stormy

I agree, but just imagine 1919 when it was 88!!!!! My high yesterday was 78 and 80 today.....................

Thanks Bob! I always enjoy reading your take on things. My memories of lots of snow and lots of cold always take me back to the 60's in the Valley. We frequently had skating ice on ponds and rivers in those days and usually plenty of snow for sleigh-riding down slopes and across frozen ponds with 6 - 8 inches of ice. But, we have had some good years since the 60's like 77-78 with 55" of snow. 79-80 with 49", 86-87 53", 09 - 10 with 63" and who could forget 95 - 96 with 63 inches of snow. Even 13 - 14 with 41 inches would be nice again. It will happen again and probably when we least expect it long- range.

You are exactly right!! That can make a huge difference. I have received 6 - 8 inches of snow when Charlottesville nearly a thousand feet lower received only rain. This has happened several times in memory. April 7 & 8 of 1971 Afton Mt. 7 miles to my southeast at 1850 ft. received 17 inches of snow. My backyard at 1350 ft. received 8 inches of snow and Charlottesville at 400 ft. received mostly rain.

You are almost certainly joking. How many readers research to verify validity of a thread before they reply???? Your argument is insane!

You are such a partisan fool, it is hilarious. What is the title of this thread?? "Anyone Know Why Jason Left Capital Weather Gang".......................

With the uproar at the madhouse called Wa. Po. during the past week, common sense is compelling evidence. Probably at least 75%. But I am man enough to not insist that I am always right. When I'm wrong I am man enough to apologize. Common sense serves very well for those who have it. Those who don't have it often make an ass of themselves when confronted with common sense. Jason and I were good friends 15 years ago when my handle on his sight before Wa. Po. was Augusta Jim. He viewed my departure as a loss when I departed to launch my newsletter. If he told me today that he departed because of Jeff Bezos, I would absolutely tell him that I think he used poor judgement. He would accept my opinion because he is a reasonable man. He doesn't have to go around trying to prove himself to the world with boisterous nonsense.

Here's the deal: If Jason has left. Jeff Besos the owner of Wa.Po. decided to not endorse for president because of Media disaster on endorsements. The endorsement Nonsense encouraged Bezos to not endorse. I fully endorse his decision. Jason Samenow who I was a onetime friend with probably left with many others because of Bezo's who was only acting with sanity. I am disappointed with Jason for this partisan decision. If I am wrong, I apologize.

Yes, this could happen. A good example for my area is November - March of 21-22 which averaged -1.0 La Nina. I received 28.50 inches of snow compared to an average annual 24.00 inches.

Its the most wonderful time of the year!!! A time when speculation is high for the coming winter. This year, our glee is low because of a coming La Nina winter......... Last year it was high because of El Nino............ What did that amount to ???? I have researched analogues for the past 70 years and I have to believe that we will have another low snowfall winter............ Do I believe we can simply blame it on La Nina or other Nonsense? No I have also identified a bias toward a dry La Nina winter. At least one other factor as stressed by PSU is the PDO. I have identified 7 analogues back to 1955. The CPC suggests that a Dynamic/Statistical blend for the coming winter will be -.6 to -.7. This is based on my location which receives an average of 24 inches of snow and 15.45 inches of rain from November through March. We begin with 2023 which averaged - 6.3 La Nina, I received 1.5 inches of snow and 14.21 precip. Low snow and Precip.. 2001- 6.33 La Nina, 5.5 inches snow and 10.52 precip. Low snow and precip. 1984 - 6.33 La Nina, 10.0 inches snow and 25.72 precip. Above normal precip. 1975 - 5.6 La Nina, 9.8" snow, 12 .66 precip. Low snow and precip. 1972 - 6.6 La Nina, 4.7" snow,, 9.05 precip. Low snow and Precip. 1965 -5.6 La Nina, 24.5" snow and 14.37 Precip. Mother Nature always found a way to snow during the '60's. The PDO was -.90 in January of 65 1955 - .7, 13.1 " snow and 17.41 Precip. 86% of the time during the past 70 years we have had a low snowfall winter with a - .6 La Nina and 86% of the time we have had a dry winter. My broad blend gives us 10 inches of snowfall during this coming winter..........................

31 degrees at 7 am.

The latest CPC info says a -.6 - .7 . This certainly will be marginal but this level if accurate will be a downer for winter snowfall. Moderate La Nina's don't smile on us for snowfall.

Possibly no value, but the long term Enso says we will likely have have a below normal snowfall winter with La Nina. Cape, give me hope!!!!

Hey, I love this exercise in futility!!!!!!! This is quite reasonable within my 70 year research of Enso that I will post soon.

My posts are based on intelligence based on the past 100+ years of climatology. Yours are probably based on a warped brain from 36 years of Nonsense. But, I do wish you well.

He can be entertaining at times but some of his nonsense last week was beyond the pale!

37. 1 this morning. I was below freezing for 6 consecutive nights before the streak broke yesterday morning.

32.4 this morning. 19 days since rain.

You need to take a break..........................................

The Great Flood of 1985 had about a 10 day lag before more rain.. We are up to 17 days now!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

27.9 this morning!

28.5 degrees this morning!!! Clear, calm and heavy frost.

This likely carries us thorough through November ..........................

The CPC through November 8 calls for VERY DRY conditions..................... LA NINA sets in........

La Nina cool seasons are dry 84% of the time. More on this with my winter outlook, soon.

CAPE, try to understand, when I peruse this site, I'm usually skimming through without looking at or paying attention to nonsense or jokes. If a joke is directed at a post of mine, I pay attention. I very rarely direct a post toward another person unless it is 95% positive and designed to be helpful. People who know me understand how helpful I can be. I sincerely appreciate the tone of PSU's response. Please don't put it down with more nonsense. Nothing would please me more than to be friends with PSU.