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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. stormy
    3k NAM is about 5 degrees colder
  2. stormy
    The 12z NAM has warmed. Went from 35 - 37 at 10am Tuesday up to 44 by 1 pm.
  3. stormy
    Its never over for significant snow until at least March 15, especially this year.
  4. stormy
    Short Pump
  5. stormy
    Its already 2 - 1
  6. stormy
    Foolishness will have to be taken up with the scientists who conducted this study because they are saying that an abrupt interruption of natural cycles very similar to the Younger Dryas may be coming soon. It could have devastating impact around the world. When you say that the level of impact that humans can have on the climate is limited, I believe You and I could be friends. Enjoy the Super Bowl.
  7. stormy
    I will be brief with an answer before deferring to the C.C. Thread. You obviously misunderstand the premise. This study suggests that the Glacial-interglacial cycles are not germane anymore because of our CO2 transgressions. The climate gurus at the U.N. said 5 years ago that it would be more than 300 years before the AMOC shuts down. Now, many scientists are saying with the AMOC at its weakest in 1,600 years, it could shut down completely between 2025 and 2095.
  8. stormy
    The ens. control is a little more bullish than the op. for PD.
  9. stormy
    GEFS a little more generous with rain thru Tuesday than op.. 1.40 vs. 1.00" JB will enjoy his 8 inches of snow.
  10. stormy
    12z op. Euro is a PD hit for the Central Valley with 6 - 7 inches of snow. 90% probability it will be gone at 00z, but nice to see.
  11. stormy
    GEFS is suppression city with PD, Weeklies give some possibility of northward translation. Both GEFS and Weeklies give a reasonable threat for 23 & 24.
  12. stormy
    It will all sort out and settle down by about March 20.
  13. stormy
    It's a mixed bag beyond the range of the ECM and GEM. The 06Z GFS is a huge winner giving me 19 inches!!!!!!!
  14. stormy
    I hear ya! The 240 big 3 were close in the NW Gulf at 12z and the extended GFS op produced with support from the GEFS. The 18 GFS has went to crap in the OV. The Weeklies still look good Feb 21 - Mar. 20 and the potentially suppressive block has diminished.
  15. stormy
    You could be in the dough with that bet.
  16. stormy
    Yea man! I have even seen radar fail because the scan is about 12,000 ft. over Augusta. Radar has indicated snow for hours that all evaporated before reaching the surface. That virga can be a beast out here!
  17. stormy
    I'll take this at 270. 3 consecutive runs. At 240 the GFS, ECM and GEM all have the goods brewing in the NW Gulf and S. Texas. It's a SLAM DUNK with all 3 on board at 240. Rather unusual.
  18. stormy
    15.7 degrees this morning. Thats 10 degrees colder than normal!! Regarding the lack of snow at Blackwater Falls, I remember visiting the summit of Spruce Knob at 4862 ft. during the winter back during the early 70's. It was 8 below zero at the summit at mid afternoon. There was not a trace of snow anywhere!! That was 50 years ago. It sometimes happens that way.
  19. stormy
    The big difference between now and 50 years ago is that 50 years we didn't have a clue to what your saying. Nobody did. We only knew that sometimes in winter it snowed and sometimes a lot. Other times, folks generally said, hey! we're lucky to have an easy winter this year.
  20. stormy
    18z GFS pulls much more cold air upstairs at 850mb into the system on Monday. Makes a big difference.
  21. stormy
    Weaken that HP a little
  22. stormy
    925 is marginal upfront, 850 will work for most.
  23. stormy
    Look again on the 18z GFS
  24. stormy
    13/14 comes to life on 18z GFS
  25. stormy
    The CPC believes we will be close to -.75 C. come October.
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