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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. Agree. I was surprised when I saw AI in their discussions earlier this year. I'd keep it "in house" for a few years to establish some kind of track record. So new and unproven. They mention Google but nothing about any of the other AI guidance available. I find that kind of odd as well.
  2. Essentially a "head on" hit. Strong winds and pushing a lot of water out in front of it.
  3. Picked up .27" last 24 hours. Three day event total = .63". Disappointing but at least no runoff and it all soaked in. Overall the dry pattern continues. Some places drier than others but the overall pattern has been dry. Unless there is a surprise it does not look like the tropics will deliver anything over the next week up this way.
  4. .28" here so far. Fog and drizzle currently. Visibility 1/4 to 1/2 mile here on top of the hill.
  5. WPC usually on the conservative side so if you are looking / hoping for meaningful rain you gotta like the look of this. As Walt said still a ways off and details not solid but nice starting point.
  6. Had additional showers last evening that helped get the total up to .19". I'll take it as another 7 day stretch of dry weather is ahead.
  7. Pathetic looking and not going anywhere fast as far as intensification that's for sure. Never should have been upgraded to TS status yesterday. Leaving it as a depression might have even been generous. What a season thus far.
  8. Didn't go out to check the gauge but can't be more than .10". Had a brief heavy downpour and then a period of light rain for about 30 min. Will confirm total in the morning.
  9. Lucky you! Radar says it is heading (NW) my way. Hopefully it can hold together and I can get at least .25". Radar says I have a shot.
  10. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-15107125/Hurricane-Gabrielle-US-coast-tropical-depression.html The changed the headline to "Barrels towards the east coast" What a two bit rag sheet.
  11. You realize the population of Bermuda is WELL below 100K never mind MILLIONS. The article is pure clickbait.
  12. TPC would never pull that plug that quickly.
  13. 100%. Friend sent it to me from Daily Mail. Daily Mail but still !
  14. They could have left it a depression at 11:00. That would have been the better choice. Thing is a sloppy mess.
  15. Not according to this ridiculous headline. What garbage.
  16. It is a good thing that event earlier in the month over performed. Think of where we would be without that for this month!
  17. That looks reasonable for up in my area. I'm thinking along the lines of .10 - .20" at most up this way.
  18. That 72 degree water temp at Duck is none too impressive.
  19. Seems like some decent southerly shear going on. Naked swirl with bursts of convection off to the north. I don't think TPC is going to do anything with this.
  20. I think the cool pool has been in place / developing since Spring? Somebody I'm sure can confirm that.
  21. Also have to believe that is keeping the humidity in check when the wind is off the water as opposed to having a warm pool there as we've had over the last several years. Also have to believe that maybe the cool pool is keeping heavy rainfall events in check when conditions favor such events.
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