) by better than $100. Combination of energy costs and persistent cold. Can't even imagine what it would be like if we had some 70's and 80's era type cold. We're not reckless with the thermostat either.
  2. MANDA
    At least all 3 of them show the trof axis finally west of us and not over or east of us. Obviously don't want it too far west but better than the positioning we have gone through and are going through. Will open the door to the possibility of more freezing or frozen events at least to start. Final outcomes dependent on individual storm track / details.
  3. MANDA
    Keeps the hope alive for some meaningful snow. Could just be more cold, dry suppression up here in the Northeast but without the cold we wouldn't have much hope so I will take it. These nickle and dine coating to 1" event don't cut it for me.
  4. MANDA
    Sort of like when I make dinner.
  5. MANDA
    You would think so. Until I see some decent model agreement inside of 4-5 days I tend to downplay. At 10 days out without at least 2-3 days of consistency it is just noise to me. Just something of passing interest.
  6. MANDA
    It will trend north. Buckle up.
  7. MANDA
  8. MANDA
    2024 highlights for NJ: https://www.njweather.org/content/onjscs-top-10-nj-weather-and-climate-events-2024
  9. MANDA
    Had .30" snow here with the event yesterday. Temperature is currently 28 with bright sun. Nearly all the snow is gone. Trace to slightly more remains in shaded locations only. More road salt remains than snow. Respectable cold pattern but nothing more in my opinion.
  10. MANDA
    It was fixed. It was a typo. Changed to 12.5".
  11. MANDA
    Seems a tad sparse over SNJ considering what fell yesterday but maybe not yet included.
  12. MANDA
    Love a good visible satellite loop after a snowfall. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_MESO1/loop60.html
  13. MANDA
    I think better to say we can't capitalize on a cold pattern. If it were a really good pattern we would be doing better than we are. Just my 2 cents.
  14. MANDA
    Love that you are now a fan of analogs. Never found of them of much use and especially not now in this current climate cycle.
  15. MANDA
    Overnight low of 14 with a howling wind. Lost power briefly. It is cold out there. Finished with .30" snow yesterday with a melted total of .02". As expected for this area.
  16. MANDA
    Overnight low of 14 with a howling wind. Lost power briefly. It is cold out there. Finished with .30" snow yesterday with a melted total of .02".
  17. MANDA
    I guess to each his own but some are thinking northern stream issues and some are thinking southern stream issues. I am in the southern stream camp. Too much hangs back and it makes any phase much less likely. No phase and we're essentially out of business. We'll see how this plays out. I would never ever bet the farm with only the GFS solidly in my camp so I really need some better agreement from either the CMC or the EURO, don't really care which at this point. All comes down to timing a reasonably coherent phase.
  18. MANDA
    From Christmas Eve into Christmas day it was locked and loaded.
  19. MANDA
    Point taken. I was just going by the official record. Yes, those pictures don't jive with the official record. On the other hand the drifting was historic. One side of the street was swept essentially clean and the other side was buried. Hard to tell in that picture what was from drifts with then removed snow piled on. I have a nice book of 1888 somewhere by Judd Caplovich but have not picked it up in decades.
  20. MANDA
    1888 in the city had totals MUCH lower than Jan 1996. I was only referencing 1993 vs. 1888 to compare March storms. A track to the east would have easily doubled what NYC got in 1March 1993 with winds gusting to hurricane force. Would have been an epic blizzard.
  21. MANDA
    Have often thought that. A track 75 miles or so to the east of where it went would have rivaled the Blizzard of 1888 in NYC. Those tremendous totals in update NY would have been much closer to the city if things were displaced a rather short distance to the east. Never lost the cold at the surface over in Morris County just the mid levels as it was.
  22. MANDA
    Finished with .30" here.
  23. MANDA
    Maybe better pictures.
  24. MANDA
    Link to Extended discussion from WPC. While their extended progs lean away from GFS solution they have left the door open for changes. I'm not favoring the GFS solution at the moment but IF the EURO is hanging too much energy back over the SW (as it sometimes does) then a better outcome is possible. I wouldn't be slamming the door on this just yet. It is 5 days away with a complex evolution. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/pmdepd.html
  25. MANDA
    At one point. Maybe the Thursday or Friday before event started one of the models (UKMET) I think had a 954 low over central New England. Managed to save the 36 and 48 hour panels off the NGM and they hang on my wall. Those 36 and 48 hour positions were about 50-75 miles further west than reality on the NGM. Hard to read as the glass of the frame didn't allow the best picture.
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