stormy

Thanks for this wealth of information! The 50's and 60's gave me a cautious attitude about PDO influence because most of the 50's averaged -1 to -3 (snow drought) then + 1 to +1.7 from late 57 - 62 snowy , then negative again -1 to -2 for the rest of the 60's which also produced some cold snowy winters. I am beginning a study of AO/NAO influence on MA winters and will have more comments as my study bears fruit over time. An early on empirical snapshot tells me that the AO is usually a more reliable factor than the NAO.

The current "deeply negative" PDO began in 2020. That is only 4 years ago. Prior to that it was moderate/strongly positive. During nearly all of this time we have been well below normal snowfall whether or not it was cold enough to snow. A lot of this has been dependent on timing and track of precipitation bearing systems.

Regardless of your theory, I'm not convinced a positive PDO will be the magical elixir for snowfall because the 50's and 60's both witnessed a mostly negative PDO with a brief positive from about 1958 - 1962. Under mostly negative conditions as we have witnessed since 2020, the 50's witnessed below normal snowfall and the 60's witnessed above normal snowfall. I don't find any significant impact because of the PDO phase.

You seem to be confident that a PDO flip will make a difference. I'm not convinced. During the past 100 years, other factors have resulted in snow droughts for 10 years or more. Please give me examples of how a positive PDO enhanced snowfall.

Nice today. March 23 - April 10 will be nasty with snow at times in western elevation areas.

I could believe that if the heavy snow swath was 125 miles west of depiction.

I said that 2 weeks ago.

I lost power for 4.5 hrs. yesterday afternoon when a large oak tree fell across power lines in 45-50 mph winds.

I love this triviality on a drizzly Saturday afternoon! Better luck next time. There is no high to the west or NW. Nagshead is 75.62 longitude. D.C. is 77.03. Ogdensburg is 75.48 longitude.

I think Ji would be happier with a 976 over Nagshead and a 1036 over Ogdensburg. Me? I can be happy with either as long as we have rain or snow on the 19th, after all, my region has had a dry February and early March. We have been dry slotted again today.

.15" yesterday. As usual, I-95 to the coast won the sweepstakes. Deltaville reports 2.09"

Absolutely not! I have confidence that the screening is adequate to eliminate counterfeit red taggers. Supposed was a poor choice of words. I am very surprised that someone with his obvious knowledge would seriously suggest on March 4 that "its over" except 3000' +. We are at least a month away from making that statement, even at 2000'.

I am very surprised that a supposed professional would say its over on March 4.

A few hours ago, Chris78 gave me good advice...... Thank you Chris!

Go for it Will!!!!!!!!!!

I pray that your wrong but I have concerns.

This would be nice but spoil dining plans:

.38" last 24 hrs.. The Central Valley has been dry for the past month. The cutoff has been the Blue Ridge. Charlottesville received 1.00" past 24.

I'm looking forward to a warmer day after today's chill at 43 with a 10 - 15 mph southeast breeze. 7 degrees colder than normal. March 1 1962 was 71 degrees............................................. 5 days later, Staunton received 30 inches of SNOW..........................

My week ago prediction was colder and wet from March 15 - April 15. This fits in. Regarding early April snowfall? April 7, 1971, 8 inches in downtown Waynesboro with 17 inches at 1800 ft. on Afton Mt...

18 degrees this morning. That's 10 degrees colder than normal. Snow is falling at Snowshoe at 3:15.

GFS loses interest as the source of cold air erodes to the east instead of southwest :

Chris 78 posted a possibility earlier today that I agreed with and posted about. Guess What?? The 18z GFS is more bullish!....................................................................

That 1040 over Michigan would be ok with a 977 over Norfolk

I agree, If this verifies as presented, reposition that 1029 HP sw to Ontario as 1036 and things could work out.