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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. The ICON and NAM have both shifted significantly north at 18z
  2. Will DC become a snow-town Friday night?? This chart reveals very interesting data through Tuesday Caribou, Maine has only received 75% of normal snowfall this 23/24 winter while DC has received 85% of normal. What does this say? Lack of snowfall is more than simply a lack of cold air. Other factors are involved. By the way DC only has about an inch and a half to go over climo to date Friday night!!!
  3. Anything coming from the Texas, Panhandle always has potential.
  4. The 3 model Blend for DC has ticked up from 1.9 to 2.6 inches since 8 am. The same Blend has ticked down west of the BR from 3.1 - 2.9".
  5. My latest 3 model blend for DC is 1.9 inches, Kuchera, GFS ECM GEM. West of the BR, Staunton to New Market is 3.1".
  6. Statistics are always fascinating to me. The very interesting thing here is that Caribou,Maine has only received 75% of normal snowfall while DCA has received 85%!!! There is much more at issue here than simply being too warm. Thanks for posting this very revealing information!!
  7. Psu, you are a smart man. Regarding, "what is happening recently". Tell me, what is your solution to "what is happening"........................ What should we do????? I am very serious...........
  8. The 18z NAM has an ESE trajectory from N Kentucky with cold air filtering in from the NW. This could work for a 1-3 swat. 850 looks fine.
  9. The Valley dry slot filled in from 00 - 01 and shifted east to Charlottesville.
  10. It is a trend. If you see qp amounts drop run after run on the HRRR that is not good. A 1 run fluke is no big deal but run after run is a big deal most of the time.
  11. The NAM drops Winchester from 4.5 - 1.3. The HRRR dry slot I pointed out a little while ago is all over the NAM. Qp drops 50% 20 mi south of D.C.
  12. The 00z HRRR is now dry slotting the Valley up to New Market. QP has dropped 1.00" in 4 hrs..
  13. My forecast: DC 1-2", Baltimore 3", Winchester 2", Hogback at 3,500' 6"........................
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