stormy

Happy Snowfall to all the DC Snowgeese!!!. I had 1/4 inch in a squall yesterday evening. Today is very unusual for 11/22 and is a perfect illustration that under the right atmospherics in 1965, 1985, 2005 or 2025............................. It is going to snow on the D.C. region on Nov . 22. This is not supposed to be possible on Nov. 22! ............................ Keep hoping for the right atmospherics which will always deliver for you............................

That digging bundle of energy over Indiana/Illinois will enhance snowfall for upslope regions on Friday.

You will generally witness a 4 degree drop per 1000 ft. elevation. My snowfall observation through the past 40 years says 3 inches per 1000 ft.. I have a lot of experience comparing 1800 ft. to 2800 ft .

According to the GFS/ECMWF, your backyard at 2500 ft. will probably get a foot. At Snowshoe, the elevation will likely create whiteout conditions with wind, fog and blinding snow.

My heart goes out to you!! We had serious drought in Augusta earlier but recent rains have helped.

26 this 7 am. GFS , 11.3 inches of snow in Staunton on 12/3....... Really??

Nice weather thru Monday.......................... The rest of the week should be wild with a combination of heavy mountain snow showers, lowland showers and windy conditions.

As I posted a few weeks ago. All weak Nina's have produced below normal snow for my area back to 1950 except 1964 - 65 which was .50" above normal with 24.50".

Up to .51" rain since 9:30 at 2:15.

The CPC drops from 71% in September to 57% now regarding a La Nina dominated winter.

.36" rain since 9:30.

After a very cold low of 21.8 this morning....................... A high of 48....................................... Close to an inch of rain in the offing thru Friday. Maybe 2 inches of snow in northern Highland above 3500 ft.

Really! My Goodness............................

Snow in Highland County Thursday night? The NAM says yes.

18z NAM increases my qp from .67 to .84" Thursday night. D.C. drops from .67 to .56" Up to an inch of snow 30 miles to my west in Highland.

Wow!! What a difference a day makes for qp potential from noon Thursday - 9 am Friday. My 3 model blend has increased from .26" at 2 pm yesterday to .95" 2 pm today. ECM 1.24", GEM 1.07", GFS .53"................. I'll take it after .10" in the past 40 days.

Its close to a hurricane on the 19th then snow for western areas by the 21st!!!!!!!!!

Jan 3, 2022- 8 inches of snow and drifting. Jan 7, 2022 - 3 inches snow. Jan. 17, 2022 - 8.5 inches snow. Jan. 28 - 1.3" snow Feb. 13 - 2.0" snow March 12 - 3.0" snow 21-22 gave me above normal snowfall !! How about this, guys?

Widespread??? No real doubt, Saturday thru Monday............. More than any time during the past 30 days!!! The question is: Will it be .10" or 1.00"?????

Thanks George!

Future Hurricane Patty is born: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT3+shtml/032054.shtml?

29 frosty degrees at 7 am.

If we want snow, we had better "make up for the lack of precip. on the back end". It takes moisture for snow.

I agree, but just imagine 1919 when it was 88!!!!! My high yesterday was 78 and 80 today.....................

Thanks Bob! I always enjoy reading your take on things. My memories of lots of snow and lots of cold always take me back to the 60's in the Valley. We frequently had skating ice on ponds and rivers in those days and usually plenty of snow for sleigh-riding down slopes and across frozen ponds with 6 - 8 inches of ice. But, we have had some good years since the 60's like 77-78 with 55" of snow. 79-80 with 49", 86-87 53", 09 - 10 with 63" and who could forget 95 - 96 with 63 inches of snow. Even 13 - 14 with 41 inches would be nice again. It will happen again and probably when we least expect it long- range.