I've been thinking of that one quite a bit also. Difference, from observational standpoint, is it was preceded by a warm (+6.7) month of December. No cold to the ground at all. This week has been warm, but in our area, ground is still quite cold. Waters still frozen or freshly thawed, (i.e. cold). That 2022 storm didn't have any of that advantage, but still clobbered us here in AACo. Power out, roads closed, trees down.
I think that it won't take much cold air to turn this in to an impactful storm. Just a bit colder than modeled, and we're back in winter.