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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. MANDA
    3.82" here as of 8am. Winds nothing notable. Maybe some gusts to 20 mph. earlier this morning. Ground is saturated.
  2. MANDA
    3.82" here as of 8am. Winds nothing notable. Maybe a few gusts to 20 mph earlier this morning. The ground is saturated.
  3. MANDA
    Getting off and on torrential downpours here. Would do a July or August day proud for intensity / rainfall rates. The bursts of rain have been brief but just shows you the atmosphere is primed for heavy downpours. Someone in NJ west of I-95 sees 6" in my opinion.
  4. MANDA
    Will be bad news if verifies. Saturated ground and SE winds of that intensity = not good. Tree and power line damage likely. Again, if it verifies. Models have been overzealous with wind forecasts with several events in the recent past.
  5. MANDA
    500 MB HTS in the low 560's is something most of us don't want on Christmas morning. The 546 at KINL not much better!
  6. MANDA
    Not getting any U.S. cold shots between Christmas and New Year's if that is correct! It is a 360 hour prog but the trend is your friend in this pattern. **IF** this come close to reality it will take a while to scour out that Canadian warmth so the first 7-10 days of January **COULD** be shot.
  7. MANDA
    2.46" rainfall here. Snowfall .30". Everything was plastered and caked in a wet snow. Only concrete and blacktop remained wet. To Walt's point elevation played big role. Drove down off the top of the ridge I live on (1060') and once to Rt. 80 exit 30, just a mile away very little snow and mainly wet. Bit of elevation near Rockaway on 80 and ground was whitened go down 100' or so and all gone.
  8. MANDA
    Wind was non event here. Barely a light breeze at times over the last 24 hours. Rainfall just glancing at the gauge (will take measurement at 8am) looks like 2 to 2.5". Temperature down to 32 even with light to some moderate snow. Grass and deck coated already with at least 90 min worth of light to some moderate snowfall to come. COULD see 1" on coldest surfaces?
  9. MANDA
    Based on latest radar trends this is not going to produce anything more than 1" for NW NJ. Best rains aimed up along and especially east of I95. Long Island looks to do best with heaviest totals as models have been generally suggesting.
  10. MANDA
    After looking at all the overnight data I think it is safe to say we have started to I am not at all surprised. The signal has been there for a lackluster December. Raging Pacific Jet just ain't gonna cut it for cold and decent snow in the east. Pattern needs to relax and reshuffle and that is not likely to happen before the end of the month. December = shot.
  11. MANDA
    Two periods of light snow here so far this morning. Colder surfaces with a light coating. Temperature 29. I'll take what I can get! Festive mood flakes!
  12. MANDA
    I believe the Ohio Valley Blizzard of January 1978 was also a triple phaser, not 100% sure though. That storm EXPLODED moving almost due north from southern Alabama to just west of Cleveland. Where I was in NENJ at the time we had temperatures into the low 60's and wind gusts to about 60 mph followed by plummeting temperatures and a flash freeze. A blizzard paralyzed the parts of the Ohio Valley. Just a few weeks later we had our turn with the Blizzard of 78 over our area.
  13. MANDA
    Have a set of old DIFAX maps framed on my office wall. Event was well signaled 5 days in advance. All three streams phased from the high Arctic down to the gulf coast. If track was 100 miles further east most of this forum would have seen a snow event rivaling the Blizzard of '88.
  14. MANDA
    and phasing with the STJ if you want something to remember. The STJ will be present for sure but without some stream interaction we could be on the the northern edge of things. Not to mention (as you did) the cold air supply.
  15. MANDA
    I remember it turning quite cool for a day or so right after Hurricane Belle went by in early August. Except for the sun angle it felt like mid September.
  16. MANDA
    That kind of cold is incomprehensible these days. That 76-77 and 77-78 was amazing stuff. Pattern in 76-77 quickly collapsed in early February 77 from what I remember. I seem to remember walking home from school mid to late February and breaking a sweat. Good old days for sure. Not much snow 76-77, only one decent event but snow cover for a very long period of time as nothing melted from December through early February.
  17. MANDA
    Low of 18 with a breeze. Legit "hoodie weather".
  18. MANDA
    Moderate snow shower earlier (bordering on very briefly heavy) left the deck completely covered. Also whitened dirt and mulch beds with trace amounts scattered on the lawn. Some blowing around with a gusty wind.
  19. MANDA
    Not even much of a risk to say 5X as much as last year.
  20. MANDA
    I'll go out on a limb and say CP will see twice the amount of snow it saw last season.
  21. MANDA
    Per friend in Trenton moderate snow showers ongoing. Radar supports this. Dirt is white and starting to stick on the grass.
  22. MANDA
    1.46" rain for the recent event.
  23. MANDA
    Keep expectations in check and just know it has to be better than last year ! I am not expecting much from December based on current trends and guidance.
  24. MANDA
    No notable wind here but a solid soaking. Will measure shortly but eyeballing the gauge from a distance I'd say about 1.5". To be confirmed shortly.
  25. MANDA
    Like I said yesterday....gonna be an interesting winter to forecast. Guidance has been flip floppy for months on most major precip events around here. Sometimes even within 24 hours and that includes the EURO.
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