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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. The flip to sleet and rain was well forecast so it was not a surprise like we saw in some storms. The flash freeze was something though-back roads were almost impassable in spots due to the ice/snow/ruts
  2. 97-98 had alot of coating to 1 inch events here-we got something like 20 inches on the year but there was no moderate/heavy snowstorm....
  3. I would hope most see that JB sells hype. He is a often a good read but you have to take into account his hype and cold bias....
  4. Looks like the start of a -EPO which would be good
  5. Verbatim it's late Sunday pm into Monday AM. Winds look to be strong out of the SE
  6. PAC air in January can be just cold enough but agree in Dec or late Feb/March it's garbage time.
  7. He's not saying that he's saying what the setup looks like verbatim-the cold air source is lacking...read more post less
  8. It could but who knows this far out....last year it got stuck in 7 or on the doorstep of 8 several times so we'll see. It'll also depend on the cold air source. Normals are still in the low 40's for most of December need a good supply of fresh arctic for anything meaningful snow wise....I'm in the Jan/Feb camp myself, Dec is probably rushing it....We wait and watch. (and weenie)
  9. yeah he's in Worcester at an elevation of 1500-2000 ft and well inland from the water-weather is nothing like that here...
  10. Definitely a regression to the mean occuring since 2018-the period from 2000-2018 was well above including 4 years in a row of 40+ for NYC and a few with 60+. Nowhere to go but down given our average of 25-30 inches around here...
  11. The 80's were almost famous for bitter cold and then rain 24 hrs later. Storm track was awful-either inland or well OTS.
  12. At least it would be something exciting...
  13. You didn't get anything in the Dec 2020 storm?
  14. Wet stretch here last few days. Nice to see the sun this morning.
  15. It definitely feels like we are sliding back into a stretch of crappy winters...last real long lasting arctic outbreak was 17-18 as well so it's been a torch on top of the bad snowfall years since then (except 20-21) Time will tell if this one breaks that stretch but I think some are rushing things....patience
  16. Exactly. Decembers in El nino years as usually terrible anyway. Too much rushing of the pattern here. Likely we get a good stretch in Jan or early Feb and hopefully a big snowstorm....
  17. Agreed. 15-16 took til mid january
  18. Good day to get Xmas stuff up here it’s 55 and partly sunny
  19. Yep there’s more to a good pattern than just Atlantic blocking. We went through this last December.
  20. Goes on too long there-snows into May-no thanks
  21. Tug Hill plateau. Tons of Lake Effect...problem is there is not much else there...
  22. People expect too much on the coast....we are lucky to get 3 inches in Dec...Jan/Feb/Mar better odds for the coast
  23. yep we got the good pattern to finally show up last March but too late in the season for most-white rain here from the 2 big storms while western MA had 20-30 inches
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