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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. MANDA
    Looks like snow is falling in the lights but melting on the pavement.
  2. MANDA
    Bustling and wet in Times Square. https://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/timessquare/?cam=tsrobo1
  3. MANDA
    Per friend in Pittstown, Hunterdon County the sleet has gone back to snow.
  4. MANDA
    Just measured. 2.5” and 27.6 degrees.
  5. MANDA
    Pittstown, NJ now pure sleet (light) per friend. Mix line has made little to no progress over the last hour. Suspect still snow north of Pittstown over Central and Northern Hunterdon.
  6. MANDA
    Per friend in Pittstown, NJ Hunterdon County. Snow/sleet mix as of 15 min ago. 1" on the ground. Currently light to occasional moderate snow here. 27.7 degrees. It looks just shy of an inch. Will measure at 6pm.
  7. MANDA
    28 degrees. Light to sometimes moderate snow. Not quite 1/2” yet.
  8. MANDA
    Going to come right out and say it....CP is not getting an inch.
  9. MANDA
    Model support growing for major Arctic dump of cold air into the western 1/3 of the U.S. and then oozing east. Tremendous surface high pressure (1050-1055 mb) forecast to build over northern and western Canada to aid and abet the Arctic plunge. Temperature departures could reach 50-60 below normal over parts of MT/WY. Worth watching as it looks like a dynamic pattern is setting up. We'll see if any southern branch s/w can phase with northern branch s/w to really make things interesting. Southern branch looks to stay active and juiced so MAYBE things will work out for something really noteworthy next 10-14 days.
  10. MANDA
    Latest WPC 7 day QPF. Pockets of 5" locally.
  11. MANDA
    Bright banding (sleet / big wet flakes) showing up on radar southwest and west of PHL.
  12. MANDA
    S-- here. Coating the deck.
  13. MANDA
    Don't think you are getting 12" but send pictures anyway
  14. MANDA
    Looks good to me. Have been expecting pretty much this all week....including going over to a mix for a time at my location. We'll know for sure in 24 hours.
  15. MANDA
    Which thread are we using for obs? This one or the one just created?
  16. MANDA
    Holding with my 4-6" forecast for my location and still believe will go to mix and perhaps just plain rain at 33/34 degrees overnight / early morning. I am thinking 4" will be closer to actual than the 6" but staying with that range.
  17. MANDA
    Heading westbound on 80 I've seen some very sharp increases in snow depth and deteriorating road conditions once to exit 35 as you start to gain elevation. Works in reverse if you are heading eastbound.
  18. MANDA
    This looks pretty good to me. I'm going with 4-6 here. Snow to a mix back to some modest snow before ending Sunday. The 2" on L.I. north shore looks a bit much and I'd go with .50 - 1" CP if they measure timely and properly.
  19. MANDA
    Toot your horn as you pass exit 30 on I-80. Former southern Morris County resident now west central and up at about 1000'. It makes a difference in snow totals in certain situations...tomorrow being one of them.
  20. MANDA
    I don't think that map is going to be far from reality. A tad higher interior NNJ and a little lower NYC/Western L.I. I suspect.
  21. MANDA
    Yes, likely overdone BUT I do think this upcoming event it going to exceed expectations when compared to some of the over zealous model forecasts over the last few months....especially inland. Would not be surprised to see 40-50 mph gusts over interior NNJ. Gusts of 40 mph+ from the southeast, sodden ground, additional heavy rains are going to cause widespread tree / power issues.
  22. MANDA
    2-4" in CP is not happening. I'm very skeptical as well.
  23. MANDA
    If CP sees 1" call it a win.
  24. MANDA
    Currently -30 to -40 over Northern Canada. Get the right pattern for a quick and direct discharge and it will come rushing south. Animate the 00Z Euro tropopause parameter.
  25. MANDA
    I"m going with 4-6" for my location and I think I at least mix for a time before going back to snow. I've got some elevation to work with here and that is going to help. Morristown to my southeast at lower elevation I think is 2-4" with a flip to mix or even plain rain for a time.
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