I smelled a rat 24 hours ago when I said the GEM was beginning to focus on what the EURO was only sniffing at.
Now, the GFS, GEM aand ECM all sense potential significant flaws with the idea of a major winter storm. Thermals are a problem and this system seems to be losing the ability to really crank! The GFS has cut the qp in half for my area and dropped the snow from 14 to 5" in one run. The ECM drops from 12 to 8 ", but the GEM increases from 2 - 8".
This can still be a beast if the coastal bombs over Va. Beach and additional cold air is wrapped in from the north.
I believe the models will hone in on a solution by Thursday afternoon.