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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. stormy
    Excellent point!!
  2. stormy
    The GFS was suppressed south which is no big deal at this point. The GEM is also suppressed south which brings it right into my backyard.
  3. stormy
    12z GFS more amped.
  4. stormy
    Very simple! Trash the 18Z GFS and look forward to 00z
  5. stormy
    .32" so far. Warmer today, 56 at 9:30.
  6. stormy
    The GEM saves us at 270:
  7. stormy
    Not always but will often trend in that direction. In January of 66, I received 16 inches of snow in one storm that found heavy snow falling with a 3 pm temperature of +4! Coldest I ever witnessed in the middle of a snowstorm!!
  8. stormy
    That can happen east of the mountains. 76 - 77 was possibly the coldest winter in 200 years but was often suppression city . The AO was -2.07 in December of 76, -3.76 in January of 77 and -2.01 for February 77 Read all about it: https://www.secretsoftheeasternshore.com/eastern-shore-deep-freeze/ The 1976–77 Winter in the Contiguous United States in Comparison with Past Records in: Monthly Weather Review Volume 106 Issue 10 (1978)
  9. stormy
    The AO tanking to -3.00 to -4.00 is classic for historical severe patterns. 09 - 10 it tanked to -3.41 with an NAO -.1.10. The PDO was -.50 The AO is almost always the deciding factor. 77-78 found the AO tanking to -3.01 with an NAO of -.12. The PDO was +.50.
  10. stormy
    The CPC January temperature anomaly along the east coast is being destroyed by the 6 - 24 day.
  11. stormy
    It has been cold! Forecasted high from NWS was 46. Actual high was 41!!!! This is 5 degrees colder than normal.
  12. stormy
    Last Sunday at 4:22 pm I said that Jan. 3-8 was a 5 day threat period.............................. To bat 1000, I think that I will stand pat..................
  13. stormy
    Ain't it sweet
  14. stormy
    The warning criteria used to be 4" or more.
  15. stormy
    NYC has first White Christmas in 15 years! Happy Holiday for the Big Apple!! https://ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/weather/2024/12/24/white-christmas-returns-to-nyc-for-the-first-time-since-2009
  16. stormy
    The WPC likes the ECM
  17. stormy
    The 06z GFS is honking at 200 hrs.. As depicted upstairs is OK, surface is very marginal, HP not in a good position, probably an elevation event. I'll take 5 inches and be happy. ECMWF sees the threat but is 48 hrs. faster, greater problems with column thermals. GEM is blind to any threat.
  18. stormy
    That's called "Global Cooling" Merry Christmas Everyone!!
  19. stormy
    58 years ago today in Augusta County, December 24, 1966, snowfall was tapering off at 4 pm after dropping 8 inches in 24 hours. The temperature was 22 degrees. The PDO was -0.21, The NAO was +0.72, The AO was -1.40........................... The PDO and NAO are no huge deal but the AO is nearly always deeply negative. This should often apply in today's world.
  20. stormy
    I look back on decades of Christmas. Snow,sunny 70 degree temps, wind, rain but you know, its all about the spirit of the season. Do the best you can on Wednesday to achieve the best of the Holiday season.............................. We'll argue next week..... This week, MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  21. stormy
    I pull the plug on winter on April 15 every year because I have received knee deep snows in the first 10 days of April during the past 50 years.
  22. stormy
    I could handle about 24 hrs. of that!
  23. stormy
    12.9
  24. stormy
    I don't think it will happen this way, but Jan. 3 - 8 is a definite 5 day threat period from many sources.
  25. stormy
    13.2 here. That's 13.7 degrees colder than normal.
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