I think we'll see some snow at the start but that storm has cutter written all over it. We'll see what happens though. The 12z GFS got more interesting for this weekend, so we'll see if the other models start getting stronger as well of if it was a fluke GFS run.
I cant help but wonder if these winter weenies paid attention to weather year round that they would understand the models better, like their biases, which one to use when, etc.
I'm with you on that, the 12z GFS flips the bird to folks wanting snow around here. The Canadian looks a bit different than the GFS. One run with lots to go but clearly nothing should be locked up in either direction six days out.
Happy New Year ladies and gentlemen. Can't speak for all but 2023 had some good times and more crappy times, here's to a better 2024 on many levels for all! 34/32 under mostly cloudy skies...yet again.
Agreed. People are so focused on the lack of snow I think many are missing the flood potential that Walt also mentioned in the thread title. With each storm the Wallkill drops just a bit less than before. It may not seem like a big deal but that combined with the saturated soil that still has plenty of fresh ponds/puddles that last longer and longer...not a good combo. I was kinda surprised at the amount of standing water still out there around town this morning.
Violently agree. Whether or not a seasonal forecast was issued it doesn’t change the accuracy in what they do. One could argue again this shows how people overate seasonal forecasts with all due respect to those who take a stab at them.