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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. I believe the 12z GFS is a step in the right direction. To be simple, more flakes over us. Dear God! No need to be so negative, this is 6 days away. Sure, at 06z next Tuesday I would rather place that developing lp over Myrtle Beach instead of 275 m se of NYC. Give it time and hope for the best.
  2. I'm happy to learn that we "got almost nothing" from a professional meteorologist 47 years ago back in Feb of 1977 when we should have "gotton buried up to the second floor of our houses". Some on this board seem to believe that severe snow droughts have only occurred in recent years. 76-77 was very cold with the up-slope mts. to our west getting buried while we often came up frigid and DRY.
  3. The models predicted minimal winds west of the BR on Monday.
  4. The US Geological Survey at 3:15 pm gives the following data for the D.C. Little Falls Pump Station on the Potomac. Gage height 3.90 Ft. 24 hrs. ago gage height 3.55' . Up about 5 inches. Downstream from DC runoff I would guesstimate a 1 ft. increase. But strong s and se winds are producing a backswell rise from the bay. High tide at Alexandria is coming at 6 pm. This exacerbates the problem.
  5. My lifelong fascination with the weather and 60 years of observations tell me that Jan. 15 - Mar. 15 will produce. This winter is removed from recent crap. Just please be patient and give it a chance.
  6. GFS just can't jel with the front on Monday. Tomorrow will be better.
  7. At 5.9 % I can enjoy with a little buzz. 11.7% would put me on a psychedelic spin.
  8. I am sipping on a Natural Ice right now. Whats your pleasure?
  9. Next Wed Morning at +6 will be a little more in tune.
  10. A WWA has been issued for western areas: https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VAZ025&warncounty=VAC015&firewxzone=VAZ025&local_place1=3 Miles WNW Dooms VA&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=38.1291&lon=-78.9004
  11. 12z 1-16, Euro gives the Central Valley .50" of new ice with a surface temp. of 24 degrees. Welcome to the skating rink!! 850 temps have dropped from +4 to - 9 in 6 hrs! Temps. fall all day to 12 by 7 pm.
  12. Oragraphic lift will create some very heavy downpours on the eastern slopes of the Blue Ridge. Would expect some 4 - 6 inch totals.
  13. The signal is clearly there on the GEFS. The op ECM is there, the GFS and GEM ops. are sniffing.
  14. No snow here today but about about .80 freezing rain. The rain makes me happy!
  15. That sounds like home style cookin!! Gets me up for a steak in about an hour.
  16. The same can be said of the GFS, Euro, GEM. None of the models predicted how much we would warm overnight upstairs after the HP moved offshore. Especially western areas. This threw everybody and everything including the NWS for a loop.
  17. Hello out west! I'm well aware of what you say. The HRRR brings the 850 freezing line to the west city limits of Staunton at 11 am, backs it up to Todd Lake at noon then Reddish Knob at 1 pm. Good luck! I'm reporting obs. 33.1 degrees w/ Lt.rain
  18. The Euro is out to lunch. 00z gave me 4.4 inches, the 06z gives me 2.5". 7:32 and I have 32.7 with light rain.
  19. 33 and dropping like a rock in Augusta County.
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